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Has anything plugged up the economic leaks yet?...


First, I want to compliment TPM Muckraker on an outstanding job of outlining the Treasury Department's approaches (or lack of them) administering this financial industry bailout into which we were so rushed earlier this fall. Second (and I apologize if this has been covered or is common knowledge) but has there been some emergency re-regulations installed to keep derivatives exchanges from collapsing the world economy even further?

It seems to me the utter lack of oversight in these highly risky instruments is what drove losses to what some economists are calling hundreds of trillions of dollars. If that's true, we haven't hit the nut of that catastrophe yet - the $700 billion bailout is a shovelful of coverage in a Grand Canyon-sized money pit. But has anything stopped this insanity? Is it still going on? Are financial whiz kids throwing our futures away on a now-worthless crap game?

Naomi Wolf asked the same thing in a "Democracy Now" interview with Amy Goodman last week:

"When exactly is the Re-regulation going to happen? This is the moment of high leverage. It is not just about firing the boss and seats on the board, it is about we regulating exactly what Larry Summers and Tim Geithner de-regulated under the Clinton administration. The real question is do these people have the humility to fix their own mistakes? My question is his Larry Summers' ego too big to fail? These guys should not be promoted at this point. Their reputations should really be destroyed by their own track records."

I'm with her. She wasn't slagging Summers over his "girls shouldn't worry their pretty li'l heads over science and engineering" crack as Harvard President; Wolf is talking about Summers' record of championing de-regulation, both as chief economist for the World Bank and in the Clinton-era Treasury. In fact, his name crops up along with Alan Greenspan and a handful of other eggheads when the Self-Correcting Market Cult is discussed.

Now Summers' name is getting painted on the frosted glass of an office door in the Obama Administration, as director of the White House National Economic Council. This guy just won't go away.

OK. Let me level with you. Here's my problem with filling up another White House with these too-smart yahoos: Their ideas crap out! Sure, the market "corrects" itself - and millions of people, along with every cent they have earned in their working lives, are corrected right down the toilet. The market corrects itself the way a nuclear reaction gently coalesces nucleae to produce a multi-kiloton detonation! In few procedures this side of frontal lobotomies do theory and reality part ways so irreversibly and catastrophically.

So... are we at least talking about plugging up some of the more egregious practices - like leveraging? (Or, borrowing - to us peasants.) How is that "leverage" system different from "margin" buying pre-1929, when the banks ran out of funny money to "buy" stocks wildly inflated by the "bubble" of... funny-money stock buying.

You know what? If I was a high-roller, say, three months ago, and I had stock in a static company - I'd take a bucket-shop bet its value was going to fall, then sell the stock. I get the full sale price plus the side-bet "derivative" payoff. Wonder if anyone did that way back then - in September? At the latest. Shoot... with nobody looking over their shoulder... no laws to be broken... how could they not game the system that and a hundred other ways? Who could resist?  

Look. Obviously, I'm not an economist. I know the big "underlying" of the late deriviative spree was the housing market. That's tubbed out, and so maybe this is all moot. Maybe the derivative market has self-corrected itself to dormancy. No money, no shell game. Right?

So... is that it? Are we safe yet?

 

 


 

 


8 Comments

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Safe yet?

Sorry, dude. Long way to go.

You'll know we're safe when every dollar on Earth isn't parked in T-Bills that pay 0.1% or sitting in cash.

Long way still. Not days/weeks/months.

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Does everybody recall that OBL's plan was not to continually attack America, but to trick it into financial ruin?

bushco with his wars and whatnot played right into his hands - just like puppets on a string.

Locally several local school boards invested in CDO's. Top universities with gold-plated investment advisers are losing up to a third of their endowments - often due to these investments that are "hard to value." Dung sold as bonds or whatchamacallits.

We are in for some severe recompense. Woe IZ us.

Elizabeth Warren and her panel will keep tabs on the bail-out:

http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/therap/2008/12/bless-you-elizabeth-warren.php

And I bet Dems are working to overhaul the financial system's lack of regulation at this very moment - whether it's being prepared by the congress or the Obama transition or both. There was a small comment I read somewhere this morning that made it clear the Obama folks are kept apprised of what the bush people are doing, but not consulted about what to do.

Your ire is called for here. It's up to us to hold feet to the fire - till sanity rules in every part of the economy and every aspect of government.

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I'm most afraid - and I think most of us are - that nothing will change. That the American - and international - financial systems will continue on a template designed by those who gain the most if the rest of us, those outside the boardrooms and trading floors, are relentlessly gamed for all we're worth. Several decades ago, banks and other financial institutions realized their world could be legislatively guaranteed to always come out on top, always make money. And now we have adjustable interest rates, limits on bankruptcy relief, bank fees looking cross-eyed... Loanshark America. There is a stratum in our society, now, where business risk simply does not exist. Without risk, there is no incentive to provide marketable goods and services. A big firm fails - who cares? The top-flight execs bail on platinum parachutes and let the "little people" - the tellers and branch managers, the floor traders and secretaries - take the long, hard fall. As long as that world, that tier, makes the rules, the looting will go on.

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Things will have to change. When you have wealthy people losing lots of money in hedge funds, ditto wealthy university endowments, and also you have entire countries, like Iceland, trapped in this mess, and our economy dragging down Asian economies now... I think there will be not just a national chorus asking for re-regulation but an international one as well.

Maybe I'm naive, but I honestly think dire straits will move the mountains that common sense couldn't move till now.

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The protocols of greed may be curbed, momentarily, and just for survival's sake, but I can't see, given our "money talks" political structure, how substantive change takes place unless our elected officials are made (somehow) more directly accountable to those they represent. The GAO reports, revealing a Treasury bereft of any clear guidelines and willing to let charity-case firms determine how their free salvation funds are parsed out (whether, say, chunks are snapped up in executive compensation) looks very much like a leaky ship of irresponsible fools who've shrugged and decided, "F*ck it. The whole process is in the tank, anyway - I'm gonna grab what I can!"

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I have no doubt you'll be following this like a hawk. And I'm sure, with Josh considering hiring a reporter specifically to write about the financial mess for TPM Muckraker that we will have ample opportunity to read and write about this - and our voices will undoubtedly make a difference.

Honestly, it's people like you and place like this, along with a president who'll be much more on top of things, that give me a great deal of hope. Sorry to be a hope-monger. But you give me that luxury!

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Thanks. And the same right back at you: That was a wonderful, very moving piece on the Cancer Center earlier this week. And I will be watching this - as long as I have a job and needn't hock my laptop. Make no mistake - I want this mess to turn around, too. Truthfully... I don't think I've ever been this scared.

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Thanks for your kind words. Here's a suggestion: Write about your feelings. About being scared. And how this affects you. Or might. And then enlarge it to how you see that affecting others. That's what moved you, I'm guessing in my post. And clearly that's what's beneath this post of yours. Now you've really got me intrigued here. (food for thought... maybe for another post)

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San Fernando Curt

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