We lost the last two elections by one state. Which one can we win this year?

Close Losses

Ohio (big one last time)

Nevada (we will need two small states)

New Mexico (Richardson for VP)

Iowa (a real possiblity)

Florida (close in 00, not so in 04 and probably out of play this year)

Must Hold On to:

Pennsylvania (lose this and we can't win)

Michigan (lose this and we can't win)

Wisconsin (moderately instead of acutely critical)

Minnesota (moderately instead of acutely critical)

New Hampshire (pick up an Ohio and this one won't matter as much)