A Last Word: What is to be Done?
The collapse of conservative economics leaves in place the Keynesian alternative as a practical matter. This much is clear. Consider how, in a moment of deep worry late last fall, the entire government - president and Congress - coalesced around a "stimulus" package. What could be more Keynesian than that?
Meanwhile, as I have argued over at Mother Jones, the Keynesian tools are in use at the moment, Nixon-style. It is an election year. In addition to tax cuts, we saw increased military spending in the second quarter, and sharply lower interest rates since last August, which have pushed the dollar down and exports up. These steps may or may not be enough to keep growth positive through the election - but without them, things would have been much worse. Without them next year, things may deteriorate very fast.
Lower interest rates are linked to the financial crisis. But whether cutting rates was essential to keeping that crisis at bay is doubtful. (Opening the discount window clearly was.) The point is interesting because there is a clear pattern of the Fed cutting rates in the year before an election when Republicans are in power. When the Democrats are in power, they raise interest rates. Does this sound, to you, like there might be a problem of political bias over there?














