Alpher: Sharon No Puppet-Master
In the latest Forward, Yossi Alpher -- former senior adviser to Prime Minister Ehud Barak, former director of the Jaffe Center for Strategic Studies at Tel Aviv University, and co-editor of bitterlemons.org -- describes a relationship between President Bush and the former Israeli Prime Minster that runs contrary to the populist narrative of Israeli domination of US foreign policy....
[S]ometime prior to March 2003, Sharon told Bush privately in no uncertain terms what he thought about the Iraq plan. Sharons words revealed here for the first time constituted a friendly but pointed warning to Bush. Sharon acknowledged that Saddam Hussein was an acute threat to the Middle East and that he believed Saddam possessed weapons of mass destruction.
Yet according to one knowledgeable source, Sharon nevertheless advised Bush not to occupy Iraq. According to another source Danny Ayalon, who was Israels ambassador to the United States at the time of the Iraq invasion, and who sat in on the Bush-Sharon meetings Sharon told Bush that Israel would not push one way or another regarding the Iraq scheme.
According to both sources, Sharon warned Bush that if he insisted on occupying Iraq, he should at least abandon his plan to implant democracy in this part of the world. In terms of culture and tradition, the Arab world is not built for democratization, Ayalon recalls Sharon advising.
Be sure, Sharon added, not to go into Iraq without a viable exit strategy. And ready a counter-insurgency strategy if you expect to rule Iraq, which will eventually have to be partitioned into its component parts. Finally, Sharon told Bush, please remember that you will conquer, occupy and leave, but we have to remain in this part of the world. Israel, he reminded the American president, does not wish to see its vital interests hurt by regional radicalization and the spillover of violence beyond Iraqs borders....
Had Sharon made his criticism public, citing the dangers posed to vital Israeli interests, might he have made a difference in the prewar debate in the United States and the world? Certainly he would have poured cold water on the postwar assertions of critics, like professors Stephen Walt and John Mearsheimer, who have fingered Israel, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee and pro-Israelis in the administration for instigating the war. Ayalon, incidentally, was directed by Sharon to warn all Israelis visiting Washington not to encourage the American scheme for war in Iraq, lest Israel be blamed for its failure.
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