All of the prognostications are based on the polls, and I don't fully trust the polls. The key element of any poll is the modeling of the population at large. This modeling is largely based on historical data, but I think there are many new patterns developing in this election. Logic tells me that most of these changes benefit Obama, but the uncertainty unsettles me.
Then again this may just be my "He who expects nothing is never disappointed" protection circuit kicking in.
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