Obama has received 11 new super-delegates today.

7 of 19 Edwards delegates have endorsed Obama today. They include South Carolina delegates Daniel Boan, Christine Brennan-Bond, Robert Groce, Susan Smith, Mike Evatt and Lauren Bilton and New Hampshire Delegate Joshua Denton.

In addition CWA President and Superdelegate Larry Cohen, Chairmen Henry Waxman and Howard Berman, Rep. Jim McDermott (D-WA) have also endorsed Obama.

Obama has now gotten 45 new delegates since the NC and IN primaries, 35 of which occurred in the 7 days after the primaries and before the Edwards endorsement. 3 of those SDs switched from Clinton. Clinton herself has gotten 5 new Super-delegates in the same time.

Obama is 129.5 delegates away from clinching the nomination. It is likely that Obama will get about 52 new pledged delegates next week from Kentucky and Oregon. That would leave him needing about 77.5 delegates to get to 2026.

According to Donna Brazille, if Obama gets 2026 before May 31st, then Obama will have won the nomination and the May 31st Rules Committee meeting will be cancelled because Obama has already reached the nominating goal. The purpose of the meeting scheduled on the 31st is to resolve a crucial issue. If Obama gets 2025 then the meeting is no longer crucial. I don't know when the meeting would be rescheduled, but it would no longer need to be resolved early.

Obama has been getting about 5 SD/day. At that rate with Edwards 19 and with Oregon and Kentucky, he would get past 2026 in 12 days.

Obama has 1889 total delegates

If the remaining primaries break in the following way,

Ky - 60%/40% - Clinton
MO - 56%/44% - Obama
OR - 60%/40% - Obama
SD - 54%/46% - Obama
PR - 56%/44% - Clinton

then 92 pledged delegates will be awarded to Obama from the remaining primaries.

Ky - 20
MO - 8
OR - 31
SD - 8
PR - 24

That gets Obama to 1981. Obama would need 44(19%) more super-delegates out of the 235 uncommitted super-delegates remaining. Edwards also has 19 pledged delegates and if they all go to Obama then Obama will need only 25(11%) more super-delegates out of the remaining 235. Either way this goal is attainable and likely.

According to Donna Brazille, if Obama gets 2025 before May 31st, then Obama will have won the nomination and the May 31st Rules Committee meeting will be cancelled.

Edwards endorsement gives permission to other super-delegates to bring this to an end. Thank you John Edwards.

Delegates to Obama
WV - 8
NC - 10

To put things in perspective, here is a review of past primaries and causcuses where Obama blew out Clinton.

State - Obama - Hillary
Idaho 82.2%  17.8%
Hawaii 76.2%  23.8%
District of Columbia 75.8%  24.2%
Alaska 74.6%  25.4%
Kansas 74.2%  25.8%
Washington 68.4%  31.6%
Georgia 68.1%  31.9%
South Carolina 67.6%  32.4%
Minnesota 67.4%  32.6%
Colorado 67.3%  32.7%
Illinois 66.3%  33.7%
Virginia 64.2%  35.8%
North Dakota 62.6%  37.4%
Mississippi 62.2%  37.8%
Maryland 61.9%  38.1%
Wyoming 61.9%  38.1%
Louisiana 61.7%  38.3%
Vermont 60.6%  39.4%

Posted with 4% West Virginia results reported.