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Week of December 30, 2007 - January 5, 2008

"Hope" Is Finished; The Lie That Will Destroy Obama!


Hillary's team is doing a bang up job of "drawing sharper contrasts" in their latest Facthub posting. Brace yourselves for some devastating news here ladies and gents, in just one single blogposting is contained the lie that will tear victory from Obama's overambitious, inexperienced, formerly-muslim fingertips.

Fact Check: Hillary versus the Republicans

12/29/2007 6:21:49 PM

Today, Sen. Obama falsely claimed that he was the only candidate who beat every Republican in recent polls:

Most recent polls, I am the only candidate who beats every single one of the Republican candidates. I beat Giuliani, I beat McCain, I beat Romney, I beat Thompson, I beat Huckabee, I beat 'em all. I beat them all…John Edwards doesn't beat them all. Hillary Clinton doesn't beat 'em all.

Many recent polls contradict his claims. Sen. Obama is not beating Sen. McCain:

McCain vs. Obama

Poll Date, McCain (R), Obama (D), Spread

FOX News 12/18 - 12/19

McCain 44% Obama 40% -- Spread, McCain +4%

CNN 12/06 - 12/09

McCain 48% Obama 48% -- Spread, Tie

Oh christ! A tie! 4%! Obama you lying scumbag, you haven't beat all the republicans in every polling matchup ever!

But wait, the post gets better. Here's the rest of the posting:

And recent polls also show Hillary is also beating her other potential Republican opponents:

Giuliani vs Clinton/Obama

NBC/WSJ 12/14 - 12/17

Giuliani 43% Clinton 46% -- Clinton +3%

Giuliani 40% Obama 49% -- Obama +9%

USA Today/Gallup 12/14 - 12/16

Giuliani 48% Clinton 49% -- Clinton +1%

Giuliani 45% Obama 51% -- Obama +6%

Battleground 12/09 - 12/12

Giuliani 44% Clinton 50% -- Clinton +6%

Giuliani 43% Obama 46% -- Obama +3%

CNN 12/06 - 12/09

Giuliani 45% Clinton 51% -- Clinton +6%

Giuliani 45% Obama 52% -- Obama +7%

Huckabee vs Clinton/Obama

FOX News 12/18 - 12/19

Huckabee 38% Clinton 47% -- Clinton +9%

Huckabee 35% Obama 44% -- Obama +9%

NBC/WSJ 12/14 - 12/17

Huckabee 44% Clinton 46% -- Clinton +2%

Huckabee 36% Obama 48% -- Obama +12%

USA Today/Gallup 12/14 - 12/16

Huckabee 44% Clinton 53% -- Clinton +9%

Huckabee 42% Obama 53% -- Obama +11%

CNN 12/06 - 12/09

Huckabee 44% Clinton 54% -- Clinton +10%

Huckabee 40% Obama 55% -- Obama +15%

Romney vs Clinton/Obama

USA Today/Gallup 12/14 - 12/16

Romney 46% Clinton 52% -- Clinton +6%

Romney 39% Obama 57% -- Obama +18%

Battleground 12/09 - 12/12

Romney 44% Clinton 50% -- Clinton +6%

Romney 42% Obama 48% -- Obama +6%

CNN 12/06 - 12/09

Romney 43% Clinton 54% -- Clinton +11%

Romney 41% Obama 54% -- Obama +13%

Thompson vs. Clinton/Obama

Rasmussen 11/19 - 11/20

Thompson 44% Clinton 46% -- Clinton +2%

Thompson 41% Obama 48% -- Obama +7%

Gallup 11/11 - 11/14

Thompson 40% Clinton 53% -- Clinton +13%

Thompson 38% Obama 51% -- Obama +13%

screen capture

See that? In hopes of catching Obama in a "lie" - and I'm certain Obama was really just quoting some specific poll which supported his claim, as all campaigns do - they've voluntarily posted poll numbers that show Obama consistently outperforming Hillary in match-ups versus every single Republican candidate. I see Hillary outperforming Obama exactly once in the midst of all those results, with a 6% Clinton margin over Giuliani against Obama's 3% margin according to Battleground.

More seriously, this sad little Facthub posting speaks to the glaring weakness last night's Obama Iowa victory exposed in the Clinton campaign. She has no salient message, no reason for being. Obama is hope, a candidate for the next generation hoping to leave the bitter boomer partisanship behind. Edwards offers a populist message, a triumphant, unstoppable progressive determination. In a sentence, the best I can come up with for Hillary is "the nineties", or "experience".

Last night should be all the evidence the Clinton campaign needs that's "experience" isn't a terribly persuasive campaign message. Earlier this morning, The Atlantic's Marc Ambinder posted a list of Clinton counter-attacks, and effort at re-messaging, and re-legitimizing the case for Clinton. One of those arguments was the following:

The Clinton Counter Attack

6. Run against the idea of John McCain as the Republican nominee; in other words, who's better to face McCain: Clinton or Obama?

While the sixth point focuses directly on McCain, the underlying argument is the familiar case of Clinton's superior electability. Just when the Clinton campaign's misguided poll driver messaging should be refocusing, they release this sad, unintentionally hilarious Facthub Obama smack-down, inadvertently regressing into the same old tired strategy that resulted in embarrassing Iowa defeat.

And just in case this blog posting results in shocking controversy, resulting in the article getting pulled, I've preserved it here:

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seanh

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