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The Baby Boom IED
I was having a conversation with my friend last night when it came to me, this over sized recession is more than it appears. As we boomers have been told since the 1970s, we are going to create a big problem for the economy when we retire because the workforce will fall to a ratio of something of the order of 1 worker for every 3 people in the country (I do not recall when I first heard this, or if this is the correct ratio, but this is the nature of the "productivity" problem). This ratio is considered unsustainable.
The obvious effect of major public policies has been to force more people into the workforce (social security retirement age incrementing up does this directly, social security privatization would create winners-with good investments-who could retire early, and losers-with bad investments- who may never retire). But all of these have been weak tea.
That brings us to this economic collapse... It is going to create a restructuring of the economy because of the productivity problem. It may, in fact, be part of the productivity problem... Aging boomers who realized that they were going to have meager retirements took out easy equity loans on their homes to build up their portfolios so that could retire early... a baby boom improvised (economic) explosive device... now it has exploded blowing a hole in our economy....
The boomers can explode again if we don't fix this thing!
The obvious effect of major public policies has been to force more people into the workforce (social security retirement age incrementing up does this directly, social security privatization would create winners-with good investments-who could retire early, and losers-with bad investments- who may never retire). But all of these have been weak tea.
That brings us to this economic collapse... It is going to create a restructuring of the economy because of the productivity problem. It may, in fact, be part of the productivity problem... Aging boomers who realized that they were going to have meager retirements took out easy equity loans on their homes to build up their portfolios so that could retire early... a baby boom improvised (economic) explosive device... now it has exploded blowing a hole in our economy....
The boomers can explode again if we don't fix this thing!
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So the miscalculation of one Genaration is what could mangle another? I can agree it helped but I don't this it could have be the only factor.
1) Deregualtion of the newdeal policies instead of making those policies progresive
2) Two wars that completely drained the coffers of America
But then again this is a debatalbe point
December 13, 2008 11:46 AM | Reply | Permalink
Not blaming th boomers, I am one. The policy making (and baby making) related to the boomers were by their parent's generation. The productivity problem is a fact of population, not something that is to blame on individuals.
The point is that this economic collapse, locally related to the policies of Reagan, Bush, Clinton, and Bush economics, and particularly to Greenspan-Ayn Rand economics, also has deeper social-demographic roots that must be addressed.
December 13, 2008 11:54 AM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry about that. I misread the comment and sort jumped abit to fast.
December 13, 2008 12:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's because (bad) people live too long.
Jump fuckers.
December 13, 2008 11:58 AM | Reply | Permalink
Bad chicken!
December 13, 2008 3:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Un otra BC... big chuckle, (or cackle if your fowlness prefers). ; )
December 13, 2008 7:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
I should think it would be a big snort, coming from you.
December 13, 2008 8:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
That's BS Ms. O.
December 13, 2008 10:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Bigggg Snorrrt!
December 14, 2008 1:51 AM | Reply | Permalink
You pigalito, are too small to snort. Perhaps a snortalito.
December 14, 2008 3:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Cluckle, actually.
December 14, 2008 3:32 AM | Reply | Permalink
Orlando has me laughing now. I do not know which picture is funnier, miguel to the guy with Teddy R.
Onto the subject:
I am a boomer but I assure you that I am not at the moment sharing in anything. But that is another story.
Collectively, the boomer theory as been around for many decades and I have to agree that entitlements in terms of pension benefits in certain industries,
medical assistance and other such payments must be looked at. It is just that the capitalist pigs are making a mint off of the entitlements, no necessarily the boomers.
But we definitely have a bubble generation going here.
December 13, 2008 9:29 PM | Reply | Permalink
I have to agree with both Dick and Joe. The boomers retiring may have contributed to some softness in government revenues, but it seems to be mostly other issues driving the implosion. The two that Joe listed would top my list of likely culprits, though Dick's list of entitlements brings to mind the one thing that is at the root of it all - no accountability.
Even in the most important election of our lifetime, we only saw 30% turnout for the primaries and 64% for the general. There is simply no way we can force government to be more effective if we don't turnout and fire these clowns every time we have a chance. Under both parties for as long as I can remember, the American government has done just about everything wrong. They have missed more opportunities in the last 40 years than any generation of leaders in the last century.
Combined.
Yet the average tenure of Congress, the Senate especially, is ridiculous. Most have been there for each and every mistake, yet still get re-elected without any real challenge. The only consistent factor in all that time is a missing American voter.
I would like to see that trend change.
December 14, 2008 11:53 AM | Reply | Permalink