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Week of September 21, 2008 - September 27, 2008

More ground game reporting from Colorado


The MATH as we learned in the primary/caucus season is king, everything else is immaterial. In CO it appears that new registration of voters is approaching 10-12% per county which means that Colorado will grow beyond 3M voters (last reported to be 2.990+) but with registrations coming in daily. Registered voters are GOP 34.4%, Independents 34.1% and  31.5%. That said the trend continues to march big for Unaffiliated voters with Democrats increasing their rate over GOP registrations.

So with Obama polling near 51% over 41% what gives?  Independents are going to Obama 2 to 1 in all areas of the Front Range and even outpolling McCain with crossovers by 4-5% in either camps. With more Registered Republicans going for Obama instead of Registered Democrats going for McCain the Math continues.

In El Paso County, the home of Focus and New Life, where Registered Republicans previously outpolled Democrats almost 2-to-1 and yet this year something is happening that the country club and Focus crowd is not used to:  15000 new registrations are Unaffliated's, 10,000 are Republican and 9000 are Democrats to date. This is not 2-to-1 but something like Independents at 44%, Republicans at 29% and Democrats at 26%. Also El Paso will now have over 400,000 voters.

The problem for Colorado voters is time, not time to register but the amount of time they will have to devote to the ballot, almost as long as filling out their income taxes. With 18 ballot initiatives----eighteen----it is estimated that it will take 15 minutes to fill out the ballot. You think lines were long in Ohio, the lines will probably be 3 to 4 hours after 4 PM on November 4th in many places. I figured out that each precinct in Colorado Springs will be able to process 40 voters an hour maximum with 10 booths and 15 minutes. That would mean each precinct will have to process 33 persons an hour without a let up in the 12 hours to process the expected turnout of 70%.  Fortunately one-quarter of the electorate will use Mail In or Early Voting but still over 150,000 will vote on election day.

So the Ground Game has now accelerated gears in Colorado to get every identified Obama supporter to register Mail In and increase that number to 40% or more. This will make the difference for it is believed that the only loss in the Democratic Slate for the State was the Secretary State where over 15,000 estimated voters were turned away in 2006 because of long lines due to machine malfunctions.

The Ground Game believes it will talk to each Independent, Crossover Republican and Democrat three times before voting and effect the outcome over 5% and possibly 10%. And it is those Independents that are coming over in droves to the tune that only 15% of the electorate remains undecided.

That boring Ground Game....and Math.

The more I look at it the $700B is a Financial Coup!


Make no mistake the implications regarding a total failure of the Capital Markets in NYC and Worldwide would be a disaster, but the END DOES NOT JUSTIFY THE MEANS!  Meaning allowing a $700B bail out on top of what appears to be $600B bail out or $1, 600, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000.00 in total has to have STRINGS ATTACHED....many strings in fact strings and poison pills and even retribution otherwise it is nothing but a coup de' etat by financial means. This will handicap, even forestall any Healthcare Reform, Tax Reform for the sake of transferring wealth to the rich.

It is no different that how the NAZI's and Italian Fascists took over Germany and Europe in the 1930's. It binds without strings, accountablility and controls the BIG BANKS, BIG CORPORATIONS with the GOVERNMENT AND MILITARY the very definition of FASCISM. My take is this, if a bail is necessary than fine.

But freeze all assets of the individuals who were in charge of those banks and corporations for a follow up and detailed investigation. If they broke regulations, laws or were negligent to shareholders, investors or the government they lose it all!
« September 14, 2008 - September 20, 2008 | Home | September 28, 2008 - October 4, 2008 »

RWN

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