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We have found the flaw and it be us...


The good news is, Alan Greenspan has seen the light. The bad news: It's a tail light of the steamroller that just pancaked us into the pavement.

Bloomberg quotes the ex-Fed chief as admitting (gawrsh!) deregulation and the Cult of the Free Market - time-bomb ideas he helped wire - may have been (how shall we put it?) ill-advised:

"'`Yes, I found a flaw,' Greenspan said in response to grilling from the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform. ``That is precisely the reason I was shocked because I'd been going for 40 years or more with very considerable evidence that it was working exceptionally well.' 

"Greenspan said he was 'partially' wrong in opposing regulation of derivatives and acknowledged that financial institutions didn't protect shareholders and investments as well as he expected.

"'We cannot expect perfection in any area where forecasting is required,' he said. 'We have to do our best but not expect infallibility or omniscience.'"

Gotta love that - he found the flaw. More accurately, the "flaw" came panting up at a dead run and kicked him wrecking-ball-hard in the ass. And, he's only "partially" wrong. 'Course... that was the partial where we kept our money!

Some in economic circles have been capping on Greenspan for years, over not just his abandonment of regulation, but also his tendency to keep interest rates artificially low and the markets hot. As The Daily Reckoning blog notes in "Greenspan's Bubble,"

"House prices have been running up in France, for example, at nearly the same rates as in America. But in France there is very little mortgage refinancing...or 'taking out' of equity. The European Central Bank was repeatedly urged to lower rates in line with those in America. It refused to budge. Without falling rates, there was no 'refi boom.' Nor were European banks offering 'home equity lines of credit.' Property could run up... and run down... and the only people who cared would be the actual buyers or sellers, who either cursed themselves or felt like geniuses, depending on their luck.

"But in Greenspan's bubble economy something remarkably awful happened. Householders were lured to 'take out' the equity in their homes. They believed that the bubble in real estate priced created 'wealth' that they could spend. Many did not hesitate. Mortgage debt ballooned in the early years of the 21st century - from about $6 trillion in 1999 to nearly $9 trillion at the end of 2004. Three trillion dollars may not seem like much to you, dear reader. But it increased the average household's debt by $30,000. Americans still lived in more or less the same houses. But they owed far more on them."

Fewer than three percent of American homes with mortgages are in foreclosure right now. There are about 51 million first mortgages in the United States -- but only about 1.4 million of them are either referred for foreclosure or in foreclosure - according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. But it's that small number of bad transactions that are affecting all home purchases - and all property value.

Adding to that is the mountain of bad paper banks accumulated by funding hyper-inflated prices ballooned by speculation and "house-flipping" - realty bandits buying a house, slapping on a new coat of paint and selling it for a king's ransom to low-income suckers convinced by unscrupulous lenders it was affordable.

Then the bubble burst, no one was buying, and the banks were stuck with defaulted loans on devalued property. In short - the market corrected itself. Greenspan was right; that's exactly the way a free market is supposted to operate. Supply. Demand. Those broken dreams and taxpayer bailouts are just... collateral damage.

Hey... we can't expect infallibility. Or omniscience.

There was a time, however, when we could count on a little... competence. Honesty. Maybe that dread word, decency? No, we don't need, want or expect perfection. But we need someone, some people, who'll stand between us and the naked greed that would defile, degrade and abandon us.

We will be paying for the negligence of you and the culture you helped fuel for decades, Mr. Greenspan.

Thanks for nothing.


7 Comments

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This is why we have to have leaders who are not only educated by evolved enough to hold the paradox of various economic strategies and is able to have much more compreshensive views of the implications of their decisions.

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Yes: That insight into the implications of their own decisions is really the key. What we are enduring now are the results of decision-makers confining their attentions to maximizing immediate returns.

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Ummm... I see that my grammar is horrible here... so I will claim that I was standing on my head when I wrote this because I cannot edit it and have not figured out how to submit after 'preview'...just end up in la la land when I try that.

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Delay of gratification. That's what it's all about.

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I was shocked because I'd been going for 40 years or more with very considerable evidence that it was working exceptionally well.'
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Right: As long as he was raking in millions, he was seeing considerable evidence that it was working exceptionally well for him.

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In my 50-plus years, I've noted that, frequently, there is a direct correlation between levels of income, status and moral myopia.

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Aww... shit. "Rear headlight"... That would be a "tail light", would it not? Just noticed that. Need an editor. Tough, but neat. Good with tableware.

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San Fernando Curt

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  • Location North Hollywood, CA
  • Party Democratic
  • Politics Neo-Realist

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Making it happen here in the San Fernando Valley - sunshine, car-jackings and facial tattoos. Livin' the high!

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