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Week of March 15, 2009 - March 21, 2009

Fact Checking Richard Cohen


Oh, boy this isn't pretty.  In his column today, Richard Cohen evinces the tone-deafness that has infected and will eventually kill the Washington Post.  He takes Stewart to task for being "wrong" 

about the financial media, particularly CNBC and its excitable analyst Jim Cramer. They didn't cover up the story of financial shenanigans. They didn't even know it existed.

As "proof" that these he lists the following names of CEOS that were wiped out by the loss of equity in Citibank et al: Hank Greenberg, Sandy Weill, Richard Fuld.  I wish I could get wiped out like this.

  • Hank Greenberg, in 2004 was one of the richest men in the world, with a net worth of roughly $3.6 billion.

  • Sandy Weill, as of 2001, was cashing out of his stock options to the tune of $196 million, and that socialist rag Forbes tagged him as "wildly overpaid."  (I doubt that the run-up exactly hurt him).

Of all the people that I feel sorry for, it isn't these three men. No doubt, they lost money.  Perhaps they had to sell one of seven condos.  But trust me, I think they're all doing just fine. And while they were getting rich on the "bet it on black" leverage scheme, investigative reporting was nowhere to be found.  Nonetheless, Cohen soldiers on:

The gravamen of his charge is that the financial media, particularly CNBC and Cramer, knew all the time what was happening and was, in effect, shilling for the industry. 

First, I don't think that's what the charge was.  I think that the charge was that there were some (like Cramer) who know how the market is manipulated, and that the media is at best an unwitting and at worst a willing accomplice.  The problem is not that these reporters didn't know about any of the problems with these businesses; it's that they didn't ask.  For the most part, they served as CEO stenographers--even those (like Cramer) who clearly knew better.  As with Iraq, there were plenty of dissenting voices (see Baker, Dean), but the press never let anyone hear from them.  (Can't imagine why Cohen would be sensitive to that charge--only "a fool or a Frenchman would think otherwise").

Second, a point that Cohen missed is that it was in the big shots' interests to believe.  Short term profits go up--more money for the executives.  That gets paid by the shareholders.  Once Weill  et al. put their millions in the bank and it doesn't matter if they were right or wrong over the long term.  

This guy simply does not realize what a clown he is.  So long as he and others like him dominate the "ideas" of the Washington Post, it is doomed to failure.  



Not Quite Sure About AIG's Semtex


Emptywheel, who is usually right on about a lot of issues--especially those involving executive privilege, graymail, and especially all matters Libby, had a post today that doesn't make a lot of sense to me. It may be true that, for example, certain institutions are supposed to have key employees in place, and that if that employee leaves, the replacement must meet with the other side's approval.  Summed up, her position seems is that if the scythe swings widely, AIG goes into default due to its contractual requirements with foreign regulators, and then the taxpayer ends up with the tab.  This accounts for the brass ones they've displayed in the press.

This does not make a whole lot of sense to me.  Suppose, for example, you're a purchaser of securities.  You want to buy, in a series of transactions, a bunch of loans from bank X.  You would want to make sure that whoever was making the credit decisions on those loans was responsible and qualified, and (depending on the transaction) may even want approval over that person for one reason or another.  Obviously, you wouldn't want that person's departure, death, maternity leave, etc. to sink the relationship, so the contract probably provides for that.

Thus, I have to believe that even putting aside the fact that the government owns the company, there has to be a way to fire these people without triggering defaults--one at a time.  (Seriously, the sector has shrunk so much, where do they think they're going to go?  Lehman's not hiring, I've heard.).  Unless these folks were going to move collectively to put the bank into default, which raises a whole bunch of other problems as they're not "employees" for labor relations purposes.  

In my own mind, AIG has miscalculated enormously. Before this, I think there was a chance that they and others would get out of this mess without criminal indictments, or even broad new government regulation.  Now--in an environment where autoworkers were laid off and their contracts broken--these executives demand their payments because--why, exactly?  These executives, ironically enough, were in no danger of losing their jobs before this last piece of idiocy.

Congress could, for example, easily write a specific bankruptcy provision to address this situation (with one caveat: it must be addressed at all financial institutions or the S Ct will strike it down).  The procedures could be structured in such a way that the parties to the insurance obligations are made whole (if that is in fact desireable, which is a pretty dubious proposition).    And once the government starts coming after you, they rarely stop (even when they should).  It also remains to be seen what the feds may do with their ownership interest.

If anyone has a link to the letter from counsel on which AIG apparently relied for their position, I'd love to see it.  I think, however, that they've probably got that piece of paper under lock and key.

Update:
Ok, this helps a lot.  Except it doesn't.
If this is right, then emptywheel is wrong and the deals hinge on the bonuses, not the employees.  But this makes no sense at all.  Again, suppose the employee leaves?  Who gets the money then?  This schmuck basically has a guaranteed payment of X dollars that follows him around his entire life?  Citing the agreement isn't enough.  Anybody got a link to what it actually says?
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rumpole

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