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Astroturf Along American Highways, and the Republican Plan


On our drive across America, my son and I have spotted spiffy white vans emblazoned with phrases like "ObamaCare will raise your taxes" and "ObamaCare will put bureaucrats in charge of your health." Just outside Omaha we drove close enough to take a peek at the driver, who looked as dutifully professional as the spanking new van he was driving.

This isn't grass roots. It's Astroturf. The vans carry the logo "Americans for Prosperity," one of the Washington front groups orchestrating the fight against universal health. They're using Congress's August recess to heckle Democratic representatives when they meet with their constituents, stage erszatz local anti-universal health rallies, and fill home-town media with carefully-crafted, market-tested messages demonizing healthcare reform.

The Republican party's fingerprints are all over this. FreedomWorks, another group now Astroturfing its way around America, is chaired by former House Republican Leader Dick Armey. Texas Republican Pete Sessions, who chairs the National Republican Campaign Committee, says the days of civil town halls are "now over.” Key Republican funders are forking out big bucks. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce, whose ties to the GOP are legion, announced in June it would “develop a sweeping national advocacy campaign encompassing advertising, education, political activities, new media and grassroots organizing" to battle universal health and other Democratic initiatives.

The Republicans' goal isn't ideological. It's power. Republicans smell 1994 all over again. That's when they defeated Clinton's healthcare plan -- and in doing so convinced large numbers of Americans that Clinton and the Democrats couldn't be trusted. This enabled the Republicans to retake control of Congress. From then on, they blocked Clinton's agenda. They even gave themselves a shot at the presidency in 1996.

Who can blame them for wanting to recreate 1994? Republicans have no other strategy. They can't attack Obama personally because he's just too popular. They've been incapable of coming up with their own plan for healthcare reform. The biggest healthcare interest groups -- the AMA, private insurers, and Big Pharma -- have publicly backed the major healthcare initiatives coming from congressional Democrats (although, I suspect, are quietly supporting the Republicans' Astroturf blitz). Their "tea parties" in April were a flop. Their poll numbers are awful. Their major loudmouths -- Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannnity, and Dick Cheney -- are not exactly attractive to most Americans. Their biggest nightmare, Sarah Palin, is already on the campaign trail for 2012.

But this Republican strategy will fail. 2010 will not be 1994. There's too much momentum behind universal health care right now to stop it. Yet the Republicans' fake grass-roots campaign may cause some Democratic lawmakers to become even more nervous about universal health care than they already are, or at least give them an excuse to duck when it comes time to vote in September. The result will be a watered-down set of reforms that still leave millions of Americans uninsured and don't slow healthcare costs. This is why Obama has to fight for this so hard over the August recess, why he has to be far more specific about what he wants in the bill, and why he can't afford any more diversions -- like the beer summit, or economic advisors who seem to open the door to middle-class tax increases. The Republican party's fingerprints are all over this. FreedomWorks, another group now Astroturfing its way around America, is chaired by former House Republican Leader Dick Armey. Texas Republican Pete Sessions, who chairs the National Republican Campaign Committee, says the days of civil town halls are "now over.” Key Republican funders are forking out big bucks. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce, whose ties to the GOP are legion, announced in June it would “develop a sweeping national advocacy campaign encompassing advertising, education, political activities, new media and grassroots organizing" to battle universal health and other Democratic initiatives.

The Republicans' goal isn't ideological. It's power. Republicans smell 1994 all over again. That's when they defeated Clinton's healthcare plan -- and in doing so convinced large numbers of Americans that Clinton and the Democrats couldn't be trusted. This enabled the Republicans to retake control of Congress. From then on, they blocked Clinton's agenda. They even gave themselves a shot at the presidency in 1996.

Who can blame them for wanting to recreate 1994? Republicans have no other strategy. They can't attack Obama personally because he's just too popular. They've been incapable of coming up with their own plan for healthcare reform. The biggest healthcare interest groups -- the AMA, private insurers, and Big Pharma -- have publicly backed the major healthcare initiatives coming from congressional Democrats (although, I suspect, are quietly supporting the Republicans' Astroturf blitz). Their "tea parties" in April were a flop. Their poll numbers are awful. Their major loudmouths -- Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannnity, and Dick Cheney -- are not exactly attractive to most Americans. Their biggest nightmare, Sarah Pallin, is already on the campaign trail for 2012.

But this Republican strategy will fail. 2010 will not be 1994. There's too much momentum behind universal health care right now to stop it. Yet the Republicans' fake grass-roots campaign may cause some Democratic lawmakers to become even more nervous about universal health care than they already are, or at least give them an excuse to duck when it comes time to vote in September. The result will be a watered-down set of reforms that still leave millions of Americans uninsured and don't slow healthcare costs. This is why Obama has to fight for this so hard over the August recess, why he has to be far more specific about what he wants in the bill, and why he can't afford any more diversions -- like the beer summit, or economic advisors who seem to open the door to middle-class tax increases.

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Robert - I believe you're right about most items in your discussion, but not about middle class tax increases - at least in one form or another - despite Obama's campaign promise.

America's health care costs are rising far faster than GDP, and so reform will have to pay higher and higher expenses to subsidize low income individuals. Part of the answer, of course, resides in reforming health care itself (outside of insurance) to reduce duplicate and unnecessary facilities, tests, and treatments incentivized by a fee for service paradigm, but this will take many years, and Congress has not even begun to address it seriously. In the meantime, some mechanism must be implemented to match future revenues to health care cost increases, and the only practical way so far mentioned is to tax the insurance that pays for the cost increases, because that insurance will necessarily grow commensurately. This can be done by eliminating the tax exemption on employer based insurance, or by taxing the most expensive insurance plans. For adequate revenue, however, these taxes must extend down into the middle class. Merely surtaxing income won't suffice, because income is rising more slowly than health care costs.

Finally, note that the problem can't be solved by eliminating private insurance (although private insurance certainly needs reform and the competition from a public option). Medicare and Medicaid expenditures are rising faster than other components of health care. That is partly due to demographics, but also demonstrates that cost increases are driven primarily by the expenses of health care itself rather than expenses added by the insurance companies.

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I've read that the medical profession has latched on to a neat little trick of ordering what are medically unnecessary tests - as many as can possibly be justified considering the patient's ailment - as a way of increasing income.

Big Pharma has gotten in the profit-taking act by convincing patients (TV ads) and even doctors that the more prescribed meds the better for the patient.

(The fact that 30,000 medicare patients die each year from over treatment would tend to support that these practices are alive - and not very well.)

Finally, can it really be argued that 'passing' our medical payments through the insurance syndicate on to the health-care givers (to the tune of $350 billion/year) is really necessary let alone justified? Not to mention that we're not really getting a bang-for-our-buck in that this marvelous system has us 37th in the world in the quality of our health-care.

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"This is why Obama has to fight for this so hard over the August recess, why he has to be far more specific about what he wants in the bill, and why he can't afford any more diversions -- like the beer summit, or economic advisors who seem to open the door to middle-class tax increases."

THANK YOU !

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I suggested above, Kali, that middle class tax increases, however unwelcome, will be a necessity. It's a reality forced on us by the growth of health care costs, and can't be eliminated simply by insurance reform, however desirable that might be.

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Nope. Increase taxes on those making over $250,000 only!

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I don't agree. It can come down to other choices: reduce military spending and raise taxes on higher income beyond $250,000 significantly. Tax cuts asides, I'm especially supportive of his advice for the president.

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Bingo again :)

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You can be the President. I'm happy to take V.P. I just can't promise that I'll be a Democrat. ;)

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Oh, well, hell...if we're willing to start talking about a real reduction in military spending, then there's nothing we can't have. Health care, free solar panels and e-vehicles for everyone, hot and cold running chocolate milk in every public square.

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Here's the sobering news demonstrating why middle class tax increases are inevitable to help defray the costs of future health care reform -

http://www.concordcoalition.org/issue-briefs/2009/0521/long-range-forecasts-health-care-costs-ominous-and-maybe-even-optimistic

The middle class would be impacted even more severely without reform, so their need to help pay for reform is not an imposition but a substitute for worse expenses in an unreformed system.

Many commenters have depicted the problem as primarily one of insurance, but in fact, insurance reform, while necessary, would go less than half way toward rendering health care affordable for all. The system itself must be reformed to eliminate duplicate and unnecessary services, and to reward providers through fee for value rather than fee for service.

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How far would, say, 10 billion a month go? Is permanent war in Afghanistan Obama's plan? You don't imagine we're there for a year or so, right? Not much discussion on this. How can we afford nation-building in that country instead of taking care of our own problems? Without a public option -a first step at rolling back insurance corporate interests -this country won't compete in this century. That's a more dangerous terrorist threat than Afghanistan, is it not?

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Fred, I don't think the middle class, especially the lower middle class, can take anymore...the money has got to come from some other place. My son is in that lower middle class area. He and his wife are selling their house, not because they CAN'T make the payments, but because they are being squeezed so hard financially that they can't take the pressure. They will free up over 2K per month by renting.

When they had their new baby, their insurance went up $250 per month, $3000.00 per year, on top of all other expenses related to having a child. And it is crappy insurance with high deductibles. And they are the lucky ones...they have something to give up to get themselves a cushion.

Some combination of reining in insurance co. profits and expecting the ultra rich to pay more is the only solution I can see.

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Hi stilli - My answer to you is complex. If the system isn't reformed, the burden on the middle class will quickly become unbearable - e.g., $25,000 for family health insurance within a couple of decades or less, along with copays, deductibles, and the like. On the other hand, if reform legislation passes, paying for it will require revenues too large to come from taxing only the wealthy, or from shifting money from other government categories, but will require some increase in tax burden on the middle class.

You refer to the "lower middle class". In an adequately reformed system, increased taxes on that group would be offset by two sets of savings. First, future insurance premiums would be reduced in comparison with our current trajectory. Second, those at the lower end of the income spectrum (but above the Medicaid level) would see part or all of their insurance premiums subsidized by the government, depending on their exact income level.

In fact, stilli, it is exactly that feature of reform - help to struggling families to pay insurance premiums - that will cost the government so much that it must impose taxes on all who can afford to pay them.

Finally, to repeat a point I made earlier about the probable necessity of taxing employer-based insurance (currently exempt) or highest level insurance plans, the relevant point here is that health care costs are rising faster than other parts of the economy, including income, defense, etc. This means that to keep up, the government will have to raise revenues faster than income goes up. However, when health care costs go up, the cost and value of insurance rise commensurately, and so revenues would similarly rise even if the tax rates on the insurance remained constant.

Many members of the public are hoping for easier solutions than these, but Congress can't engage in wishful thinking and ignore the realities that the CBO data are confronting them with. That is why they will either provide an adequate revenue source for proposed reform or fail to achieve reform that covers everyone at affordable costs to the individual.

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Fred
I NEVER agree with you about these things, and I think that the reason why that is so is that you seem to believe that things will always be as they have always been and that is the lens you look through.

I do not agree. I believe that insurance companies and for profit hospitals and "extraordinary care" and expensive "miracle" pharmaceuticals are pricing themselves out of the market. If buying insurance for a family reaches $25,000 a year I predict that even more people will make the very rational decision that they will do without insurance. Even now, there are a number of those who are uninsured who have made a rational decision not to buy insurance but to use that money for something they think is more important (oh, maybe something like rent or food.) The more the cost goes up, the more people will opt out. You assume that everyone wants insurance--I say not necessarily. You assume that everyone should have insurance, I say not necessarily. Your conversation is always about insurance--it is NOT about health care! The two are not the same.

As for medicare, perhaps it is partly cultural--perhaps people feel that if the Dr recommends these 10 tests and these 4 drugs, that must be what has to be done. As the child of a doctor I don't buy it. I believe that my medical treatment is as much up to me as it is up to the doctor. (I know, I DO drive the doctors crazy!) I feel that I can determine whether that $300 a month prescription is worth it and I can refuse it.

And in terms of tax, you are speaking of taxing the people who GET health insurance from their employer, with no mention of changing anything in the ability of the employer to deduct those benefits. In fact, businesses pay little in taxes now--how about upping their stake in this?

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Respectfully, Hmmm, I think you may disagree because you haven't read what I wrote carefully, nor scrutinized the data in the concordcoaltion link I cited above.

All other industrialized democracies surpass us in that they provide care for more citizens, at lower cost, and with better health outcomes. They differ in many respects, but share some common features - most notable are a strong public component to maintain a lid on costs, and universal or near universal insurance mandated by the government so as to achieve communal risk sharing.

Left to their own, not everyone might want insurance, but everyone is going to get sick. Without insurance, the cost will be unbearable for some, and the rest of society will have to pick up the tab. This is one reason why all the other societies have recognized the need for universal insurance, and why that is mandated in current reform proposals, with some special exceptions. The concept of a nation with a dwindling percentage of insured individuals is too ghastly for any health expert to contemplate, and the choices will therefore be between having as many insured as now, or insuring a much greater number.

Insurance premium reform (e.g., by a public option) is only a minor part of insurance reform, albeit an important part, and insurance reform is only a minor part of health care reform. The health care system itself is broken, irrespective of insurance costs, and has reached its current unsupportable level through the uncontrolled proliferation of excessive or unnecessary resources - too many hospitals, too many machines, too many tests, too many specialists, too many unnecessary procedures, etc., - most encouraged by the fee for service paradigm.

This must change, but change will only be achievable over 1-2 decades at a minimum. It can't be changed by changes in patient choices, because patients lack the information necessary (a point repeatedly made by Paul Krugman and many others expert in the area of health economics). It can't be changed via changes in physician choices, because physicians lack the information necessary for the most part (as a physician, I'm aware of the limits of physician knowledge regarding the system as a whole). Change will only be achievable through a systematic approach oveseen by government and advised by experts in medicine and health economics. Unfortunately, currently proposed legislation merely waves a hand at the problem through some pilot programs, but much more reform of healthcare itself will be needed.

If others have not read and thoroughly digested the link I cited earlier, I encourage them to do so. It informs us of the extremely daunting tasks ahead, but tasks we can't wish away by addressing insurance issues alone.

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Fred. Your comments always assume that there will be some rational response by to a carefully reasoned argument. I doubt there will. This health care fight is about power. Who has it and wants to keep it. And who has the "audacity of hope" to make a grab for some of it.

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Fred:
Your statement: "...it is exactly that feature of reform - help to struggling families to pay insurance premiums - that will cost the government so much that it must impose taxes on all who can afford to pay them." is way off the mark.

What you are saying is that the "government must take money in the form of taxes from families in order to help those families pay for health insurance. Any way this is looked at results in less money being available to those families for health insurance since at least some of that taxed money is used up in overhead and in paying the salaries of the people (government bureaucrats) running the program.
.

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“We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defence, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America.”

Blessings of Liberty to OURSELVES, OUR PROSPERITY

Section. 8. The Congress shall have Power To lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises, to pay the Debts and provide for the common Defence and general Welfare of the United States; but all Duties, Imposts and Excises shall be uniform throughout the United States;

NOWHERE did it say uniform around the world.

STOP THE MADNESS. REPEAL NAFTA
NAFTA is really less about trade than it is about investment.

TAXING IMPORTS, IS ONE WAY TO FINANCE HEALTHCARE

PROTECT AMERICA
The Republicans want to cry about taxes upon the middle class or the rich, as a reason against healthcare, then TAX imports.

Obama won't have to tax the middle class or the rich; collect an import tax.

BUY AMERICAN; or pay a higher tax.
A tax whose sole reason is to finance healthcare.

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You realize NAFTA has nothing to do with imports from China, right?

Oh, hell, why am I even bothering.

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Uh... you are nuts, right?

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Resistance:
Who do you think will be paying for those taxes you want to impose on imports?
It will be the people (Americans) who buy those imports, not the importers or the countries from which those goods are imported.

Are you really in favor of placing - say a $50.00 per barrel on imported crude oil? That would convert to about a $1.00 per gallon increase in the price of gasoline. It would also encourage depletion the crude oil available in the USA. Is this what you really want?
.

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Upon viewing Keith Ellison's townhall, I listened to some astroturfer babbling away about "agreeing" that health care was "a right", but that somehow this right required that we must pay for it on our own..somehow?

This and other "testimonials", relating how Canadian health care left people wanting for care for months, years..or that some chemo drug was illegal in Norway (uh, what?) implied automatically that all these horror stories would come to pass here..of course. Well, welcome astroturfers!

These folks weren't screaming..but then Ellison wasn't responding, either..just going from one person to another. I'm sure they were "ready", if he had. If I ever heard folks reading from scripts, that was it. I've known plenty of folks from countries all over the world, especially including Canada, who swear by their health care programs.

However, America is still, in this day and age, notoriously insulated and wallowing in ignorance. So, you get a busload of mercenaries fomenting fear and mongering rumors and the few folks who might have legitimate concerns and confusion start to worry. RepubliCon/Insura-mafioso handbook..Chapter One, Verse Three.

I'd say that anyone who yells and screams and tries to drown out others (especially the gal or fellow who is supposed to be giving out the answers) is an anarchist. He doesn't believe in the American way..democracy, or the United States.

A legitimately concerned citizen is one who comes with questions..asking for answers, or at least a good discussion! These loud-mouthed, ill-bred clowns are only trying to drown out the opposition. Of course, that accomplishes nothing. Reason? They are TERRIFIED of the truth getting out!

Their "fix" is to stop any opportunity for discourse..for their illogic would immediately be unmasked. That's just a bunch of tyrants, my friends..unAmerican and disgusting..an affront to every real American who is trying to sincerely make sense of this whole business.

Now, legislators are getting death threats..can ya believe..and cancelling one of the most fundamentally democratic, traditionally American methods of resolving our issues..the Town Hall!

Maybe the only way around this is to start having private citizens hold mini-townhalls in their homes, inviting their legislators to speak. If your area has some civic-minded and generous citizen, able to offer a larger venue, then more folks might actually get the chance to participate.

Of course, being private..with a private security force available to throw the rowdies out on their butts..it might take the heat off the legislators. Maybe, at that..the ads or invitations should include the warning that "Respectful discourse is encouraged. Hecklers will be immediately shot". Just kidding..mmm, maybe not.

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In politics, there's a rule that says when you ask people to get involved, always tell them it'll be easy. Well, let's be honest here: Passing comprehensive health insurance reform will not be easy. Every President since Harry Truman has talked about it, and the most powerful and experienced lobbyists in Washington stand in the way.

But every day we don't act, Americans watch their premiums rise three times faster than wages, small businesses and families are pushed towards bankruptcy, and 14,000 people lose their coverage entirely. The cost of inaction is simply too much for the people of this nation to bear.

So yes, fixing this crisis will not be easy. Our opponents will attack us every day for daring to try. It will require time, and hard work, and there will be days when we don't know if we have anything more to give. But there comes a moment when we all have to choose between doing what's easy, and doing what's right.

This is one of those times. And moments like this are what this movement was built for. So, are you ready?

Please RSVP for an event in your community to build support for health insurance reform:

http://my.barackobama.com/AugustAttend

Let's seize this moment and win this historic victory for our economy, our health and our families.

Thank you

Barak Obama's message to us. I'm just passing it along

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Too bad he didn't listen to the message from some of us months ago to start health care going. The air's gone out of the left. The Obama troops who I know are tired, broke and feeling betrayed. Attend meetings? Send money? What money. We sent it to get him elected.

Look at the response to the rally for single health payer. Why do you think that fizzled?

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Pardon me if it seems like I'm beating this issue to death, but I think it's that important: We MUST actively and intelligently resist these so-called 'protesters'. They are deliberately robbing the rest of us of a real chance to play this issue out fairly in the public arena.

I think Mr. Mooten and many, many others have pointed-out in here and in many other places that those who favor reform (at least loosely, in any or all its forms)have a fair degree of logic on their side. We certainly have the edge over the "do nothing" crowd.

In an ideal world, that might be enough, but not in this one we live in. The world we live in places a high value not only on the CORRECTNESS of a conviction, but on the STRENGTH of it. If we are not willing to FIGHT (understand, in this case, I DON'T mean literally, in the physical sense)for what we believe in, we are invariably going to lose to those who ARE willing to do that. History has shown this over and over.

We are involved in a battle (a deliberate term) over not only ideas, but also over perceptions, theatrics, and a variety of subtle unconscious indicators. Health Care is an inherently complex and confusing issue, and a lot of the public (most of it?)is either unable or unwilling to plow their way thru all these complicated details, to finally arrive at a purely logical, sort of mathematical conclusion. Other mental and emotional mechanisms are bound to come into play.

We must be smart enough and committed enough to play well on ALL these fronts.


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Very nice rhetoric, Robert.

However, a few quibbles. First of all, Obama isn't that popular anymore. He's running slightly over 50% approval and his policies, including health care, are trailing his personal numbers. The Republicans are probably loathe to attack him because they'll get branded racists, but he's not actually that popular. A lot of people who voted for him (read: myself) are very disenchanted with his love affair with the liberal wing of the party. Obama was elected as a centrist, but since taking office he's been (I'm not just using the label, it actually fits this time) taxing and spending like a caricature of Walter Mondale.

The current version of health care reform amounts to a major giveaway to special interests; the American middle class (and the upper class but since this is TPM we'll pretend that they don't matter) don't benefit at all.

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2010 is 1994? If the average American votes Republican just two years after the Bush nightmare ended, maybe they *deserve* what they get.

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this issue is largely racist. I think Krugman pretty muchsums up why nicely

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Pitch perfect, Robert.

It's time to take the candidate who became our 44th president out of the bullpen and put him back on the mound. Obama has to carry the game now. And he has to throw strikes.

The story lost on our media is the story of just how corrupt and twisted the Republican machine has become.

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