sisyphusjns's Blogtag:www.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk/blogs/sisyphusjns//18632008-10-14T15:21:58ZMovable Type Pro 4.21-enEarly Voting Numberstag:www.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk/blogs/sisyphusjns//1863.2369082008-10-14T15:17:30Z2008-10-14T15:21:58ZI've been reading electionline.org in regards to early voting, and now it's got me compulsively looking for Early voting numbers in "Battle Ground States".Does anyone know of a website that compiles those numbers on a regular basis? I find myself...sisyphusjns
Does anyone know of a website that compiles those numbers on a regular basis? I find myself wasting too much time going searching the sites of all the newspapers in these contested states.
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If Only They Could Still Use The N Wordtag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk//17.1918852008-04-29T13:55:25Z2008-04-29T13:55:25ZAt first I thought the Wright issue was legitimate. Wright's comments were disgusting, and Obama not only attended the church, but took his children there every Sunday, or however frequently he attended church. Nothing that Wright said ever caused Obama...sisyphusjns I never thought that Obama shared Wright's belief that the government invented AIDS to kill black people, or any of the other absurdities that Wright spewed. I thought it was probably the case that Obama didn't even attend church that frequently. I thought the significance of the story was that Obama was like so many other politicans, a member of a church primarily for the political organization it provided, not it's theology.
I still think that's the case, but I don't think that's the why the media is playing it anymore. I could not believe Anderson Cooper last night. I don't think they spent 20 minutes on the tornados and the rest on Wright. He kept replaying clips of Wright's speeches over and over again. Then I realized that they're not making the point that Obama is as much a politican as the next senator. The point that is being made is," This is what black people say when white people aren't around."
The story is now being played to associate Obama with the worst sterotypes that white people have about black people.
I don't want Obama to be the nominee. I support Hillary. But I can recognize this is disgusting. ]]>
Hillary To Campaign Barefoot In NC & Indianatag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk//17.1910112008-04-24T13:23:23Z2008-04-24T13:23:23ZA spokesman for Obama '08 said that it was "unlikely" that Barack Obama would be able to remove Hillary Clinton's boot from his ass prior to the primaries in Indiana and North Carolina scheduled for May 6th.The spokesman went on...sisyphusjns
The spokesman went on to say that despite media reports that Hillary's boot was lodged 10 inches up Obama's anus, it was actually "barely 9 1/4 inches up there, which technically should be rounded down to 9, not up to 10." The spokesman continued, "when you look at it like that, it almost like her boot wasn't up Barack's ass at all."
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Hillary Wins By Double Digitstag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk//17.1907162008-04-23T03:25:58Z2008-04-23T03:25:58ZBITCHES!!!!!...sisyphusjns
BITCHES!!!!!]]>
Will Obama Go Negativetag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk//17.1888822008-04-14T16:39:26Z2008-04-14T16:39:26ZWill Obama Go Negative?For the last several weeks I’ve had what I considered a pretty clear idea of how I thought things would play in Pennsylvania, and up until now I’ve been pretty close. I was always of the opinion...sisyphusjns For the last several weeks I’ve had what I considered a pretty clear idea of how I thought things would play in Pennsylvania, and up until now I’ve been pretty close. I was always of the opinion that Obama would close the gap to single digits in the weeks prior to the primary, maybe even take a slight lead. I thought that come Wednesday or Thursday of this week Hillary would start with a 3 a.m. ad, or the like, and some 527 would start running a Jeremiah Wright ad and Hillary would win going away by double digits, similar to the Ohio situation.
But last week I saw the SUSA poll showing Hillary up by 18 pts. I thought that must be an outlier, until today when I saw the ARG poll giving Hillary a 20 Point lead. Then I thought, Maybe she doesn’t need to go negative. She could just run ads accentuating whatever it is that small town white people tell pollsters they prefer about her over Obama. Then just allow the media to remind the voters of the elitist comments Obama made in a bath house in San Francisco while receiving a pedicure from Tony Lane. That should be good for 15 points.
Obama can’t just sit back and take that. Especially after he out spent Hillary 3 to 1 in the state. If he loses Pennsylvania by 20 points, the narrative changes. He is no longer inevitable. Hillary’s argument about winning the right voters and the right states starts to gain significant credibility. It leaves him terribly situated for Indiana and opens the possibility of Hillary winning North Carolina. There are 5 undeclared Indiana Congressmen in Indiana, How many of then are going to endorse Obama if Hillary wins the State by 15%?
Obama will go negative to forestall this possibility. I don’t know what the content of the negativity will be (maybe, “If you don’t know that you don’t sip out of a shot glass, you’ll destroy our relations with our new eastern European allies, and therefore destroy NATO.”), but I bet that no later than Thursday night Obama goes Negative (comparative if you prefer) in a big way.
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Why Obama Can't Wintag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk//17.1876682008-04-07T13:52:05Z2008-04-07T13:52:05ZI've been a Hillary supporter since the beginning. It has not even been a close call for me. I've been on the Liberal side of politics long before I could vote, and for whatever reason the charm that so many...sisyphusjns When asked if I would support Obama in the general election I equivocate. Sometimes I say, I don't think I'm capable of voting for someone who I really dislike, other times I say I don't think I could not vote for Obama after a three month campaign in which Obama keeps giving the right answers and McCain gives the wrong answers. I've recently been freed of the need to answer that question, as I've discovered that Obama can't win either way, so I'm free to vote against my own interest. I've always felt he can't win, but here is the source of my certainty:
I was discussing Alice Walker's Obama article with my step mother. My stepmother is a tax attorney and self described feminist of a certain age, (63). She said was only slightly suprised because she knew, having read Alice Walker's books that Alice Walker understood the obstacles faced by women, but that she, my stepmother, had never been black, and perhaps race trumps gender. But then she made the argument that convinced me with more certainty than I ever had that Obama can't win. She said that if Obama were the nominee she would vote for McCain, the first Republican she had voted for since Goldwater. I questioned her about voting against her own interest and beliefs, and she responded, "I don't see this as any different from any other case where a less qualified male gets a job over a more qualified woman." She said she found the Democratic Party doing this more repulsive than a McCain presidency. Then she began listing a litany of situations where, in her view, less qualified males were promoted over more qualified women. It was clear in her voice that where I was equivocating, she was not. Obama will probably be able to win over liberal white males in their mid thirties. (I think I'm the only one he hasn't got yet.) But I bet that my stepmother's experience and sentiments are similar to those of other white women over 50, and if Obama can't get that vote Obama Can't Win.
So I pose this question to Obama Supporters: How do you win these women over, or how do you win without them?