David Brooks' Frustration
I am paying an effective tax rate now of 49% of my income and I am 1% off the top tax bracket, despite being far from a top earner due to Germany's cold progressive tax (adjustments for changes in standard of living are a good thing Ms. Merkel), which is a lot harsher than when one hits the top tax bracket in the US (which tends to be well above $100,000 per year). The one benefit is that I am insured, as is the whole country, and living in a place that is on the cutting edge of green technology, a direct by-product of government investment. Were it also not for the crisis, Germany would have had a balanced budget this year if not a surplus like last year. Good governance is expensive, just like good financial advice or legal representation; Goldman or J.P. Morgan won't manage my portfolio for pro bono despite my requests.
I don't know much about the efficacy of the tax collectors in France, but I know in Italy, according to the Economist, if they were able to collect all the taxes that are due, the budget would be balanced and they could lower taxes across the board, indicating that what is on the books and what is collected are two different stories, which should make your blood boil at an even higher temperature. But, to think that taxes won't be raised is silly. Services cost money. But, if health care reform is achieved, and a public plan is as effective as Medicare (over $.90 of each $1 goes directly to medical services delivered as opposed to less than $.70 in the private sector) and spending is brought under control, wages should increase as industry won't be forced to direct increased compensation into continued medical coverage as opposed to higher salaries. In other words, higher taxes but with a net financial benefit (I would much rather make 10000 at 55% than 7000 at 40%).
But, taking NY and CA as examples for zour larger point, both are in a budget crisis and the situation in NYC is particularly acute. Adding a VAT and increasing local and state taxes are the only practical methods available to the areas, resulting in zour numbers (55% is after all Fed Tax + State Tax + Local Tax + S.S. + Smiling Tax + Happiness Tax + Unhappiness Tax + etc.). The problem is that the increases in local and state taxes will hit consumption hard, amplifying the effects of the recession as the US has a consumption driven economy (not necessarily a good thing but that is another point).This is in part why Roubini and Krugman called for a much larger stimulus than was offered (check out their discussion in the New York Review of Books a few months back), as they anticipated much harsher unemployment numbers and a slower recovery than the Congress. A larger stimulus, one targeting full employment (with an anticipated unemployment rate of 10%), would have helped increase consumption by allowing people that have been removed from the market to begin participating again, stirring demand, the economy and increasing tax revenue without increasing taxes.
But, Obama, in reaching out for 3 Republican Senate votes, slaughtered the chance of an effective stimulus and is now suffering the consequences of such action. The opposition is trying to break Obama, to regain power by attacking his policies and working for their failure; it is as sad as the Moveon.org people wishing for the Surge's failure a few years back. Foreclosures, inaccessible health care, failing schools, rising tuition and bogus student loans, falling demand, dying industries, uncontrolled credit card debt, and simple unrest and disarray are driving the country to its knees. Real solutions are required, and Obama is capable of delivering them and you are right - if only Obama could whip the minions and devils in Congress to act as he wishes. But, as your yearning for Enlightened Leadership minus the bickering is similar to mine, we have a democratic from of government with co-equal branches of government. Congress must also act and as co-equal they are entitled to their own opinions and choices. We cannot forget that part of the anger directed at the Bush administration is that he ignored and walked over Congress due to this fact, and often made poor decisions despite the [best of??] intentions. Obama is right in including Congress and I just hope they can get that act together before it is too late. I'd like to have something that feels like a first world country to move back too soon.
Healthcare Industry
Healthcare - The Public Option vs The Shareholder
I was disappointed to hear the details that the latest version of the comprehensive healthcare compromise excludes a public option. A public option is a sturdy measure in controlling the cost of basic healthcare needs, which in the USA the healthcare industry has exploited for their own (significant) financial benefit.
Here in Germany, we have a successful mixture of public and private plans that compete with each other with the government only mandating what needs to be covered at a minimum, leaving the rest of the details to the public Krankenkassen and private plans to sort out on their own and the consumer the free choice to choose what he-she wants. The result is a far superior system when examining basic healthcare indices, e.g. waiting time, cost, treatment efficacy, life expectancy, infant mortality, etc.
Polling reveals that Americans want a public option available (70%), with the only protest coming from those backing the private companies, claiming "unfairness." Yet, these are the same private insurers who have been robbing the public for years with their exploding premiums. This debate does not seem to be on behalf of a government for the people and by the people, but one for the shareholder and against the people.
The CBO's fear that the droves of people would flee private insurance for a public option, an implicit acknowledgement of the public's desire for a public option, when assessing the impact of such a plan on the budget on the budget, neglects to take into account that a successful public plan would free businesses from the exorbitant yearly raises in the costs of healthcare, in turn enabling higher wages to be paid, which would provide the financing for the government program through increased tax revenue.
Investment Banking
"The investing community doesn't welcome long-term involvement by the U.S. government in the private economy," said Kevin Starke, an analyst at CRT Capital Group LLC in Stamford, Connecticut. "Every time I try to pitch an idea to investors that has some government involvement, the automatic reaction is, 'I don't want to get involved.'"
Please Explain
- Healthcare Reform (Universal Healthcare = Fascism)
- Bank Reform (Consumer Protection = Socialism)
- Gitmo's Closure (Not torturing = Totalitarianism)
- Barack Obama (President = Communist)
Will the Real Ponzi Please Stand Up!
Bankrupt
Why Eat Bread When There is Cake?
Usury version 2.1
Cheney's Got a Gun
Cheney Calls for Legal Memos to be Declassified
Mon Apr 20 2009 16:20:53 ET
In a two part interview airing tonight and tomorrow night on FOX News Channel's Hannity (9-10PM ET), former Vice President Dick Cheney shared his thoughts on the CIA memos that were recently declassified and also revealed his request to the CIA to declassify additional memos that confirm the success of the Bush administration's interrogation tactics:
CHENEY:
"One of the things that I find a little bit disturbing about this recent disclosure is they put out the legal memos, the memos that the CIA got from the Office of Legal Counsel, but they didn't put out the memos that showed the success of the effort. And there are reports that show specifically what we gained as a result of this activity. They have not been declassified."
"I formally asked that they be declassified now. I haven't announced this up until now, I haven't talked about it, but I know specifically of reports that I read, that I saw that lay out what we learned through the interrogation process and what the consequences were for the country."
"And I've now formally asked the CIA to take steps to declassify those memos so we can lay them out there and the American people have a chance to see what we obtained and what we learned and how good the intelligence was, as well as to see this debate over the legal opinions."
Developing...
Right Wing Radicals
Krugman's Point
The economic analysis of the current and continuing bailout is missing the critical point central to Paul Krugman's strong criticism. The bailout as is, the plan to repackage and resell the questionable sub-prime mortgage backed securities with is the an FDIC backing, is a stop loss mechanism to coax investors back to the table and restore a sense of normalcy but does not address the problem at hand but simply re-inflates the already burst bubble.
Krugman is warning that the solution offered, as is, is simply the continued construction on the same foundation that brought on the current episode, and that the cost, both the massive increase in the debt as a portion of GDP and increased inflation, is not worth the gain. The plan builds upon the same untruth at the heart of this crisis. It has been left unchanged and the deflationary-depressionary menace has not disappeared, instead society has simply turned its head away from doom and have delayed, yet again, dealing with chronic institutional problems.
His point is similar to that made by George Lukács. It is a call for an interpretive shift in the understanding of the capitalism system. The economy should be to the benefit of society at large not to the advantage of the few; a nation is not stomping ground of an individual but the collective work of group. Even Adam Smith realized that if the fruits of economic development were not shared, that the system was morally unsound and its stability threatened.
Akin to how FDR declared a bank holiday, Wall Street needs to take a step back from the markets. The large investment institutions need to break out of the feedback loop they are sitting in; the total loss of the ability to hear reality above the screeching of the Dow Jones Index and the S&P 500 is prolonging the damage. A glimmer of hope can be seen if the markets reach a semblance of stability and are allowed to do so devoid of gimmicks. Allowing the larger correction to manifest itself is perhaps in the short-term more painful, it will mean coming to terms with ideological failings and the large political consequences thereof, but offers the long stability required for a healthy economy. We need to return to being a society that creates real wealth.
To do so, a re-evaluation and revolution of our system is needed. Because of the lack of a social welfare network the US is pushed to act quickly. This has allowed for some missed queues, e.g. statistically insignificant events such as the AIG bonuses to escalating into populist rage, that put a larger reformation at risk. Change will involve incorporating aspects of the European social democratic welfare model, as to provide a dampening effect of future crisis and also fix flaws that this crisis has exposed, like the education, income and healthcare gaps. The conservative voices deny this need, the recession is a psychological manifestation after all, and success results from evolutionary prowess; nature is emphasized and nurture forgotten.
But, the security the EU feels as a result of its well planned and run welfare state is causing its leaders to delay action and forgo the use of political capital, which is as deadly as the partisan infighting now stalling the US democratic process. A tempered yet radical solution needs to be found. The State is mandated to foster the conditions for success of its citizens, by providing good education, solid infrastructure, and affordable healthcare. This does not imply coddling but the Founding Fathers did not intend a nation of sadists as the conservative wings seem to. If the state cannot provide a foundation for its citizens to build upon, then the promise of Life, Liberty and Happiness are left hallow.
Tarp and Feather
The American meritocracy has deteriorated into a two-tiered society more akin to the feudal hierarchy of Medieval Europe than its own self-image as a land of opportunity.
The best of the brightest of the nation and more than one generation have been blinded by the temptation of greed and the loss of perspective, brainwashed by 90 hour weeks and paychecks often upwards of six digits. With hedonism unregulated guiding the financial collapse, the Nation has been brought to its knees to await the death-blow.
Standing in the background Henry Paulson and Goldman Sachs pull the strings of the greatest heist since the noble knights of the 4th Crusade escaped Constantinople with the last treasures of Ancient Rome, redistributing the wealth of a nation to whom it deems fit, sticking the taxpayer with the bill, while letting the citizen sink into a pit of despair, out of work and ever poorer.
The banks were not asked to generate false assets transferring paper in an arbitrary manner from one pile to the next, whose success was tracked by some index bound to a nation's mood. Instead of the systematic shorting of their own country's industry, betting on failure, they were asked to facilitate the creation of generational and societal wealth with the relaxed rules and freer markets that were so desperately lobbied for.
The country has been fleeced and the thieves are demanding and receiving multi-million dollar paydays so to be retained and rewarded for the Great Robbery. The financial industry, at a minimum the administrators and executives of the collective group, should be facing a life in prison for reducing the coffers of the United States into nothing, in lieu of the luxury and expanded political influence rewarded following their financial failure.
Since the great egalitarian experiment has been destroyed and morphed into a dystopia of feudal lords and serfs, perhaps the antiquated notions of populist justice should be revived. Tar and Feather the bastards and drag them through the streets; start with Joe Cassano and Henry Paulson the architects of the damn rouse. Obama warns of governing out of anger, but I say one shouldn't be pleasant when being pissed on.











