« Sarah Palin's Death Panels | Robert Reich's Blog | The Public Option's Last Stand, and the Public's »
Obama's Second Biggest Test: Reforming Wall Street, and Why Early Indications Aren't Hopeful
Citigroup -- the giant Wall Street bank still on life-support courtesy of $45 billion from American taxpayers -- wants to pay its twenty-five top executives an average of $10 million each this year, and award its best trader $100 million. Whaaat?
Second only to healthcare reform as a test of Obama's toughness and resolve is reform of Wall Street. And like the healthcare industry, Wall Street has platoons of lobbyists and an almost unlimited war chest to protect its interests and prevent change. So what can we learn by what's going on now, regarding pay for the top brass at big "too big to fail" banks? After the bonus plan for AIG executives blew up last year, a law enacted last February requires that any "too big to fail" institution that's received bailouts get Treasury's approval on pay for their top earners. Companies are supposed to file their pay proposals no later than today. So far, most are seeking around $7 million each for their top twenty-five.
As you can expect, Citi and the rest argue that $7 to $10 million is necessary in order to keep and attract "talent."
Tragically, Treasury has already given in on this one. In judging whether a proposed pay package is appropriate, Treasury has decided to be guided by "comparable" pay packages in the industry. This means Ken Feinberg, appointed as special master to decide on a case-by-case basis, will be the flak-catcher. He'll take the heat when he approves pay packages that, while perhaps not as ridiculously exhorbitant as the ones the banks seek, are still bonkers because they're roughly "comparable" to the wild pay on the rest of the Street -- thereby protecting Geithner and Geithner's boss from the public's outrage about bailing out these bankers and then having them earn princely sums at a time when most peoples' jobs are at risk and their earnings are shrinking.
"Comparable" pay is a ridiculous standard to begin with, and the argument that $10 million, or even $7 million, is necessary to keep talent is absurd on its face. I needn't remind you that over the last several years Wall Street has exhibited a truly astonishing lack of talent. So why do any of Wall Street's big banks have the audacity to offer this sort of pay? Because the Street is back to the same, relentlessly untalented tactics that made it lots of money before the meltdown -- which also forced taxpayers to bail it out, caused the world economy to melt down, and tens of millions of people to lose big chunks of their life savings. Goldman Sach's chief financial executive asserted recently that its business model hadn't changed one bit from what it was before the meltdown. Goldman is making big money again, but its business model got it into such deep trouble it needed a multi-billion dollar taxpayer bailout as well as a bailout of AIG, which owed it money. Without these bailouts, there'd be no "talent" because there'd be no Goldman, no Citi, no Street.
Even if you believe Wall Street needs "talent," I suspect that firms such as Citi can get all the talent they need for far less than an average of $10 million each. Maybe even $1 million? The whole system of "comparable" pay is propped up by a zero-sum self-perpetuating competition in which the price of so-called "talent" is determined by how much every other bank is willing to pay for "talent." If every bank decided to pay $1 million, that would be the "comparable" price of talent on the Street. I mean, it's not as if this economy has so many other $1 million-a-year positions begging for Wall Street executives and traders.
There's a more basic issue here. The fact that these big banks have been judged "too big to fail" means their top executives and traders know they can take even bigger risks now, because we taxpayers will bail them out. So inevitably part of their firm's earnings, based on such risk-taking, now come as a result of this public insurance policy. When risks pay off, as many are doing now that the stock market is showing signs of life, they reap large rewards. When the risks turn really bad, you and I and other taxpayers will pick up the pieces.
The insurance these "too big to fail" banks are receiving makes them more like public utilities than private firms. As such, not only is it entirely appropriate for government to review their pay but also to make sure pay is kept within strict bounds -- not $100 million, not $10 million, not $7 million, but far, far less. As long as you and I are cushioning them, their top brass should be earning just about what the top brass of any public utility earns (which, when I last looked, ranged from $100,000 to $600,000).
The big banks have a choice, of course. They could opt out of the "too big to fail" system. They could break themselves apart (or invite antitrust agencies to do the breaking for them) so they were no longer too big to fail and won't be bailed out the next time they make hugely stupid mistakes. Then they could award their executives and traders as much money as they wanted and as the market would bear -- because then they'd be part of the free market instead of wards of the state.
Will this happen? Don't bet on it. Note how easily Treasury caved in on the "comparable" pay standard. In coming months, other financial regulators will decide appropriate pay guidelines for the institutions they supervise. Two weeks ago, the House passed legislation giving regulators even greater authority over compensation packages. Given what's happened to date, there's no reason to suppose Wall Street pay will be reined in at all.
Second only to healthcare reform as a test of Obama's toughness and resolve is reform of Wall Street. And like the healthcare industry, Wall Street has platoons of lobbyists and an almost unlimited war chest to protect its interests and prevent change. So what can we learn by what's going on now, regarding pay for the top brass at big "too big to fail" banks? After the bonus plan for AIG executives blew up last year, a law enacted last February requires that any "too big to fail" institution that's received bailouts get Treasury's approval on pay for their top earners. Companies are supposed to file their pay proposals no later than today. So far, most are seeking around $7 million each for their top twenty-five.
As you can expect, Citi and the rest argue that $7 to $10 million is necessary in order to keep and attract "talent."
Tragically, Treasury has already given in on this one. In judging whether a proposed pay package is appropriate, Treasury has decided to be guided by "comparable" pay packages in the industry. This means Ken Feinberg, appointed as special master to decide on a case-by-case basis, will be the flak-catcher. He'll take the heat when he approves pay packages that, while perhaps not as ridiculously exhorbitant as the ones the banks seek, are still bonkers because they're roughly "comparable" to the wild pay on the rest of the Street -- thereby protecting Geithner and Geithner's boss from the public's outrage about bailing out these bankers and then having them earn princely sums at a time when most peoples' jobs are at risk and their earnings are shrinking.
"Comparable" pay is a ridiculous standard to begin with, and the argument that $10 million, or even $7 million, is necessary to keep talent is absurd on its face. I needn't remind you that over the last several years Wall Street has exhibited a truly astonishing lack of talent. So why do any of Wall Street's big banks have the audacity to offer this sort of pay? Because the Street is back to the same, relentlessly untalented tactics that made it lots of money before the meltdown -- which also forced taxpayers to bail it out, caused the world economy to melt down, and tens of millions of people to lose big chunks of their life savings. Goldman Sach's chief financial executive asserted recently that its business model hadn't changed one bit from what it was before the meltdown. Goldman is making big money again, but its business model got it into such deep trouble it needed a multi-billion dollar taxpayer bailout as well as a bailout of AIG, which owed it money. Without these bailouts, there'd be no "talent" because there'd be no Goldman, no Citi, no Street.
Even if you believe Wall Street needs "talent," I suspect that firms such as Citi can get all the talent they need for far less than an average of $10 million each. Maybe even $1 million? The whole system of "comparable" pay is propped up by a zero-sum self-perpetuating competition in which the price of so-called "talent" is determined by how much every other bank is willing to pay for "talent." If every bank decided to pay $1 million, that would be the "comparable" price of talent on the Street. I mean, it's not as if this economy has so many other $1 million-a-year positions begging for Wall Street executives and traders.
There's a more basic issue here. The fact that these big banks have been judged "too big to fail" means their top executives and traders know they can take even bigger risks now, because we taxpayers will bail them out. So inevitably part of their firm's earnings, based on such risk-taking, now come as a result of this public insurance policy. When risks pay off, as many are doing now that the stock market is showing signs of life, they reap large rewards. When the risks turn really bad, you and I and other taxpayers will pick up the pieces.
The insurance these "too big to fail" banks are receiving makes them more like public utilities than private firms. As such, not only is it entirely appropriate for government to review their pay but also to make sure pay is kept within strict bounds -- not $100 million, not $10 million, not $7 million, but far, far less. As long as you and I are cushioning them, their top brass should be earning just about what the top brass of any public utility earns (which, when I last looked, ranged from $100,000 to $600,000).
The big banks have a choice, of course. They could opt out of the "too big to fail" system. They could break themselves apart (or invite antitrust agencies to do the breaking for them) so they were no longer too big to fail and won't be bailed out the next time they make hugely stupid mistakes. Then they could award their executives and traders as much money as they wanted and as the market would bear -- because then they'd be part of the free market instead of wards of the state.
Will this happen? Don't bet on it. Note how easily Treasury caved in on the "comparable" pay standard. In coming months, other financial regulators will decide appropriate pay guidelines for the institutions they supervise. Two weeks ago, the House passed legislation giving regulators even greater authority over compensation packages. Given what's happened to date, there's no reason to suppose Wall Street pay will be reined in at all.
Advertisement
















Didn't Adam Smith warn against monopolies, trusts, cartels, whatever, which he predicted would inevitably develop under laissez-faire capitalism? What would Smith say about financial entities, en masse, setting executive pay/bonuses across the board.
If 'comparable' pay becomes the criterion determining executive pay/bonuses, an across-the-board agreement would be the way for banks etc. to go if committed to awarding mega pay to employees.
I've read that during the Depression there was an average of 120 bank failures a month for 48 months in succession. If something like that is happening today, consumers will be forced to trade with big banks - or no banks at all - which is a developed monopoly in my book. Even now, banks seem to care little that in rewarding zillions of tax-paper dollars to undeserving employees, their public image is in the tank. Which brings me back to at least one of the dangers of monopolized capitalism.
(By the way, I avoided 'Econ' in college understanding that taking it was like volunteering to be injected with the plague, so please excuse my naivete)
August 14, 2009 3:50 PM | Reply | Permalink
As the guest from UDel on NBR last night put it, the "pay czar" is in a hopeless position: if he OKs the exorbitant pay, he loses, but if he nixes it, he also loses.
Given this, I suggest that he should do what I think you suggested here:
So, he should limit them to this 100-to-600-k range and let the chips fall where they may.August 14, 2009 4:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Understatement of the Year
August 14, 2009 4:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
While some banks are too big to fail, it is perhaps useful to recall a revised version of Thomas Hobbes' justification for the social order: no bank executive is too big to be shot.
August 14, 2009 5:23 PM | Reply | Permalink
Now this post is funny. Thanks.
August 14, 2009 7:58 PM | Reply | Permalink
Ancient Roman Legions had a practive called 'decimation'. If the Legion standard was captured due insufficient effectiveness and fervor by the soldiers in a battle, one out of every ten members of the legion was exectuted.
Perhaps those contract Air Force psychologist interrogators that Obama recently fired (who waterboarded Khaleed---- 183 times) could be put back to work to devise something 'decimation-like' up for one of every ten bankers from bailout banks. Most of the public would love it, Roberts SCOTUS might even go along (I know Clarence Thomas would).
My guess is it such an oversight program would decrease fraud rapidly and keep it low for a long time.
August 15, 2009 8:34 PM | Reply | Permalink
Pour encourager les autres.
August 15, 2009 11:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Given how hopeless it is to expect change, isn't the only logical course of action to stop investing in investment banks and mutual funds? As "Your Money or Your Life" instructs, FDIC-Insured CD's or US Treasuries may be the ONLY safe investments left.
How else can you 1) protect your money, and 2) hurt the banks for being such ruthless scumbags? As a financial products consumer, I simply do not trust any of these people.
After all, Fairfield County, CT is built on the "stolen" pension fund money of trusting folks like you and me. No?
August 14, 2009 6:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
. . . any "too big to fail" institution that's received bailouts get Treasury's approval on pay for their top earners.
Sounds unconstitutional to me. Are you sure the law doesn't say receives -- as in receives after the date of enactment of this statute?
In any case if I were CEO of Citi or of Bank of America, et als., I think I'd tell Ken Feinberg to go suck an egg.
August 14, 2009 8:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
You always cut right to the chase, girlfriend.
August 14, 2009 9:13 PM | Reply | Permalink
When any corporation, be it a bank or an automobile maker, is too big to fail, it needs to be downsized to where it is just big enough to fail. That is the approach that should be taken. We had anti-trust laws for a purpose, and that was it. It is, of course, too much to ask that a Congress made up of corporate whores pass an effective anti-trust law, so that leaves us with only one choice - elect a Congress that has morals. When we fail to do that, and we will fail to do that, as sure as the sun will rise tomorrow, we must then begin to seriously consider the other options, the most effective one being a revolution. Does anyone know if guillotines are still being manufactured?
August 14, 2009 10:31 PM | Reply | Permalink
The Obama administration long ago sold out to the thieves of Wall Street. The whole purpose of Summers and Geithner is to service the needs of those pigs and they are doing a fine job of it too! There's nothing they won't allow those criminal swine to do and no amount of money or benefits from the government is too much. It is genuinely sickening.
August 14, 2009 11:11 PM | Reply | Permalink
Straight from a business analyst on the nightly business report, it's more like "too well-connected to fail".
Obama saved capitalism, and I'm now working for Bank of America and off of unemployment (...at least until the next crisis).
August 15, 2009 7:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
I'd be willing to cap the top exec compensation at $1M per year and go with the cast of "30 Rock." I strongly doubt most people would notice the difference.
(Might have to pay Fey and Baldwin a little extra if we want them not to moonlight.)
August 15, 2009 8:14 PM | Reply | Permalink