Goldman's Back, and Why We Should Be Worried
Should we breath a sigh of relief that Goldman Sachs has posted record earnings as revenue from trading and stock underwriting reached all-time highs (second quarter net income was $3.44 billion) -- less than a year after the firm took $10 billion directly from taxpayers and $13 billion indirectly through AIG?
In some ways, yes. That Goldman is back signals that the worst of Wall Street's recent meltdown is over. And at least New York City's economy will again benefit from the trickle-down effects of the multi-million dollar bonuses of Goldman's executives and traders.But in another respect, Goldman's resurgence should send shivers down the backs of every hardworking American who has lost a large chunk of retirement savings in this economic debacle, as well as the millions who have lost their jobs. Why? Because Goldman's high-risk business model hasn't changed one bit from what it was before the implosion of Wall Street. Goldman is still wagering its capital and fueling giant bets with lots of borrowed money. While its rivals have pared back risks, Goldman has increased them. And its renewed success at this old game will only encourage other big banks to go back into it.
Meanwhile, Goldman is still depending on $28 billion in outstanding debt issued cheaply with the backing of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Which means you and I are still indirectly funding Goldman's high-risk operations.
Goldman is skillful at playing the market. Now that most of its major competitors are out of the action or still under the strict control of the Treasury and the Fed, it has the market mostly to itself. Expect the others to jump back in to high-risk deals as soon as they can. But Goldman is also skillful at playing politics -- something its rivals aren't nearly as good at. Recall that last fall, at a closed meeting between Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson (formerly Goldman's CEO), Tim Geithner (then at the New York Fed), and a handful of others to decide on the fate of giant insurer AIG, Goldman's cheif executive, Lloyd Blankfein, was at the table. The decision to bail out AIG resulted in a $13 billion giveaway to Goldman because Goldman was an AIG counterparty. Indeed, Goldman executives and alumni have played crucial roles in guiding the Wall Street bailout from the start.
So the fact that Goldman has reverted to its old ways in the market suggests it has every reason to believe it can revert to its old ways in politics, should its market strategies backfire once again -- leaving the rest of us once again to pick up the pieces.
















The more things change the more they stay the same. Well there will be one change...millions of working Americans no longer have a job and probably won't for a very long time.
But the movers and shakers of the financial world, aka The Masters of the Universe, as always make out like bandits. I hear that is the American Way, they've 'earned it', it is theirs and if it was any other way it would be a patently unfair system. We can't have socialism...we need labor fearful for their jobs to keep them more productive and satisfied with less wages.
And from what I've heard if it ever ceases to be this way America as we know it will perish from the Earth!!! Though I have my doubts...
July 14, 2009 12:09 PM | Reply | Permalink
Or "You know I was a snake when you picked me up."
C
July 14, 2009 12:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hank Paulson rode to Goldman's rescue and also gave them the choice cuts of failing competitors at a huge discount. So, Goldman's resurgence is a blessing. If Goldman's was continiung to fail, it would mean that the patient who got the best treatment in the hospital was still dying from the same illness as other patients in the ward.
But because they got the best medicine, and because they are convinced that it was not their fault, it is no wonder they are back engaging in the same harmful practices. It's corporate nature. This is where the government needs to step in and presribe regulation that will maintain patient health.
July 14, 2009 2:40 PM | Reply | Permalink
And do really think that an intervention will happen know that they patient has declared itself 'cured'? You are far more optimistic than I.
July 14, 2009 2:51 PM | Reply | Permalink
Maybe a better analogy would be that the addict with the best enabler seems to be doing okay now.
-- ARG
July 14, 2009 6:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Let's see what Gretchen Morgenson has to say about this
July 14, 2009 3:04 PM | Reply | Permalink
So the fact that Goldman has reverted to its old ways in the market suggests it has every reason to believe it can revert to its old ways in politics, should its market strategies backfire once again -- leaving the rest of us once again to pick up the pieces.
Well, if there is a "next time", hopefully the government won't bail them out. "We" only have to pick up the pieces if we choose to do so.
July 14, 2009 3:07 PM | Reply | Permalink
I cannot wait for the day of justice to be visited upon the swindlers, cheats, liars and thieves in organizations like Goldman Sachs and their enablers in the Federal government and its regulatory agencies that ought to have shut them down by now or at least indicted most of their top people.
July 14, 2009 11:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
You love conspiracy theories.
July 15, 2009 12:09 AM | Reply | Permalink
They're even back into repackaging junk as AAA. Dead cat bounce.
July 15, 2009 12:18 PM | Reply | Permalink
Justice would be letting Goldman fail next time. But that's hardly likely with a whole new Federal regulatory apparatus designed specifically to protect Goldman from nasty market corrections so it can continue to make leveraged bets without risk.
July 15, 2009 5:27 PM | Reply | Permalink