Ethnic Cleansing Succeeds, not Surge
A few years ago, some of us here suggested we would eventually be able to draw down troop levels in Iraq, since with enough ethnic cleansing there would be little sectarian strife left to fuel violent attacks. A study by UCLA has evidence for this in the amount of light observed in areas of Baghdad, before and after the troop increase:
http://technology.newscientist.com/article/dn14768-satellite-images-cast-doubt-on-success-of-iraq-surge-.html?DCMP=ILC-hmts&nsref=news7_head_dn14768
They say that images from the Defense Meteorological Satellite, which have been used before for large-scale light-mapping, show that Sunni neighborhoods are now darker, and were that way before the surge, as compared to before the main invasion.
In contrast, lights in other Iraqi cities remained at pre-surge levels or increased.
I was right to feel the invasion would be a bad move, but wrong to think Baghdad might be like Berlin, 1945. Turns out to have been Yugoslavia.




