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Week of May 11, 2008 - May 17, 2008

Hillary's concession speech planned...early draft leaked


Not really. But when it is leaked, it's going to read something like this (except longer):

"I concede. I'm proud of you and I'm proud of me. I like Obama, I really do. Obama's a good candidate. Vote for Obama."
Obama people - listen up!
But here's what I really wanted to say now that I've got your attention: (I'm sorry I've misled you but it's for your own good.) Please stop the Hillary hate. I was pretty dismayed to hear that folks at the Obama-Edwards event yesterday started booing at the mention of Hillary. The same attitude continues on many TPM blogs and comments.  

It's ok because the race is over. Let it go. It is not cool to boo or taunt a team that is about to lose the game, especially when the game is an intrasquad scrimmage.

Stop directing ugly comments towards the Clintons. It's pointless. Hillary is letting up on the Obama attacks and has essentially called a ceasefire. It's time we all reciprocated. 

It's time to start the healing process.  So, here's your three step process for kicking your bad hating habits:
The next time you read a comment from a Hillary die-hard and you want to respond by writing that Clinton is never getting your vote because she is "insert hateful language here", I want you to do the following:

1. Take a deep breath
2. Say to yourself "Obama is the nominee, Obama is the nominee, Obama is the nominee"
3. Exhale.

Repeat as necessary and feel free to picture yourself playing a game of hoops or drinking a PBR with the Democratic presumptive nominee as you discuss his possible VP pick.

To Hillary supporters: I'm sorry. It's sucks that your candidate lost and you fought valiantly for her. I salute you. I know you're going to need some time to get over this and I'll give you space as best I can. (I may take a jab at Terry McAuliffe or Harold Ickes or Mark Penn from time to time).

I hope you'll give Obama a chance. I wasn't sold on Obama the first time I heard him. I too didn't really understand all the fuss about him and worried that he sounded too much like someone who wouldn't fight for progressive values. But get to know him a little better. He's on our side. He's worth fighting for. But more importantly, the progressive values that we all share (with him) are worth fighting for. 

Democrats are poised to control Congress and the White House and there's a whole lot of good that can be done in that scenario. We'll need all the help we can get to make it happen and I hope you're there with us through November and beyond.

The 95% white party and the decline of the once powerful GOP


These three GOP losses in red congressional districts have me thinking back to a Wall Street Journal article from last September.

We've been talking so much about "demographic" splits in the Democratic electorate recently, it is worth remembering that at least Dems have significant differences in voter demographics.

The last line of the WSJ article reads:

The Fabrizio survey found that just 2% of Republicans are Hispanic, along with 1% who are black. "We've made no progress in 10 years," the pollster says -- not a good sign "in a nation that is becoming more heavily minority."

According to the Fabrizio study:  the GOP is 93% white (page 85, although I think it's actually closer to 95%. Note that 2% refused to answer).

I think that we should all be prepared for the fact that the racial dynamics and gaffes that have played out in the Democratic primary (SC vs WV, G. Ferraro, Rev. Wright, L. Farakan, Bill on Jesse, media talk about "working class white voters", etc, etc...) are going to be something around x10 in the general election? Hell, Obama's offices have already been vandalized with racist crap in the primary. It's going to get seriously worse.

Just as with the primary, we're rarely going to hear the worst stuff from the opponent's mouth directly, but these racial/ethnic/societal divisions will be more pronounced and more talked about and more apparent than perhaps since the end of segregation in America. (or perhaps more recently, the way there was a clear split in the country after the OJ not guilty verdict).

But what's the result? I think it all ends up driving more and more maintream Americans running from the GOP. The base of the Republican Party will become more whiter (yes, whiter than 95%), more conservative, and more ding bat crazy. If Hillary were the nominee, I think the same sexist culture of the white men's club at the GOP would have had the same result. 

I don't think this is a bad thing either. I think the deeply held yet rarely spoken racial stereotypes and insensitivity of today's GOP will be brought under a huge microscope (already having a member of Congress call Obama "boy") and will further push away moderate and young GOPers.

 The GOP is in a pitiful state. It's going to get worse. The take over of the GOP by social conservatives is coming full circle and it's going to be a hard hit this November.

Weirdest, worst, and best moments from the primary campaign


Here's my little list of the weirdest, worst, and best moments of the campaign so far. Please add yours in the comments.

Weirdest: The first things that pop into my head here include Mike Gravel's rock in a pond ad and the story of Mike Huckabee frying a squirrel in college.  Walker Texas Ranger celebrating beside Huckabee in Iowa was sort of surreal.  Every Ron Paul supporter I've met would qualify as kind of weird. Weird stories include actual news stories about Obama's lack of bowling skills or what it means that Hillary downed a shot at a bar. The NAFTA-Canada story was bizarre too in that I'm still not sure what went down and who said what to whom in Canada. 

I'm going to have to go back to Gravel. The man was at emocratic debates and would be largely ignored. He freakin switched to the Libertarian Party recently yet was still on the North Carolina ballot last week. And then there was the rock being thrown into the pond. Shouldn't we all be demanding that HE drop out before we demand that Hillary do so?

Worst: Obviously, there are a lot of possible nominations in this category. I'm not going to list them all for fear that I may throw up in my mouth a little bit.

I'm going to call this one a tie. And the winners are Geraldine Ferraro and Joe Lieberman!  Two former VP nominees who have utterly embarassed themselves this year. First, Ferraro with her ridiculous statement that Obama was lucky to be a black man running for President. But what made it worse was that she went on all the talk shows and the nightly news programs to "make this whole thing go away" and then repeatedly the same claim time and again. It was sad and painful to watfch a person of such historical importance in the Democratic party to be so ignorant and clueless to the offensivenes of her comments.

Lieberman has earned a share of the prize with his endorsement and campaigning for Senator McCain. The man who was painfuly close to being the Democratic Vice President jsut 8 years ago. And then recently he even pulled out the "Hamas likes Obama" smear. Another former nominee for VP and another utter embarassment. 

Best:  This is obviously biased given my candidate of choice, but it would have to be Iowa. I honestly can't remember what the polls predicted would happen leading up to Iowa but I was utterly shocked that a liberal African-American Senator could win the Iowa caucus. South Carolina was not so surprising - but Iowa? 

There aren't many times in politics that I get chills but during his victory speech I was completely slack jawed at what I was seeing. It gave me a certain amount of - dare I say - hope about the possibilities for this country (no matter waht happens from here on out). 

Okay, before you critique mine: what have been the weirdest, worst, and best moments for you?

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Yoda Urbinato

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