Heller v. D.C., Guns, and the Left.
So, the Supreme Court has recently heard arguments on Heller v. D.C. involving the 2nd amendment and gun control. It seems likely that the conservative members of the Court will interpret the Amendment to allow an individual right to own guns. This is the true crux of this case, as a finding in this direction will then allow the conservative majority to overturn the D.C. handgun prohibition. In light of the conservative majority's potential ruling, I got to thinking about the ramifications of what the Court might do.
The question seems to me to revolve around what will actually change in the U.S. if the Court finds an individual Constitutional right to own guns, incorporates it to apply to the states through the 14th amendment, and strikes down the D.C. gun regulation paving the way for all gun regulations anywhere in the country to be struck down by future Federal court action.
I think about this question as this would be the perfect ruling from the perspective of the right wing gun owners and their lobbying group the NRA.
While those of us on the left might see a ruling such as this as disastrous, I do not understand why. Put another way, what is wrong with giving on the gun control front? To me, this issue appears similar to the issue with the ending of the federally mandated speed limit. At that time, there were some who posited that raising the 65 mph speed limit on rural interstates would result in a large increase in the number of highway deaths in this country. However, to the best of my knowledge, that hasn't occurred. It has been several years since I last looked at the speed limit issue, but I feel relatively confident in saying that at worst, the rate of decline of the number of highway deaths in this country slowed, but a spike from high speed limits never occurred. I could be wrong about that assertion though.
I believe a similar thing would occur if right wing gun owners got their wish. Is there really pent up demand in NYC, Chicago, SF, DC, and all the other cities with restrictions on handgun ownership? Are gun ownership rates in those areas going to skyrocket if the regulations are gone? If gun ownership rates skyrocket, does that mean that gun deaths are going to also skyrocket? I don't think that either of those two things will come about because I don't think that there is pent up demand for guns in those cities. Perhaps, if gun ownership rates in those cities do spike, there might be a spike in the number of accidental shootings or gun accidents, but in terms of widespread shootings I just don't see that developing.
This whole discussion leads to the question of the political effects on the liberal agenda as a whole on the devotion to gun control. Is this devotion costing votes in rural areas that could be garnered in attempting to develop a greater progressive majority? Possibly, but I also am not sure that even if gun control didn't exist that rural voters would reassess their positions and find themselves to be Democrats.
The question seems to me to revolve around what will actually change in the U.S. if the Court finds an individual Constitutional right to own guns, incorporates it to apply to the states through the 14th amendment, and strikes down the D.C. gun regulation paving the way for all gun regulations anywhere in the country to be struck down by future Federal court action.
I think about this question as this would be the perfect ruling from the perspective of the right wing gun owners and their lobbying group the NRA.
While those of us on the left might see a ruling such as this as disastrous, I do not understand why. Put another way, what is wrong with giving on the gun control front? To me, this issue appears similar to the issue with the ending of the federally mandated speed limit. At that time, there were some who posited that raising the 65 mph speed limit on rural interstates would result in a large increase in the number of highway deaths in this country. However, to the best of my knowledge, that hasn't occurred. It has been several years since I last looked at the speed limit issue, but I feel relatively confident in saying that at worst, the rate of decline of the number of highway deaths in this country slowed, but a spike from high speed limits never occurred. I could be wrong about that assertion though.
I believe a similar thing would occur if right wing gun owners got their wish. Is there really pent up demand in NYC, Chicago, SF, DC, and all the other cities with restrictions on handgun ownership? Are gun ownership rates in those areas going to skyrocket if the regulations are gone? If gun ownership rates skyrocket, does that mean that gun deaths are going to also skyrocket? I don't think that either of those two things will come about because I don't think that there is pent up demand for guns in those cities. Perhaps, if gun ownership rates in those cities do spike, there might be a spike in the number of accidental shootings or gun accidents, but in terms of widespread shootings I just don't see that developing.
This whole discussion leads to the question of the political effects on the liberal agenda as a whole on the devotion to gun control. Is this devotion costing votes in rural areas that could be garnered in attempting to develop a greater progressive majority? Possibly, but I also am not sure that even if gun control didn't exist that rural voters would reassess their positions and find themselves to be Democrats.




