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   <title>Nathan Newman&apos;s Blog</title>
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   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/nnewman//34</id>
   <updated>2009-11-19T14:09:53Z</updated>
   
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<entry>
   <title>Senate Bill: Two-thirds of Newly Insured in Public Plans</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/11/19/senate_bill_two-thirds_of_newly_insured_in_public/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.302834</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-19T14:00:09Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-19T14:09:53Z</updated>
   
   <summary>- Hundreds of Billions of Dollars for State Public Plans in Bill Here&apos;s the good news from the Senate bill: of the 31 million uninsured projected to gain coverage under the Senate plan by 2018, the Congressional Budget Office projects...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nathan Newman</name>
      <uri>http://www.nathannewman.org/log/</uri>
   </author>
   
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      <![CDATA[<p>- <big><big><strong><em>Hundreds of Billions of Dollars for State Public Plans in Bill</em></strong></big></big></p>

<p>Here's the good news from the Senate bill:  of the 31 million uninsured projected to gain coverage under the Senate plan by 2018, the <a href="http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/107xx/doc10731/Reid_letter_11_18_09.pdf">Congressional Budget Office projects</a> that two-thirds of them will gain coverage via some form of public plan.  Yes, the limited public option will enroll only a projected 4 million folks, but expansions in Medicaid and SCHIP will enroll 15 million more people than would be expected under current law.  54 million people will be covered by Medicaid, CHIP or the public option by 2018.  </p>

<p>Step back from the mechanics and the dollars invested are impressive.  $347 billion in additional funds will go directly to Medicaid and CHIP programs.  <br /></p><p></p><ul><li>
By 2014, most nonelderly people with incomes below 133 percent of the federal poverty line would be made eligible for Medicaid.  The government would pay for this whole expansion through 2016 and roughly 90% of the costs thereafter. </li><li>Federal support for childrens health insurance plans (CHIP), which cover kids much farther above the poverty line, would expand to an average of 93% of costs under the bill.</li><li>States would pay a total additional $25 billion over the ten-year period.</li>
</ul>On top of those directly in public plans, there will be $447 billion in federal funds to subsidize individuals buying into health insurance exchanges and $27 for small employers to subsidize employee health care.&nbsp; The projection is that the average subsidized enrollee in the exchanges will receive $5500 per enrollee to help pay their health insurance costs.<br /><br />But here's the better news, under <a href="http://democrats.senate.gov/reform/patient-protection-affordable-care-act.pdf">Section 1332 of the bill</a>, states could apply for waivers and convert their state residents' share of health insurance exchange credits and small employer credits into their own more comprehensive state health care program. <br />]]>
      <![CDATA[.<br />Quite a few states in recent years have been debating plans to create
integrated comprehensive health plans for all their residents.&nbsp; The
hitch in most cases has been finding the cash to fund those plans.&nbsp; Using such waivers, states will defacto have an additional $821 billion from the 
federal government due to the Senate bill to fund state-run single payer or 
other variations on more comprehensive public health insurance systems in their 
states.&nbsp;&nbsp; <br />
<br />
The particular details of the public option may matter very little in
many states, since the real fight will be to promote far more
comprehensive plans using state waivers and available federal funds.&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; The real prize for progressive health care in the Senate bill is the more than $800 billion in federal funds and a state waiver process that will likely be the real path to progressives building truly truly comprehensive and affordable health care for all Americans.<br /><br />One hitch in this long-term goal is how long-term it is, since such state waivers can kick in only starting in 2017.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Progressives should be fighting hard right now to allow states to apply for waivers beginning the first year that individual and employer subsidies start.<br />]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Grover Norquist and Anti-Tax Movement Big Loser of the Night</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/11/04/grover_norquist_and_anti-tax_movement_big_loser_of/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.300056</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-04T13:51:44Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-04T14:43:11Z</updated>
   
   <summary>A lot of folks are declaring Obama -- who wasn&apos;t on the ballot -- the loser of the night based on two state elections, but the defeat of three anti-tax initiatives that were on the ballot in Washington State and...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nathan Newman</name>
      <uri>http://www.nathannewman.org/log/</uri>
   </author>
   
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      <![CDATA[<p>A lot of folks are declaring Obama -- who wasn't on the ballot -- the loser of the night based on two state elections, but the defeat of three anti-tax initiatives that were on the ballot in Washington State and Maine should emphasize that Grover Norquist and the anti-tax movement were big losers of the night -- and this just continues a multi-year roll of defeats.</p>

<p>In both states, voters rejected so-called <span class="caps">TABOR </span>("Taxpayer Bill of Rights") initiatives that would have created rigid tax raising formulas that would have crippled those states' capacity to provide services like education, health care, emergency services, and public safety.  Voters in Maine also rejected a proposal to slash the excise tax on new and hybrid cars, which would have undermined local revenue around the state.</p>

<p>Across the country, over thirty state legislatures <a href="http://www.cbpp.org/cms/index.cfm?fa=view&amp;id=2815">raised taxes</a> to deal with deficits this year and a number have specifically targeted <a href="http://www.cbpp.org/cms/index.cfm?fa=view&amp;id=2792">tax increases on the wealthy</a> - a bugaboo of the rightwing.  And at the ballot, the anti-tax right has just lost and lost.  </p>

<p>Back in the early 90s, the rightwing managed to pass a <span class="caps">TABOR </span>system in Colorado at the ballot box, which led to&nbsp; <a href="http://www.cbpp.org/ssl-series.htm" title="terrible results">terrible results</a>,
including large declines in K-12 funding, higher education tuition rates, and hindering the state's ability to address the lack of medical insurance coverage for many children and adults (see <i>a <a href="http://progressivestates.org/node/295/tabor-s-disastrous-record-in-colorado#r1"><span class="caps">PSN</span> Dispatch</a></i> on "TABOR's Disastrous Record in Colorado").&nbsp; Voters partially repudiated <span class="caps">TABOR </span>at the ballot in 2005; when the rightwing tried to enact <span class="caps">TABOR</span>-like initiatives in states across the country in 2006, progressives <a href="http://progressivestates.org/node/417/rightwing-fraud-derails-tax-revolt">highlighted fraud in signature collecting in multiple states</a> and issue was thrown off the ballot in <b>Michigan</b>, <b>Montana</b>, <b>Nevada</b>, <b>Oklahoma </b>and <b>Missouri</b>. On Election Day, voters in <b>Maine</b>, <b>Nebraska </b>and <b>Oregon </b>finished the job in <a href="http://progressivestates.org/content/471/a-good-day-for-progressives#3">voting down the remaining <span class="caps">TABOR </span>initiatives</a>.&nbsp; And in 2008, anti-government tax measures <a href="http://news.alibaba.com/article/detail/americas/100020549-1-voters-shun-both-tax-cuts.html">were defeated overwhelmingly</a> in <b>Massachusetts</b>, <b>North Dakota</b> and <b>Oregon</b>.<br />
</p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.cbpp.org/images/cms/5-13-09sfp-f12.jpg" /><br />
</p><p>Here's the dirty little secret.&nbsp; The anti-tax movement is a paper tiger.&nbsp; They force progressives to waste a lot of money and time fighting their initiatives, but when voters are informed of the details, they walk away, preferring needed public services to the rigid anti-tax nostrums of Norquist and his allies.</p><p>While Corzine may have lost the election last night, the New Jersey state legislature which has voted for multiple tax increases in recent years was hardly touched by voter action last night.&nbsp; In fact, after the New Jersey legislature voted to raise taxes on the wealthy back in 2004, they expanded their legislative majority in 2005 to its present hefty margins.&nbsp; There's almost zero evidence of elected officials being punished for tax increases alone in recent elections.<br /></p><p><b>Facts on Taxes, Jobs and Economic Growth:&nbsp; </b>The public just recognizes that rightwing attacks tax increases as undermining economic growth are just rhetoric unsupported by facts.&nbsp; <br /></p><p>Earlier this year, Economist Joseph Stiglitz <a href="http://www.fiscalpolicy.org/StiglitzLetter_TaxesVsCuts_March2008.pdf">wrote state leaders in New York</a> in support of proposed tax increases on wealthier New Yorkers, highlighting the short-term economic gains from shifting that money towards state spending for low- and moderate-income families.&nbsp; But he also emphasized that such spending was crucial to long-term economic growth as well: <br />
	</p><blockquote dir="ltr"><p> "Raising taxes and maintaining public expenditures (including investments) also helps America in meeting its long run needs.&nbsp; America today faces two major problems -- inadequate investments, especially in infrastructure, and growing inequalty...Investments in infrastructure also increase the productivity of private investment -- another important spillover." <br /></p></blockquote>in 2004 economist Robert Lynch with the Economic Policy Institute published <a href="http://www.community-wealth.org/_pdfs/articles-publications/state-local-new/report-lynch.pdf">Rethinking Growth Strategies: </a><a href="http://www.community-wealth.org/_pdfs/articles-publications/state-local-new/report-lynch.pdf">How State and Local Taxes and Services Affect Economic Development</a>, one of the most extensive analyses of the relation of state tax policies to economic growth.&nbsp; The bottom-line conclusion of his study was that tax policies themselves have little effect on overall economic growth; what mattered was that states raise enough revenue to invest in the "public services such as education and infrastructure [that] spur economic growth and influence business location decisions."<br /><br />Because higher-tax states invest more in their communities, they generally generate higher-wage jobs compared to lower-tax states.&nbsp; For example, states that enacted large tax increases between 2002 and 2004 - increasing state revenues by at least 5% - subsequently experienced <a href="http://www.cbp.org/pdfs/2008/0807_pp_cutsortaxes.pdf">stronger average growth in personal income</a> than states that did not increase taxes at all. &nbsp;This builds on other analyses that states which collect the highest percentage of personal income in taxes actually <a href="http://www.itepnet.org/tncatopr.htm">sustain higher income growth</a>. <br />
<br /><p>
<b>The Wealthy Don't Leave High-Income Tax States:&nbsp; </b>And despite rightwingers inevitably predicting economic doom, tax increases on the wealthy do not lead to wealthier residents leaving the state: </p>
<ul><li>From 2004 to 2006, following <b>California</b>'s implementation of a new national top rate of 10.3% on income over $1,000,000, there was a <a href="http://www.cbp.org/pdfs/2008/0808_DP_High-IncomeTaxpayers.pdf">38% increase in the number of millionaires in the State</a>.</li><li>The number of half-millionaires in <b>New Jersey</b> <a href="http://www.princeton.edu/prior/PRIOReconomy-Final-%282%29.pdf">grew by 70%</a>&nbsp;since the state increased their highest rate from 6.37% to 8.97% in 2002, from 26,000 in 2002 to 44,000 in 2006. </li><li><b>New York</b> experienced a comparable <a href="http://www.fiscalpolicy.org/downloads/2004bud.pdf">increase in high-income tax returns</a><br />
after temporarily raising income tax rates earlier in the decade, from<br />
250,000 in 2003 to over 325,000 in 2005, representing a 30% growth. </li></ul><b>Lessons from the Anti-Tax Movement's Failures:&nbsp;&nbsp; </b>Hopefully, our national progressive leaders can take a lesson from states, where anti-tax forces have shown both their political threats and economic arguments are hollow. &nbsp;&nbsp; If there are worries about long-term deficits and paying for programs like health care reform, the answer are new taxes assessed largely on the wealthy, who did so well financially in the last few decades. &nbsp; The public supports such taxes and they make both political and economic sense.<br /><br />If only those national leaders will stop taking Grover Norquist and the anti-tax movement seriously. <br />]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Progressive Values Dominant-- But Need to Rebuild Trust in Effectiveness of Government Action</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/11/03/progressive_values_dominant--_but_need_to_rebuild/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.299796</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-03T16:59:44Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-03T17:06:07Z</updated>
   
   <summary>We&apos;ll no doubt hear too much commentary reading too much into a few elections today in a handful of states, so it&apos;s worth stepping back to recognize the deep support for progressive policies and ideas that are increasingly dominant across...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nathan Newman</name>
      <uri>http://www.nathannewman.org/log/</uri>
   </author>
   
      <category term="Coffee House" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
   
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      <![CDATA[We'll no doubt hear too much commentary 
reading too much into a few elections today in a handful of states, so it's 
worth stepping back to recognize the deep support for progressive policies and 
ideas that are increasingly dominant across our nation.  Obama's election as 
President is one indicator of that shift, but progressive gains are reflected in 
the underlying support for progressive policies in poll after poll, whether in demands 
for greater corporate accountability, health care reform, environmental 
sustainability or a host of other issues.

<p align="left">
If progressives face a challenge, it's not on 
allegiance to our values such as rewarding work or promoting greater justice, it's a 
skepticism by many independents of the effectiveness of government in 
accomplishing the goals shared by most of the public.
</p>
<p align="left">
However, as the rest of this post (<a href="http://www.progressivestates.org/node/23897">crossposted from PSN</a>) will detail, if we understand the public support 
for progressive goals, it can inform our political messaging which should 
embrace a clear progressive agenda, even as we recognize that trust in 
government needs to be rebuilt after decades of right-wing attacks on its 
functioning.  And we should also act with confidence, knowing that younger 
voters are even more progressive than their parents and grandparents, so our 
ability to move policy forward will only grow with each election cycle as these 
new progressives become a larger and larger share of the electorate.</p>]]>
      <![CDATA[This analysis looks at various trends in public opinion, with special emphasis on the 
results of two wide-ranging surveys this year, the <b>Pew Research Center for the 
People and the Press</b> report, <a href="http://people-press.org/report/517/political-values-and-core-attitudes">Trends in Political Values and Core Attitudes: 
1987-2009</a> (hereafter &quot;Pew&quot;), and the <b>Center for American Progress</b> report, <a href="http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2009/03/political_ideology.html">State of American Political Ideology, 2009: A National 
Study of Values and Beliefs</a> (hereafter &quot;CAP-beliefs&quot;).  Other reports will 
be touched on as well, but the core results are similar across all major surveys 
on these points.
</p>
</p>
<h2>Support for Progressive Values and Policy</h2>
<img src="http://progressivestates.org/sync/images/dispatch/BigCompaniesHaveTooMuchPowerChart.jpg" align="right" height="313" hspace="10" vspace="10" width="281" />
<p align="left">
One notable trend is that the American public 
is quite favorably disposed to the &quot;progressive&quot; label itself, far more so than 
even a few years ago.  In 2009, 67% of the public view the term favorably, equal 
to those who view the term &quot;conservative&quot; favorably.  But more people have an 
unfavorable view of &quot;conservative&quot; (28%) versus only 21% of the public viewing 
the term &quot;progressive&quot; unfavorably, giving &quot;progressive&quot; a much higher net 
favorable rating. (CAP-beliefs)
</p>
<p align="left">
Notably, favorability for both &quot;progressive&quot; 
and &quot;conservative&quot; ideological labels is not highly partisan, with 50% of 
Democrats rating &quot;conservative&quot; favorably and 53% of Republicans rating 
&quot;progressive&quot; favorably. (&quot;Liberal&quot; has a more partisan flavor with only 21% of 
Republicans rating &quot;liberal&quot; favorably).  In fact, 46% of the public believes 
that a &quot;progressive&quot; is something entirely different from a &quot;liberal&quot; or a 
&quot;conservative.&quot; (CAP-beliefs)
</p>
<p align="left">
The Center for American Progress found that 
when presented with two broad philosophical options, Americans overwhelmingly 
chose the &quot;progressive&quot; option over the &quot;conservative&quot; philosophical 
viewpoint:
</p>
<ul>
	<li> Six in 10 Americans believe that 
	"government should do more to promote the common good," versus 37 percent who 
	feel that "government should do more to promote individual liberty." 
	(&quot;CAP-beliefs&quot;)</li>
	<li> 57 percent of Americans believe that 
	"freedom requires economic opportunity and minimum measures of security, such as 
	food, housing, medical care and old age protection," compared to 38 percent who 
	favor the idea that "freedom requires that individuals be left alone to pursue 
	their lives as they please and to deal with the consequences of their actions on 
	their own." (&quot;CAP-beliefs&quot;)</li>
</ul>
<p align="left">
<b>The Rejection of Right-Wing Economic Ideology:  </b>While laissez-faire ideology was never as popular as the media 
sometimes made it out to be, the recent economic breakdown has just reinforced 
the long-term public view that our economic system is too corporate-dominated 
and too unequal.  While most Americans respect the importance of businesses in 
the economy, they reject the ideology that this should translate into corporate 
control of the political decisions or the degree of economic inequality that has 
been a product of past policies.  A few key polling results:<br />
</p>
<ul>
	<li> <b>Opposition to 
	Corporate Power:  </b>77% of Americans say that "there is too much power 
	concentrated in the hands of a few big companies&quot; and a 62% majority says 
	businesses make too much profit. (See chart from Pew)  As far as Wall Street's 
	overall impact, 49% believe that it "often hurts the economy more than helps 
	it;" only 37% disagreed with this negative assessment of Wall Street.(Pew)</li>
	<li> <b>Ending 
	Economic Inequality:  </b>The public does not accept the idea that present 
	economic inequality is natural and earned by the wealthy on their own.  60% of 
	the public agree that &quot;Rich people like to believe they have made it on their 
	own, but in reality society has contributed greatly to their wealth&quot; - with 30% 
	strongly agreeing with this; 62% believe &quot;The gap between rich and poor should 
	be reduced, even if it means higher taxes for the wealthy&quot; - with 38% strongly 
	agreeing. (CAP-beliefs)</li>
	<li> <b>Importance of 
	Government Investments:  </b>79% believe &quot;Government investments in 
	education, infrastructure, and science are necessary to ensure America's 
	long-term economic growth.&quot; - with 45% strongly agreeing. (CAP-beliefs)</li>
	<li> <b>Need for 
	Regulation of Business:  </b>73% believe &quot;Government regulations are 
	necessary to keep businesses in check and protect workers and consumers&quot;- with 
	32% strongly agreeing. (CAP-beliefs)  59% believe &quot;Government must step in to 
	protect the national economy when the market fails&quot; - with 27% strongly agreeing 
	(CAP-beliefs)</li>
	<li><b>Necessity of 
	Labor as Counter to Corporate Power:  </b>Roughly six-in-ten (61%) agree 
	that "labor unions are necessary to protect the working person;" 34% disagree, 
	although there has been erosion in union support in the last few 
	years.</li>
</ul>
<p align="left">
<b>Progressive 
Views Dominate Policy Choices:  </b>And on key policies, the public 
overwhelmingly supports progressive goals:<br />
</p>
<ul>
	<li><b>Aid to Those in Need:  </b>69% believe &quot;Government has a responsibility to provide financial 
	support for the poor, the sick, and the elderly&quot; - with 33% strongly agreeing. 
	(CAP-beliefs)  63% believe government should &quot;take care of people who can't care 
	for themselves&quot; and 62% believe government should &quot;guarantee food and shelter 
	for all.&quot; (Pew) </li>
	<li><b>Environment:  </b>67% 
	believe &quot;America must play a leading role in addressing climate change by 
	reducing our own greenhouse gas emissions and complying with international 
	agreements on global warming&quot; - with 38% strongly agreeing. (CAP-beliefs).  83% 
	believe &quot;There needs to be stricter environmental laws and regs to protect the 
	environment.&quot;  However, the economic crisis means there are more worries about 
	the costs of environmental enforcement-- a majority (51%) support protecting the 
	environment &quot;even if it causes slower economic growth) but that is less than in 
	2007 (when 66% held that position). (Pew) </li>
	<li><b>Health Care:  </b>65% 
	believe that government &quot;should guarantee affordable health coverage for every 
	American&quot; - with 44% strongly agreeing. (CAP-beliefs).  Pew found 86% public 
	support for the idea that &quot;gov't needs to do more to make health care affordable 
	and accessible.&quot; (Pew)</li>
</ul>
<a title="3" name="3"></a>
<h2>Addressing Fears on the Effectiveness of Government Action</h2>
<img src="http://progressivestates.org/sync/images/dispatch/InefficientAndWastefulChart.jpg" align="right" height="345" hspace="10" vspace="10" width="212" />
<p>
If an overwhelming majority of the population supports 
progressive goals, a key obstacle to building a dominant progressive coalition 
are fears by many moderate voters that government won't be effective in 
achieving them. 
</p>
<p>
Part of the problem is, ironically, the broad criticism 
of corporate power in our society, since 65% of the public believes &quot;Government 
policies too often serve the interests of corporations and the wealthy&quot; - with 
34% strongly agreeing. (CAP-beliefs)  However, this is combined with a deeper 
skepticism of government effectiveness, with 61% of the public believing that 
&quot;government spending is almost always wasteful and inefficient&quot; - with 30% 
strongly agreeing. (CAP- beliefs).  This is similar to Pew numbers finding 57% 
believing government is &quot;usually inefficient and wasteful.&quot;(Pew)  Given the 
institutional and seemingly purposeful incompetence of conservative leadership 
in Washington, D.C. that mired us in Iraq and allowed Hurricane Katrina to 
devastate a city, that skepticism is hardly surprising.  Filibusters in 
Washington, D.C. are just one more element that feeds the perception fed by the 
right-wing of government ineffectiveness.
</p>
<p>
The end result is that, despite supporting many 
progressive policies in practice, slight majorities end up opting in the 
abstract for anti-government beliefs, such as:<br />
</p>
<ul>
	<li> 57% believe &quot;Free market solutions are 
	better than government at creating jobs and economic growth&quot; with 25% strongly 
	agreeing.(CAP-beliefs)</li>
	<li> 55% believe &quot;Limited government is always 
	better than big government&quot; - with 31% strongly 
	agreeing.(CAP-beliefs)</li>
</ul>
<p align="left">
<b>Rising Support 
for Government Action:  </b>Still, Pew found that skepticism of government 
has eroded in the last two years, no doubt due to the economic crisis.  While a 
small majority (55%) still fears that &quot;the federal government controls too much 
of our daily lives&quot;, that is down from 64% back in 2007.  Notably, fears over 
the inefficiency of government spending, while still strong, are far less than 
in the early 1990s and less even than two years ago.(See graph from Pew to the 
right).
</p>
<p align="left">
So while in the theory, the public has 
reservations about government action, Pew finds strong support (62%) for the 
idea that &quot;a free market economy needs govt regulation in order to best serve 
the public interest.&quot; (Pew)  And the overwhelming support for government acting 
to make health care more affordable means only 46% agree that they are 
&quot;concerned about the govt becoming too involved in health care.&quot;
</p>
<p align="left">
<b>Messaging on 
Positive Role for Government:  </b>What this emphasizes is that most 
moderate voters do not have to be convinced of the importance of progressive 
goals but rather need assurance that the means to achieve those goals will be 
effective.  A recent policy brief, <a href="http://www.demos.org/pubs/Promoting%20Broad%20Prosperity.pdf">Promoting Broad Prosperity</a>, by the Topos Partnership 
and Demos details some key approaches to progressive messaging on the role of 
government.  These messaging approaches include:<br />
</p>
<ul>
	<li> Instead of talking about government in the 
	abstract, emphasize that "public structures" created and maintained by government 
	are foundational to prosperity and economic stability, as well as the strength 
	of the middle class. </li>
	<li> True prosperity rests on collective 
	success, not just individual opportunity or success. Systems (like the FDIC, 
	community colleges and Social Security) are built collectively and yield 
	collective benefits.</li>
	<li>Since Americans are relatively unaware of the 
	many ways in which policy inevitably shapes the distribution of income and 
	wealth, explaining how government policies direct the flow of money to 
	different parts of our society helps people focus on how policies lead to 
	particular social and economic outcomes.</li>
</ul>
<p align="left">
The key is to avoid falling into the trap of 
talking about government in the abstract, where the public retains some 
skepticism, but instead to emphasize existing public structures like schools or 
other concrete programs that people support and see working every 
day.
</p>
<a title="4" name="4"></a>
<h2>The Increasingly Isolated Right-Wing</h2>
<img src="http://progressivestates.org/sync/images/dispatch/IsolatedRightWing3.jpg" align="right" height="168" hspace="10" vspace="10" width="250" />
<p>
One trap progressive leaders should avoid is thinking 
that compromising with conservative groups, who are ideologically opposed to 
progressive values as well as the means of achieving them, will somehow appeal 
to most moderate and independent voters.   That hard right-wing bloc is quite 
distinct from most independent voters, including independents that might 
self-identify as conservative in some cases but in fact share many progressive 
values. 
</p>
<p>
<b>Diminishing Power of 
&quot;Wedge&quot; Issues:</b>  Hot button issues like abortion, gay rights or 
immigration still play a factor in uniting the values of some moderates with the 
right-wing, but even on those issues, the right-wing is finding itself 
isolated:<br />
</p>
<ul>
	<li> 59% of Americans believe &quot;Religious faith should focus 
	more on promoting tolerance, social justice, and peace in society, and less on 
	opposing abortion or gay rights&quot; - with 36% strongly agreeing 
	(CAP-beliefs)</li>
	<li> Only 42% believe &quot;Immigrants today are a burden on our 
	country because they take our jobs and abuse government benefits&quot; - and only 22% 
	strongly agree. (CAP-beliefs)  In fact, Pew found that support for &quot;providing a 
	way for illegal immigrants already in U.S. to gain legal citizenship&quot; increased 
	between 2007 and 2009 from 58% in support to 63% in support.</li>
	<li> Only 34% believe &quot;Homosexuality is unnatural and 
	should not be accepted by society&quot; - and only 22% strongly agree. 
	(CAP-beliefs)</li>
</ul>
<p>
<b>The Isolated 
Right-Wing:</b>  This leave a hard right minority driving anti-progressive 
rhetoric in the media and society that is quite isolated from mainstream 
American sentiments.  Because fewer people are identifying as Republicans, this 
has made the remainder of self-identified Republicans more conservative than in 
polling in past years.  Much of the anti-government sentiment comes from that 
hard-right faction of the GOP, with 72% of Republicans fearing the &quot;federal government controls too much of our daily lives.&quot;(Pew)  In fact, since 2007, 
belief that &quot;regulation of business usually does more harm than good&quot; fell among 
both independents and Democrats, but actually spiked upwards from 55% in 2007 to 
75% in 2009 among Republicans -- creating a stark current difference in views 
on regulation.  
</p>
<p>
<b>Democracy Corps</b> <a href="http://www.greenbergresearch.com/index.php?ID=2398">conducted focus groups</a> recently among what the 
pollsters identified as the hard conservative base, roughly one-in-five voters, 
and found that this group of voters has a very distinct and isolating view of 
the country. They dismiss health care reform out of hand and see the 
Obama Administration as ruthlessly advancing a 'secret agenda' to bankrupt the 
United States and dramatically expand government control to an extent nothing 
short of socialism. Markedly, they see themselves as having special knowledge 
gleaned from access to conservative media like Fox News and pundits like Glenn 
Beck and Rush Limbaugh.  This same group are not particularly partisan 
supporters of the Republican Party institutionally, since they see the party 
establishment itself as betraying conservative values. 
</p>
<p>
<b>Independents Distinct from 
Right-Wing: </b>Interviews by Democracy Corps with conservative independents 
show that those independents share neither the ideology nor conspiracy theories 
of these right-wing voters, the staple of &quot;Tea Party&quot; protests, but rather fit the model discussed above of moderates wanting progressive outcomes but skeptical of government delivering it.
</p>
<p>
What this means is that compromising progressive values 
and goals to appease the right-wing faction won't help with reaching 
independents.  Instead, messaging to independents needs to emphasize the shared goals of achieving progressive policy while continuing to 
address the independents' fears around the efficacy of government action.
</p>
<p>
<a title="5" name="5"></a>
</p>
<h2>The Future Will Only Be More Progressive</h2>
<img src="http://progressivestates.org/sync/images/dispatch/MillenialGenerationChart.jpg" align="right" height="421" hspace="10" vspace="10" width="217" />
<p>
All of the above is a static snapshot of the current 
electorate, but the reality is that the fastest growing parts of the population 
-- young people and communities of color -- are far more progressive than the 
overall current population.   So the future electorate promises to be even more 
progressive.
</p>
<p>
The following is from two other Center for American 
Progress reports -- <a href="http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2009/03/progressive_america.html">New Progressive America: Twenty Years of Demographic, 
Geographic, and Attitudinal Changes Across the Country Herald a New Progressive 
Majority</a> (hereafter &quot;CAP-Change&quot;) and <a href="http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2009/05/millennial_generation.html">New Progressive America: The Millennial Generation</a>  (hereafter &quot;CAP-Millennial).
</p>
<p>
<b>The Coming Millennial 
Revolution in American Politics:  V</b>oters born since 1978 -- the 
so-called Millennial Generation - voted for Obama by a margin of 66% to 32%, but 
that is, according to the Center for American Progress, only part of a &quot;deeper story of a generation with progressive views in 
all areas and big expectations for change that will fundamentally reshape our 
electorate.&quot;  Millennial voters eligible to vote are increasing by about 4 million 
a year-- by 2020, there will be 90 million Millennial eligible voters, just under 
just under 40 percent of America's eligible voters. 
</p>
<p>
On specific issues, Millennials are more progressive than 
the population as a whole (the following is from the CAP-Millennial report):<br />
</p>
<ul>
	<li> On <b>health care, </b>71% of Millennials support a federal 
	government guarantee of health care coverage for all Americans, compared to 65 
	percent among the total population.</li>
	<li> On the <b>minimum wage, </b>63% of Millennials ranked raising 
	the minimum wage as a top priority, compared to 54 percent of the total 
	population.</li>
	<li> On <b>taxation, </b>60 percent of Millennials said 
	raising taxes on those earning more than $250,000 a year will be good for the 
	economy, compared to 47 percent of the general population who said it would be 
	good for the economy.</li>
	<li> On <b>labor unions</b>, 75 percent of Millennial 
	voters agree that labor unions are necessary to protect the working person, 
	compared to 64 percent of 30- to 59-year-olds and 66 percent of people over 
	60.</li>
</ul>
<p>
<b>Ending the Culture War and 
Strengthening Belief in Effectiveness of Government: </b>The growth of 
Millennials in the electorate will increasingly end the relevance of &quot;culture 
war&quot; wedge issues: 58% of Millennials support allowing gays to marry, strikingly 
different from older cohorts where only 31 percent support marriage equality.  
Millennials support a path to citizenship for immigrants by far larger margins 
than the population as a whole and support more religious tolerance and teaching 
evolution by higher margins than older voters.
</p>
<p>
Crucially, young voters are notably less cynical about 
the effectiveness of government as a tool for achieving those progressive 
goals.  When asked in the 2008 National Election Study whether the free market 
can handle key problems without government's involvement, Millennials instead 
demonstrated an overwhelming preference for strong government by a margin of 78 
to 22 percent.  63 percent of Millennials in surveys believer that "government 
needs to do more to address the major challenges facing our country," while only 
37% agree that "government is already too involved in areas that are better left 
to individuals or the free market" (CAP-Millennial)  Similarly, Pew shows that 
young people have far more belief that government can be effective, with only 
43% of those under 30 saying government is inefficient, compared with 64% of 
those 65 and older.  Just 39% of those under 30 say they are worried about the 
involvement of government in health care, while 53% of those 65 and older do 
so. (Pew)
</p>
<p>
<b>Diversity and the Future of 
America:  </b>Increasing racial and religious diversity will just solidify 
the progressive trend in the next decade or so.  Between 1988 and 2008, the 
minority share of voters in presidential elections rose by 11 percentage points 
and the United States will be majority-minority by 2042. In fact, when you 
include religious diversity into the calculation, by the election of 2016, it is 
likely that the United States will no longer be a majority white Christian 
nation. (CAP-Change)   While white Millennials are far more progressive than their 
parents, non-white voters generally support progressive policies by even greater 
margins.
</p>
<p>
<a title="6" name="6"></a>
</p>
<h2>Conclusion</h2>
<p>
The bottom-line is that progressive values and support 
for progressive policies are widespread in the electorate.  If progressives can 
clearly articulate why particular government <i>means </i>will be effective, there will be deep support for progressive policy <i>goals</i>.  As importantly, progressive leadership needs 
to avoid the trap of muffling a strong progressive vision out of fear of the 
noisy wing of an increasingly isolated right-wing.  Instead, if progressive 
leaders articulate that vision clearly and hold the loyalty of the growing bloc 
of Millennial voters and communities of color who, progressives will be able to 
solidify long-term support for progressive policy in our communities and 
nation.
</p>
<h1>Resources
<a title="r6" name="r6"></a></h1>
<p>
Pew Research Center for the People and the 
Press report, <a href="http://people-press.org/report/517/political-values-and-core-attitudes">Trends in Political Values and Core Attitudes: 
1987-2009</a> <br />
Center for American Progress report, <a href="http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2009/03/political_ideology.html">State of American Political Ideology, 2009: A National 
Study of Values and Beliefs</a> <br />
Democracy Corps - <a href="http://www.greenbergresearch.com/index.php?ID=2398">The Very Separate World of Conservative Republicans<br />
</a>Topos Partnership and Demos - <a href="http://www.demos.org/pubs/Promoting%20Broad%20Prosperity.pdf">Promoting Broad Prosperity<br />
</a>Center for American Progress - <a href="http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2009/03/progressive_america.html">New Progressive America: Twenty Years of Demographic, 
Geographic, and Attitudinal Changes Across the Country Herald a New Progressive 
Majority<br />
</a>Center for American Progress - <a href="http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2009/05/millennial_generation.html">New Progressive America: The Millennial Generation</a>
</p>
]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Protecting State Consumer Protection from Preemption in Federal Financial Reform</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/09/15/taking_action-_protecting_state_consumer_protectio/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.290128</id>
   
   <published>2009-09-15T13:58:17Z</published>
   <updated>2009-09-15T14:29:19Z</updated>
   
   <summary>While the debate on health reform has dominated headlines, Congress is moving forward with marking up federal financial reform legislation. Currently, proposed federal legislation includes language that safeguards the ability of states to take independent action to protect consumers, but...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nathan Newman</name>
      <uri>http://www.nathannewman.org/log/</uri>
   </author>
   
      <category term="Coffee House" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[While the debate on health reform has dominated headlines, Congress is moving forward with marking up federal financial reform legislation.  Currently, proposed federal legislation includes language that safeguards the ability of states to take independent action to protect consumers, but the banking industry, with help from a <a href="http://www.nasdaq.com/aspx/stock-market-news-story.aspx?storyid=200909080815dowjonesdjonline000203&amp;title=centrist-dems-to-press-concerns-over-new-us-consumer-agency">large block of moderate Democrats</a> on the House Financial Services Committee,  is seeking amendments that would override state consumer protection laws and eliminate the ability of state and local prosecutors to act on behalf of consumers defrauded by
financial institutions.

<br /><br /><b>Progressive States Action </b>is teaming up with<a href="http://salsa.democracyinaction.org/dia/track.jsp?key=-1&amp;url_num=1&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fourfinancialsecurity.org%2F" target="_blank"><b><span style="color: rgb(68, 68, 136);"> Americans for Financial Reform</span></b></a>,
a coalition of nearly 200 national, state and local consumer, labor, retiree,
investor, community and civil rights groups to sponsor a conference call <i><b>today at noon</b></i> on why folks need to mobilize to protect state consumer protection laws
from federal preemption.  On the call will be Elizabeth Warren from the TARP oversight board, Congressman Brad Miller from the Banking Committee, along with others to highlight what's at stake.  If interested RSVP at <a href="http://www.progressivestates.org/conferencecallrsvp">www.progressivestates.org/conferencecallrsvp</a>.  ]]>
      <![CDATA[The context of this call is that, in the wake of the financial meltdown that engulfed the country last year largely caused by fraud and predatory lending, Congress is now debating the Consumer Financial Protection Agency Act (CFPA Act, <a href="http://www.opencongress.org/bill/111-h3126/show">H 3126</a>).  The act would create a consumer product protection agency for financial products analogous to the Consumer Product Safety Board.<br /><br /><p>
Crucially, in the current proposed version of the legislation, the ability of states to also enforce their own tougher lending laws against national banks will be explicitly protected.  Keeping this provision in the bill is <a href="http://www.nasdaq.com/aspx/stock-market-news-story.aspx?storyid=200909080815dowjonesdjonline000203&amp;title=centrist-dems-to-press-concerns-over-new-us-consumer-agency">shaping up to be the big fight</a> as the legislation moves through Congress.  
</p><p>
The main <a href="http://edit.talkingpointsmemo.com/sync/pdfs/SummaryPreemptioninHR%203126.pdf" title="non-preemption provisions">non-preemption provisions</a> in the current version of the CFPA Act include:<br />
</p>
<ul>
	<li> Federal law would preempt only inconsistent state laws and regulations, and only to the extent of the inconsistency.  State laws and regulations that provide <i>greater</i> protection are not inconsistent. </li>
	<li> Concurrent state attorney general enforcement authorized. State AGs can bring any action in court to require bank to produce records relating to investigation of state or federal consumer laws or to enforce applicable state or federal law as authorized by such law. </li>
	<li> Bush-era rules preempting state regulation of national banks would be overturned.  State consumer laws of general applicability, including UDAP laws, consumer fraud law, repossession, foreclosure, and collection law, <i>would apply to national banks.</i> </li>
	<li> It would assure that states could, for example, limit negative amortization and protect the right of states to regulate terms such as prepayment penalties on all mortgages, including ARMs. </li>
</ul>
<p>
In order to preserve the anti-preemption language in the CFPA Act, state lawmakers and advocates will need to make clear to House Financial Services Committee Members that retaining the power of the states to enforce their own consumer protection laws against nationally chartered banks is imperative.  Efforts to strip states of this power will be central to the committee markup process soon to begin.  Without strong progressive support for states' rights in this area, we can expect any new national protections to come at the expense of what the states are already doing.
</p>
<p>
Progressive state legislators have a critical role to play in convincing their counterparts at the national level how important state enforcement of state laws is to your constituents.  House members must be educated about the <a href="http://www.consumerfed.org/pdfs/Top_Examples_of_Financial_Regulatory_Failure.pdf">regulatory failings that led to the current crisis</a>, how states were hamstrung and couldn't step in to protect consumers, and how this scenario will repeat itself if the financial services industry gets its way.  Because state legislators are closer to the ground and are likely more aware of predatory lending practices and products in their districts, they have an important perspective to impart.
</p><b>Why State Action is Crucial for Consumer Protection in the Financial Industry
<img src="http://edit.talkingpointsmemo.com/sync/images/dispatch/CrucialStateActionFinancial.jpg" align="right" hspace="10" vspace="10" />: </b>As we've <a href="http://edit.talkingpointsmemo.com/node/22649">written about before</a>, aggressive federal preemption of state laws, especially those designed to protect consumers, is one of the legacies of our conservative governance that we must reverse if we are to make real strides in protecting Americans from a variety of corporate abuses.<br /><br />For years before the recent mortgage meltdown, states were canaries in the coal mine, sounding warnings of fundamental problems in the mortgage market.  But during the Bush administration the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC, which supervises national banks) began asserting that the National Bank Act preempted state enforcement of state lending laws against national banks.  This <a href="http://edit.talkingpointsmemo.com/node/580/by-j-mijin-cha">created a regulatory vacuum in which sub-prime and other predatory lending practices grew</a> largely unchecked.  The Supreme Court overturned part of that ill-conceived theory in a case last term, <i><a href="http://www.law.cornell.edu/supct/html/08-453.ZS.html">Cuomo v the Clearing House Association and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency</a>, </i>where, in a <a href="/node/23295#2">landmark ruling</a> the court found that while the law prevents states from regulating the internal operations of nationally chartered banks, they remain free to enforce criminal statutes against subprime abuses and other predatory lending practices.  The CPFA Act would build on that court decision to strengthen state oversight roles.<br /><br />

<p>
Why does <a href="http://edit.talkingpointsmemo.com/sync/pdfs/CFPAandPreemptionfomattedFINAL.pdf" title="state oversight matter">state oversight matter</a>? <br />
</p>
<ul>
	<li> <b>States can catch problems early, before they become nationwide:  </b>States are closer to the ground, and have been better able to see emerging issues and problems.  For years before the recent mortgage meltdown, states were canaries in the coal mine, sounding warnings of fundamental problems in the mortgage market.  </li>
	<li> <b>State laws provide useful data-points for federal policymakers: <i> </i></b>Congress has often looked to the states for workable solutions to take nationwide in consumer protection, as in other arenas.  Iowa, for example, pioneered a legal framework for electronic funds transfers that was used as a model for the federal Electronic Funds Transfer Act in the 70s. Congress has looked to those state laws in crafting some of the current proposals.  This is more than just saving Congress work.  Without the creative input and local action of states protecting consumers we can expect financial institutions to remain several steps ahead of regulators, just where they have been for the years leading up to the current financial crisis. </li>
	<li> <b>States must be able to address local problems:<i>  </i></b>Not all problems that arise locally are destined to metastasize to national problems.  But that does not mean that states' hands should be tied by preemption.   While a higher federal "floor" for regulation is needed, that federal floor should also assure that states have the right - and the responsibility and accountability - to address local problems. State enforcement of financial protections are necessary therefore because even when a predatory practice is identified by the feds, action is only taken when the problem becomes regional or national in scope, so the majority of predatory practices will not be curbed by the feds until many local families have already suffered. </li>
</ul>
<p>
<b>Federal Enforcement is not Enough: </b>Opponents use false arguments that "patchwork regulation" will add costs to banks which will then pass these costs to consumers, yet these are the same opponents who justify abusive fees imposed on consumers by those same banks.  The egregious overdraft practices that strip an estimated $17 billion (and rising) from deposit accounts (hitting the elderly especially hard) have become industry standard.  The reality is that the federal banking regulatory agencies issued "guidances" and "best practices" for these unfair, deceptive and wealth-stripping "conveniences," but did nothing to enforce them. 
</p>
<p>
If we have learned anything from the recent financial meltdown, it is that trusting any single institution to safeguard the financial system is misguided.  More eyes, both at the state as well as federal level, are the best guarantee that malfeasance and illegal activity will be stopped before the damage gets out of control. Even with a renewed federal effort to prevent abuses by national banks, there are almost 20 times as many enforcement personnel in the offices of state attorney general than there are at OCC.  As a <a href="http://edit.talkingpointsmemo.com/sync/pdfs/SharedEnforcementPaper.pdf" title="comprehensive report">comprehensive report</a> produced on behalf of the nation's state attorneys general details in analyzing the need to allow greater state enforcement in new legislation: 
</p>
<blockquote dir="ltr">
	<p align="left">
	Like the existing federal regulators, no new agency created to protect consumers will ever have enough resources to comprehensively reform the financial marketplace across the entire nation. State authorities can maximize resources and bring a more localized focus to ensure widespread compliance with the new rules. 
	</p>
</blockquote>
<p>
States therefore have a critical role to play in adding cops on the financial protection beat.  It is clearly impossible for federal regulators to monitor the local practices of every national bank, so strengthening the role of the states is a key step to cracking down on consumer abuses across the nation. 
</p><b>State Strategies for Protecting Borrowers in 2010<img src="http://edit.talkingpointsmemo.com/sync/images/dispatch/ProtectingBorrowers3.jpg" align="right" hspace="10" vspace="10" /></b>:&nbsp; States are already discussing new reforms to protect homeowners and communities from lending abuses, so assuring that they can enforce their own laws is critical.&nbsp; The effects of the Great Recession will continue to be felt for years to come, but state leaders are moving forward with ways to ameliorate the current foreclosure and debt crisis, and prevent new damage from financial predators.  Here are some of the most promising reforms that could be threatened by expansive preemption language in federal legislation:<br />

<ul>
	<li> <b>Mandatory Mortgage Mediation:</b>  Requiring that banks or servicers go through a <a href="http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2009/06/time_we_talked.html">mediation process to attempt a workout of delinquent mortgages</a> is a no-cost reform that should greatly increase the number of loan workouts lenders make.  Most borrowers never have any direct contact with their lender before foreclosure is begun, in these situations there is little opportunity for a resolution short of losing one's home.  <a href="http://www.miamiforeclosurelawyerblog.com/2009/08/miami-florida-requires-mortgag.html" title="Miami">Miami</a> recently began such a program, and Philadelphia has <a href="http://www.acorn.org/fileadmin/ACORN_Reports/2009/Road_to_Rescue_Report.pdf" title="kept thousands in their homes with mandatory mediation">kept thousands in their homes with mandatory mediation</a>.</li>
	<li> <b>Anti-Blight Measures:</b>  Requiring lenders to <a href="http://www.chulavistaca.gov/City_Services/Development_Services/Planning_Building/Building/Code_Enforcement/AbanResPropertyProg.asp" title="maintain foreclosed property">maintain foreclosed property</a>, and fining them if they don't, is a strong way to decrease the <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/57132/lenders-servicers-fight-anti-blight-and-property-laws" title="blight that the foreclosure crisis has brought to many communities">blight that the foreclosure crisis has brought to many communities</a>.  These laws also help cash-strapped municipalities that have taken on the burden of maintaining these homes themselves in order to preserve their neighborhoods and property values. </li>
	<li> <b>Own to Rent Statutes:</b>  Requiring lenders to <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2009/jul/27/obama-foreclosures-rent-to-own">allow borrowers whose homes have been foreclosed on to remain in their homes as renters</a> for a specified number of years is another no-cost solution to the collateral consequences of the crisis - displaced families, broken communities, joblessness, and homelessness.  Under this law owners would become tenants if they could afford market rent as determined by an independent appraisal. </li>
	<li> <b>Whistle blower Protection for Financial Services Workers:</b>  <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/23/AR2008092303098.html">Protecting the employees of financial institutions from retaliation when they reveal criminal or unethical conduct</a> by their employers can help bring predatory practices to light. Many tellers, loan officers and other <a href="http://edit.talkingpointsmemo.com/resources/elections/SEIU_Protecting_Consumers_and_Workers_factsheet.pdf" title="retail banking employees report a culture of corruption">retail banking employees report a culture of corruption</a> with managers firing workers who don't engage in predatory practices. Many of these employees want to do the right thing and put a stop to these practices which undermine the financial well-being of their clients, but fear for their jobs keeps them from doing so. Statutory protection against retaliation for workers who file administrative or legal complaints, or testify in an administrative or legal proceeding regarding prohibited practices by the employer, are essential to bringing these practices to light. </li>
	<li> <b>Protections Against Engaging in Predatory Practices:</b> States can go even farther in empowering workers to resist pressure to engage in illegal or unethical conduct by giving workers specific protection when they refuse to participate in, any activity, policy, practice, or assigned task that the employee reasonably believed to be in violation of any law, rule, or regulation, or to be unfair, deceptive, or abusive and likely to cause specific and substantial injury to one or more consumers." This would empower the employee to stop the bad practice right away by refusing to cooperate, instead of having to wait until they made an official complaint to receive whistle blower protection.</li>
</ul><b>What's At Stake: </b>One of the greatest problems contributing to the current crisis in the credit markets has been federal obstruction of state authority to protect consumers.  New federal legislation should ensure that the states serve as a backstop against weak federal rules or lax enforcement in the future. States are more connected to conditions on the ground than a centralized federal agency.  When one state passes a more protective law, that should be a red flag to the federal government that they need to evaluate whether there is a problem that requires a federal rule.<br /><br />

<p>
Ultimately, collaboration between states and the federal government leads to more effective oversight. Delivering that message to Congress will be critical during the coming debate on financial reform. 
</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Defending President Grant</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/09/11/defending_president_grant/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.289438</id>
   
   <published>2009-09-11T13:32:55Z</published>
   <updated>2009-09-11T14:20:53Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Okay- it&apos;s an ideosyncracy but I am a big defender of President Ulysses Grant, but then the only President in the 19th century to indict Klan leaders and actually work to give African-Americans the chance to vote deserves far more...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nathan Newman</name>
      <uri>http://www.nathannewman.org/log/</uri>
   </author>
   
      <category term="Coffee House" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>Okay- it's an ideosyncracy but I am a <a href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2006/07/04/ulysses_grant_our_greatest_pre/">big defender of President Ulysses Grant,</a> but then the only President in the 19th century to indict Klan leaders and actually work to give African-Americans the chance to vote deserves far more credit than he usually receives.   So I'll take some issue with <a href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/09/10/why_we_need_to_take_the_anti-obama_hate_seriously/">M.J. Rosenberg's political history</a>, at least as far as reducing Grant's Presidency to mere grant-- a standard historical trope that was part of rightwing historical attacks on the Reconstruction era.  Politics was hardly pure then, but I'm not sure in the present period where corporate money has such free rein, it's hard to make too broad condemnation.</p>

<p>Garfield was a decent Congressman on racial issues but he readily embraced withdrawing federal troops from the South after 1877 and he was <a href="http://www.thelatinlibrary.com/chron/civilwarnotes/garfield.html">allied with the rightwing economic wing of the Republicans</a>, a "hard money" man who called regulations of railroads "Communism in disguise."   This was the era when Rutherford Hayes began the new tradition of using federal troops redeployed from the South to break strikes in the North.  Former President Grant acidly remarked at the time that this anti-labor wing of the Republicans were the same people who had resisted using federal troops "to protect the lives of negroes. Now, however, there is no hesitation about exhausting the whole power of the government to suppress a strike on the slightest intimation that danger threatens." </p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<p>What Garfield would have done in office is unclear, but he was clearly allied with the most anti-labor, hard money faction of the Republican Party.   Grant, while hardly perfect, embodied a far more progressive tradition in the Republican Party that was rapidly lost with the end of Reconstruction, as the progressive "free labor" ideology of Lincoln and Grant gave way to a far more rightwing version of laissez-faire and social darwinism.</p>

<p>So while I understand why M.J. would bring up the Garfield comparison, given the dangerous anger directed at Obama and the danger of assassination, it really is a horrible insult to Obama to compare his in any way on substance to Garfield.  And a terrible libel to ignore the much more progressive history of Grant and why many Stalwarts were so loyal to him.  Yes, many political leaders no doubt saw it merely as a fight over patronage of rival factions, but others saw it as resisting the complete rightwing ideological takeover of the GOP at the time.    No doubt it was too late by that point with Guilded Age corporate power rising throughout American politics, but Garfield was allied with the most corporate wing of the GOP and had been a key part of abandoning Reconstruction under Rutherford Hayes. </p>

<p>So no hazy memorials to Garfield as some kind of Obamaesque insurgent.  He was merely part of the general upsurge in pro-corporate and laissez-faire ideology in American politics.   </p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Why the Employer Mandate Matters</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/09/11/why_the_employer_mandate_matters/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.289414</id>
   
   <published>2009-09-11T13:12:30Z</published>
   <updated>2009-09-11T13:22:07Z</updated>
   
   <summary>With all the focus on the public option debate, there has been far less on the importance of maintaining a strong mandate for employers to provide health care -- another feature of the House bill that conservatives have vigorously opposed....</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nathan Newman</name>
      <uri>http://www.nathannewman.org/log/</uri>
   </author>
   
      <category term="Coffee House" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>With all the focus on the public option debate, there has been far less on the importance of maintaining a strong mandate for employers to provide health care -- another feature of the House bill that conservatives have vigorously opposed.</p>

<p>And the reason it's important is, at least partly, because Obama did not lie-- despite Congressman Wilson's shout, all the public options as designed will not be available to undocumented immigrants, so for millions of undocumented Americans, employer-provided health care will likely remain the only source of health services outside of emergency rooms. </p>

<p>Similarly, given rightwing pressure, the public option will likely severely restrict funding for abortion services and I've seen few details on whether domestic partners will have the same access to health care under the public option as many do under employer-provided plans.    </p>

<p>Like many folks, I've done quite a bit of organizing on behalf of the public option, but given some of the restrictions being put on it, I end up agreeing with Obama that it's only part of the solution.   And I hope advocates keep their eye on maintaining strong employer mandates which will likely be crucial to delivering more health care to more people that even the public option.  </p>]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Chipotle- Now 64% Better as They Increase Payments to Tomato Pickers</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/09/10/chipolte-_now_64_better_as_they_increase_payments/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.289216</id>
   
   <published>2009-09-10T15:11:56Z</published>
   <updated>2009-09-10T16:39:23Z</updated>
   
   <summary>I love Chipotle. I&apos;m not actually the biggest organic, fresh food advocate but they almost make me a believer. So I was not happy a month or two ago when it came out that they were buying tomotoes from super...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nathan Newman</name>
      <uri>http://www.nathannewman.org/log/</uri>
   </author>
   
      <category term="Coffee House" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
   
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      <![CDATA[<p>I love Chipotle.  I'm not actually the biggest organic, fresh food advocate but they almost make me a believer.  So I was not happy a month or two ago when it came out that they were buying tomotoes from super low-wage pickers.  </p>

<p>But under pressure of boycott by the <a href="http://www.ciw-online.org/">Coalition of Immokalee Workers (CIW),</a> a community-based organization that has led a campaign to improve wages and working conditions for Florida farm workers, Chipotle agreed to pay an additional penny per pound, <a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/story/chipotle-reaches-agreement-with-florida-tomato-grower-to-improve-wages-for-farm-workers-2009-09-09">a wage increase of 64 percent</a> for workers picking tomatoes for Chipotle. </p>

<p>One of the reasons I ignore the constant drumbeat of negative speculation about the future of unions (which has lasted pretty much non-stop for well over a century or more) is that workers keep standing up and organizing and winning, yes suffering setbacks on occasion, but then moving forward as well.   </p>]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>ACORN Praised by Prosecutors for Fighting Voter Registration Fraud</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/09/09/acorn_praised_by_prosecutors_for_fighting_voter_re/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.288905</id>
   
   <published>2009-09-09T16:05:42Z</published>
   <updated>2009-09-09T16:20:46Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Miami-Dade State Attorney&apos;s Office has issued arrest warrants for 11 suspects accused of falsifying hundreds of voter registration cards. Miami-Dade State Attorney Katherine Fernández Rundle praised ACORN for its work exposing the fraudulent acts by some former employees. ``We&apos;ve been...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nathan Newman</name>
      <uri>http://www.nathannewman.org/log/</uri>
   </author>
   
      <category term="Coffee House" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
   
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      <![CDATA[<p>Miami-Dade State Attorney's Office has issued arrest warrants for 11 suspects accused of falsifying hundreds of voter registration cards.   Miami-Dade State Attorney Katherine Fernández Rundle <a href="http://www.miamiherald.com/news/breaking-news/story/1224631.html">praised ACORN</a> for its work exposing the fraudulent acts by some former employees.  ``We've been very aggressive about a lot of these cases,'' she said. ``But we would not have known about these workers unless ACORN brought it to us.</p>

<p>ACORN quality control staff had spotted the fake registration cards and contacted the authorities in June of 2008. "It could not have impacted the voting process whatsoever. Nonetheless, we cannot turn a blind eye to this,'' Rundle added.</p>

<p>Of course-- that's not how the rightwing will frame the story.  Expect them to ignore the prosecutor praise of ACORN and the fact that the problems were identified by ACORN months before the November election. Instead-- expect things like this at Freerepublic.com-- <a href="http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2335433/posts">Breaking FOX news banner 11 ACORN arrests for voter fraud.
</a></p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<p>The lessons from the Van Jones smear and destroy operation is that progressives have to defend our allies more aggressively and not allow lies to fester unchallenged.   We can't assume that the truth will out.   We have to respond to news stories and educate ourselves and allies about the truth.</p>

<p>The reality is that ACORN registers lots of voters across the country and employs many people in doing so.  Some fake registrations to justify their pay, a problem faced by everyone hiring anyone to register voters for elections or on initiative petitions.   Precisely because they have been subject to malicious attacks by the rightwing, ACORN actually has a very aggressive anti-fraud operation internally, as evidenced by the story above.</p>

<p>As progressives, we need to get that story out there and repeat stories like Miami-Dade State Attorney Katherine Fernández Rundle praising ACORN for its aggressive anti-fraud operations.</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Defending Van Jones from the McCarthyites</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/09/04/defending_van_jones_from_the_mccarthyites/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.288152</id>
   
   <published>2009-09-04T13:40:22Z</published>
   <updated>2009-09-04T14:22:00Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Glenn Beck and the rightwing is hunting scalps-- and their prime target is Van Jones, the &quot;green jobs&quot; White House advisor who was formerly head of the organization Green for All. They are going after Van Jones, attacking him for...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nathan Newman</name>
      <uri>http://www.nathannewman.org/log/</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>Glenn Beck and the rightwing is hunting scalps-- and their prime target is Van Jones, the "green jobs" White House advisor who was formerly head of the organization Green for All.  They are going after Van Jones, attacking him for professing himself in the past as a  "radical", "revolutionary" and studier of Karl Marx.  (See this <a href="http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2009/09/03/raw-data-van-jones-resume/">FoxNews "raw data" about Jones</a> or this <a href="http://www.mediabistro.com/tvnewser/fnc/glenn_beck_goes_off_on_van_jones_do_you_think_i_want_to_get_on_the_air_every_night_and_tell_you_this_stuff_130023.asp">Glenn Beck rant</a>).</p>

<p>All of which is true.  Van has a long history of being a left advocate working in a variety of organizations.  Which is why it's even more important that liberals and moderates of good faith stand up to defend him.   McCarthyism was not bad because it falsely accused moderates of being radicals.  McCarthyism was bad because it made having any form of left views a bar to public service, from policy to being a teacher.  </p>

<p>President Obama has explicitly filled his administration with a broad diversity of views, with many of the key positions held by establishment moderates from the  corporate world.  Van Jones is one viewpoint represented among many voices in the White House, yet the Becks of the world want to make anyone holding left views or having a history of sympathetically reading the "wrong" books forbidden from public service.</p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<p>Disclosure-- I knew Van pretty well back in the early 90s when we were both involved in community organizing efforts, including involvement in a variety of left-leaning groups.  To quote Jerry Seinfeld- "Not that there was anything wrong with that."   </p>

<p>If people think Van Jones's work against policy brutality was wrong, they could raise that concern for his qualifications.  If they think his work to increase reading among prisoners to reduce recidivism was wrong, that's a legitimate issue.  If they think his work trying to get minority youth involved in training for green economy jobs was misguided, that might be a useful debate.   </p>

<p>But the Beck's of the world are involved in pure ideological smearing.</p>

<p>So far the worst of their real evidence against Van is he signed onto a petition calling for investigations of what led the Bush administration to ignore warnings about the 9-11 attacks-- an association with the "9-11 truthers" that Jones has disavowed.   </p>

<p>The other is a Van Jones comment that conservatives have been politically successful because they are <a href="http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2009/09/03/blogs/coopscorner/entry5286699.shtml">assholes</a>.   This could be seen as intemperate, but Jones goes out of his way to say that he himself is an asshole often and that more Democrats need to be assholes-- which means he is using the term for being politically aggressive.   </p>

<p>We are seeing a full fledged movement to lie and smear anyone seeking change on the left side of the spectrum, with Obama being labelled a Fascist down to demands to fire folks like Van Jones.   The best way to stop a slide towards McCarthyism is to stop it in its tracks and refuse to allow even one scalp for the rightwing, since history says that ideological blood just feeds bloodlust for more.   </p>

<p>As German anti-Nazi activist, Pastor Martin Niemöller said:</p>

<blockquote>In Germany they first came for the Communists, and I didn't speak up because I wasn't a Communist. 

<p>Then they came for the Jews,<br />
and I didn't speak up because I wasn't a Jew.</p>

<p>Then they came for the trade unionists,<br />
and I didn't speak up because I wasn't a trade unionist.</p>

<p>Then they came for the Catholics,<br />
and I didn't speak up because I was a Protestant.</p>

<p>Then they came for me --<br />
and by that time no one was left to speak up.</blockquote></p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>From &quot;Death Panels&quot; to &quot;Taxing your 401K&quot;</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/09/02/from_death_panels_to_taxing_your_401k/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.287714</id>
   
   <published>2009-09-02T12:49:41Z</published>
   <updated>2009-09-02T14:26:58Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Misrepresentation to protect corporate interests has become just the knee-jerk reflex of the rightwing. They don&apos;t seem to think they can win any argument based on promoting alternative proposals as more effective or ideologically more appealing-- they just seem to...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nathan Newman</name>
      <uri>http://www.nathannewman.org/log/</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>Misrepresentation to protect corporate interests has become just the knee-jerk reflex of the rightwing.  They don't seem to think they can win any argument based on promoting alternative proposals as more effective or ideologically more appealing-- they just seem to immediately reach for the distortion.</p>

<p>So the AFL-CIO and some allies came out with a proposal for a tiny tax on stock transactions -- about one-tenth of one percent of each transaction -- an amount that individual investors making long-term investments would barely notice.  The goal is to raise revenue off the large-scale traders like Goldman Sachs and <a href="http://thehill.com/homenews/house/56789-afl-cio-dems-push-new-wall-street-tax">discourage high-frequency traders</a> using computers to game the stock market. "High-frequency trading is estimated to earn about $20 billion in profits for the nation's biggest investment firms, who guard the their practices zealously."</p>

<p>And of course the rightwing immediately just labels the proposal as the "<a href="http://www.atr.org/index.php?content=Taxon401k">AFL-CIO's Tax on Your 401(k)</a>"</p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<p>Now, the median 401K account balance is just under $19,000, so even if every American with a 401K (which is not even close to everyone) traded their whole balance each year (not common in fact), then they would face a tax of $19 per year from this proposal.   So for all but a tiny minority of Americans, the tax would be essentially non-existent.</p>

<p>Yet it would raise $50 to $100 billion a year from the financial speculators who crashed the economy, helping to offset the debt piled up this year saving the economy -- and in particular, debt that helped keep companies like Goldman Sachs afloat in the first place.   </p>

<p>But here you have folks like Grover Norquist's Americans for Tax Reform flacking for the richest speculators in the country, hyping this as a tax on average Americans.    If the rightwing wants to make the principled argument that taxing speculation will distort the market in unfortunate ways or that on principle, it's better to cut Medicaid spending than tax the wealthy, then more power to them.   But the fact that they have to promote fear and distortion of the real effects of proposals just emphasizes the ideological bankruptcy of the modern rightwing.</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>The Apparent Unmotivated Idiocy of Labor Union Members, Especially Teachers</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/09/01/the_apparent_unmotivated_idiocy_of_labor_union_mem/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.287551</id>
   
   <published>2009-09-01T14:35:25Z</published>
   <updated>2009-09-01T15:09:56Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Steven Brill has a long essay in the New Yorker about the long process required to fire teachers in New York City. Now, any discussion of due process, whether in firings or criminal justice, inevitably can stack the deck by...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nathan Newman</name>
      <uri>http://www.nathannewman.org/log/</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>Steven Brill has a <a href="http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2009/08/31/090831fa_fact_brill?currentPage=all">long essay</a> in the New Yorker about the long process required to fire teachers in New York City.   Now, any discussion of due process, whether in firings or criminal justice, inevitably can stack the deck by focusing on the guilty while ignoring those protected from arbitrary abuse by the process.  Which Brill does of course.   </p>

<p>But what I find most telling about Brill's account is that, like most stories about union rules and contracts, there is not really any serious discussion about WHY union members vote for such contracts.   Is Brill arguing that the majority of teachers like having bad teachers among their numbers?   Is he arguing that the majority of teachers approving the contracts care about children less than administrators?   Actually, Brill says almost nothing about the motivation of teachers in the union in his whole piece.</p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<p>Brill has a number of quotes from the teachers accused of malfeasance or incompetence, a quick quote from a union leader and none from the rest of the New York City teaching force.   Somehow, the argument of these kinds of pieces is that charter school principals care about kids and the majority of teachers who continue to approve the contracts Brill complains about don't care.</p>

<p>If that's true, schools have a much more severe problem that the tiny minority of teachers who cost the system money trying to fire them.   And a decent reporter would be probing why New York City teachers collectively hate the kids they teach.   </p>

<p>But then, probing into that story on what the majority of teachers think might force Brill to interview outstanding public school teachers who might dangerously have articulate reasons for opposing too much arbitrary power in the hands of school administrators (think McCarthyism or, for more recent examples in many union-free states, pressure to teach creationism).   And quoting such articulate good teachers would bypass the inevitable press story pitting anti-union "education reformers" against bad teachers/union hacks.    </p>

<p>Now, some of those good teachers would also criticize the due process rules as too strong, but then you'd actually have a complicated story about the democratic debate of teachers within the schools of how to preserve and build a strong teaching profession, with sympathetic teachers on all sides of a complicated debate.   </p>

<p>But Brill isn't interested in such a story but wanted to write a one-sided attack on the teachers unions and against protecting workers rights.   But then this shouldn't be a surprise from someone who as an employer (former publisher of the <em>American Lawyer</em>) was <a href="http://nymag.com/nymetro/news/politics/columns/citypolitic/1680/index1.html">described this way</a>:<br />
<blockquote><br />
The magazine <em>New York Woman </em>ran a story about the worst places for women to work, flatly stating that the story did not include jobs "inherently loathsome for men and for women, such as working in a subway booth, scrubbing floors or working for <em>Steven Brill, the notoriously bullying editor</em> of American Lawyer.</blockquote>There probably is a good indepth story to be written about the "Rubber Rooms" described by Brill, but his story is sure not it.</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>TARP Beginning to Turn a Profit?  Lessons in Government Taking an Equity Stake</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/08/26/tarp_beginning_to_turn_a_profit_lessons_in_governm/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.286680</id>
   
   <published>2009-08-26T13:31:43Z</published>
   <updated>2009-08-26T11:52:26Z</updated>
   
   <summary>So at least some of the TARP money the government put into the banks last fall appears to be making a profit: The US government...is sitting on a paper profit of almost $11bn on its 34 per cent shareholding in...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nathan Newman</name>
      <uri>http://www.nathannewman.org/log/</uri>
   </author>
   
      <category term="Coffee House" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>So at least some of the TARP money the government put into the banks last fall <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/88e0d226-901e-11de-bc59-00144feabdc0.html?ftcamp=rss&nclick_check=1">appears to be making a profit</a>:<blockquote><br />
The US government...is sitting on a paper profit of almost $11bn on its 34 per cent shareholding in Citigroup, its only direct stake in a large financial institution...The government said it had earned an annualised return of 23 per cent from its $10bn investment in Goldman Sachs under Tarp. In June, Goldman returned the $10bn and later paid another $1.1bn to buy back warrants attached to Tarp aid. Morgan Stanley, American Express and other banks have done the same, leaving taxpayers with substantial profits.</blockquote>Back in September, I was in the minority on the left in <a href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/09/30/a_bailout_is_cheaper_than_the/">thinking the TARP bailout plan, with all it's flaws, was better than the status quo</a> and so far evidence is that not only did the plan help stabilize the financial system, it won't cost taxpayers anywhere near the amount feared by critics-- and many of the TARP investments will end up netting profits to the governemnt that can be used for other needs.</p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<p>Now, there are plenty of things that can still go wrong and the government is on the hook to insure a wide range of bad assets that could undermine any profits from these individual equity investments.  But my point last September was that such potential insurance losses were already likely to happen and that the advantage of TARP as proposed was that it at least included solid equity investments that could (and did) yield returns to the taxpayers that could offset any insurance promises made by the governemnt. </p>

<p>Even the financial blackhole that is AIG may be <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/08/07/AR2009080701099.html?nav=rss_business">turning a corner</a> at minor profits begin to replace the hemmoraging losses of last fall.  And taxpayers are promised some relief although most analysts are rightly skeptical that the AIG bailout -- notably begun before TARP was implemented -- will get repaid.  But at least the losses look to be less than those initially feared as well. </p>

<p>Was TARP ideal? Hell no.  Nationalization would have been better and would have increased the upside for taxpayers as banks recovered, instead of hundreds of billions in profits being pocketed by many of the idiots who caused the financial meltdown, then got to benefit from public intervention to end the credit death spiral.      Ideological opposition to temporary government ownership of the banks meant that taxpayers lost out on profits that were due that government intersection-- a classic example of anti-government ideology forcing government to be less effective and more costly than it should have been.  </p>

<p>But I also think some knee-jerk ideology on the left contributed to the problem as well.  TARP when proposed was not ideal, but most progressives should have been cheering on the provisions for equity stakes in distressed firms as a big step forward compared to mindless subsidies and insurance programs that leave little or no financial upside for taxpayers.   Instead, too many progressives fixated on the "costs" of the bailout, ignoring the fact that an equity stake is not spending per se but merely a transformation of government cash into an alternative investment of financial value (whether less or more in the future depending on financial results).  </p>

<p>The deep lesson that progressives should be focusing public attention upon is that when companies come asking for a bailout, the government shouldn't ever be handing out subsidies, tax breaks or other goodies to private firms without taxpayers getting a stake that can return value to the Treasury.     Federal and state governments currently hands out hundreds of billions of dollars in tax breaks and other forms of economic subsidy, yet taxpayers rarely get an equity stake or at least some kind of income-generating bond in return.   </p>

<p>In fact, state governments have been experimenting with creating profit-generating <a href="http://www.progressivestates.org/node/705/economic-strategies-for-nurturing-innovation-and-job-growth">public venture capital funds</a> that can play a more dynamic role in nurturing economic growth in their states.  Most are modest but generate both new jobs and returns to taxpayers.  </p>

<p>So far, the federal government has ventured into equity stakes only in companies that financial or corporate basketcases -- ie. AIG, General Motors and so on -- but imagine the returns to taxpayers if some of the subsidies the public hands out to healthy firms came with some kind of longer-term financial return to taxpayers?  Instead of such corporate handouts being a cost to taxpayers, it could be an income generator to help pay for everything from health care reform to infrastructure investments.<br />
</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>No &quot;Left Without Labor&quot;</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/08/24/no_left_without_labor/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.286276</id>
   
   <published>2009-08-24T11:16:36Z</published>
   <updated>2009-08-24T13:29:40Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Mark Schmitt worries over at the American Prospect that the U.S. labor movement is so weakened that we are in danger of constructing an effete liberal coalition of &quot;minority, professional, and younger voters&quot; lacking white working class voters. I&apos;ll leave...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nathan Newman</name>
      <uri>http://www.nathannewman.org/log/</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>Mark Schmitt <a href="http://www.prospect.org/cs/articles?article=left_without_labor">worries over at the <em>American Prospect</em></a> that the U.S. labor movement is so weakened that we are in danger of constructing an effete liberal coalition of "minority, professional, and younger voters" lacking white working class voters.  I'll leave it to others to parse the polling data on voting patterns and instead challenge his argument on the weakening centrality of the labor movement to the Democratic coalition. Let's start with his major piece of evidence:<br />
<blockquote>Labor's lack of clout to pass EFCA in even the most overwhelmingly Democratic -- and progressive -- Congress in decades is an indication that we already have a successful progressive movement in which labor plays only a modest role.</blockquote>So what does this say about the centrality of labor in the last seventy-four years in which no other major pro-labor law reform was passed, despite many years when Democrats had even greater numbers, as during the Great Society?  In fact, we had quite large numbers of Democrats in the past vote for the viciously anti-labor 1947 Taft-Hartley law (creating "right to work" rules and massively limiting union organizing and strikes) and the 1959 Landrum-Griffin Act (restricting union picketing and negotiating rights).  In fact, when EFCA comes to a vote, it will no doubt have a higher percentage of Democrats taking a pro-labor position than any other labor legislation since the Wagner Act.</p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<p>Now, Schmidt is right that unions represent a far smaller percentage of workers than they once did, but then so do the French unions (who actually have fewer union members as a percentage of the workforce than US unions).  Which emphasizes that it depends partially what you do with your membership as much as the total.</p>

<p>And US unions are probably more effectively mobilizing their members for political action today than they have in decades.    Unions in the U.S. may "only" represent a bit more than 15 million workers, but that's still far more than almost any other institution in American.  Yes, AARP's official membership may be higher, but not only do union members pay dues on a scale orders of magnitude higher (raising literally billions of dollars per year for the union movement), but unions can directly reach members day-to-day through in-workplace stewards systems and other mechanisms of organizational involvement.  </p>

<p>That ability explains both the political funds contributed by members to union PACS (which are voluntary contributions on top of regular dues) which make unions to this day the top collective givers to Democrats-- of the top twenty PAC federal contributors to Dems in the 2007-2008 cycle, <a href="http://www.opensecrets.org/pacs/toppacs.php?Type=C&cycle=2008&Pty=D">19 out of the twenty top PAC givers to Dems were union PACs</a>, giving from a low of $1.77 million by members of the National Air Traffic Controllers Assn up to $3.72 million by members of Intl Brotherhood of Electrical Workers.  Business obviously gives more overall, but labor through both direct contributions and manpower on the ground still plays a key role.</p>

<p>And let's be clear-- Barack Obama is possibly the most unabashedly pro-union President since at least Harry Truman.  His appointments to the Labor Department and the National Labor Relations Board are extremely strong advocates of workers rights and, unlikely Bill Clinton for example, <a href="http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2008/jul/31/obama-supports-union-organizing/">Obama in his campaign argued</a>:<br />
<blockquote>We're ready to play offense for organized labor. It's time we had a president who didn't choke saying the word 'union.' A president who strengthens our unions by letting them do what they do best: organize our workers.</blockquote>Obama may not be fighting as hard for the Employee Free Choice Act as many would like, but he is unafraid to publicly identify himself as being in favor of workers forming more unions.  </p>

<p>So all of this is hardly a party where labor lacks influence.  </p>

<p>If John F. Kennedy and Lyndon Johnson and Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton all failed to enact labor law reform, then using its passage or non-passage as a barometer of union influence is a mistake.  If labor law reform fails, it won't be because labor lacks clout compared to other parts of the progressive coalition, but rather that labor's opponents are far wealthier, powerful and determined to defeat them.  Any measurement of influence has to compare not just the advocacy and support on one side, but the strength of the opposition faced on the other.   And the reality is that the business community would readily allow cap-and-trade, health insurance reform and almost every other liberal proposal to pass rather than allow EFCA to be enacted.  </p>

<p>Yet there is still a moderate chance that some version of EFCA gets enacted in this Congress-- a notable achievement after, to repeat, seventy-four years of labor laws either getting worse or staying in their same anti-labor rut since Taft-Hartley and Landrum-Griffin.   That Arlen Specter defected to the Democrats and has strengthened his support for passage just indicates that in a prototypical "working class" state like Pennsylvania, labor influence can push a Senator's political self-interest towards a pro-labor position. </p>

<p>Is all of this enough?  Of course not.  Other liberal groups, as Mark urges, should take working class and union concerns more seriously, both out of justice and through recognizing that strengthening unions will strengthen the overall progressive movement that much more.   And unions can do far more themselves to effectively mobilize their own membership and undermine the "Joe the Plumber" silliness in favor of getting real working class voices into political campaigns and the media. </p>

<p>But honestly, I've been hearing about the slow death of unions for over twenty years now (and others have heard it even longer) and while there are lots of problems and challenges, the labor movement in practice (as opposed to nominal numbers) and even more so the coalition relationships between labor and the rest of the progressive movement is far stronger today than when I started as a union organizer two decades ago.  </p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Thank God for Private Medicine - irony alert</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/08/18/thank_god_for_private_medicine_-_irony_alert/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.285458</id>
   
   <published>2009-08-18T17:22:54Z</published>
   <updated>2009-08-18T17:41:38Z</updated>
   
   <summary>When folks talk about their fear of &quot;socialized medicine&quot;, I&apos;m always wondering what they prize in our present system? The instability of coverage, fear of being locked out by a preexisting condition, the craziness of reimbursement rules? Some will say...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nathan Newman</name>
      <uri>http://www.nathannewman.org/log/</uri>
   </author>
   
      <category term="Coffee House" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[<p>When folks talk about their fear of "socialized medicine", I'm always wondering what they prize in our present system?  The instability of coverage, fear of being locked out by a preexisting condition, the craziness of reimbursement rules?  Some will say a fear of Soviet-style lines for care, but we have them-- which I was reminded of last night as I went to the emergency room with my wife.</p>

<p>We went to the emergency room because she had intense pains, fever and other symptoms that her doctor said on the phone had a chance of being fatal if not treated immediately.  So we ran to the local hospital-- luckily only two blocks from our home, one of the best in New York City (Columbia Presbyterian).   With our lovely private health insurance --also one of the better ones (Oxford) --  the results were:  a long wait to even see the triage nurse, and then being told my wife would have to wait EIGHT HOURS to see someone.   The triage nurse didn't disagree with her doctor's diagnosis of the possibility of the fatal condition, but that was the timeline for everyone who wasn't basically bleeding to death on the spot.</p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<p>I basically did what everyone knows you have to do with our screwed up system-- bargain and beg folks to jump the line.  Which I did, getting her past the eight hour queue, but finding that there was another indeterminate queue even in the next internal waiting room.  At that point, our 2-year old daughter was getting too anxious for me to stay; we asked whether my wife could rest at home and get a call when a doctor was available, since we were just a block or so away.  But no, she had to stay, sitting up, suffering in pain, waiting.</p>

<p>I took our daughter home to put her to bed and my wife eventually got home, untreated, because it was unclear whether they would ever see her.   So she decided that getting some sleep and rest trumped the CHANCE to see an emergency room doctor.   </p>

<p>Now, she'll hopefully be able to see her regular doctor today, but I've had plenty of frustrations on care on day-to-day medicine that the emergency room insanity seemed to me not an aberration but pretty indicative of a system that spends crap loads of money but is not there for people when you need it, even if you have decent insurance.   Some of the problems in emergency rooms we know are do precisely to the fact that many people don't have insurance, so they end up piling into emergency rooms as their only care-giving system.  Which highlights once again what everyone, insured or not, has to gain from more universal coverage.  </p>

<p>And yet we'll still have media cycles dominated by discussions of "death panels" even as the incredible number of stories of pain and suffering under our present system, most far worse than what I described above, gets downplayed.  The insanity of the health care debate would be amusing, if it wasn't so deadly serious for so many people.</p>]]>
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Maybe We Need &quot;Birth Panels&quot;- Promoting Less Costly, Safer Births</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/08/13/maybe_we_need_birth_panels-_promoting_less_costly/" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009://14.284662</id>
   
   <published>2009-08-13T14:39:26Z</published>
   <updated>2009-08-13T14:59:48Z</updated>
   
   <summary><![CDATA[Yeah, we know the rightwing now officially believes that government should do nothing to restrain health care costs, since as we know rightwing politicians have been opposed to any cuts in funding of Medicaid or Medicare for years.&nbsp; But at...]]></summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nathan Newman</name>
      <uri>http://www.nathannewman.org/log/</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/">
      <![CDATA[Yeah, we know the rightwing now officially believes that government should do nothing to restrain health care costs, since as we know rightwing politicians have been opposed to any cuts in funding of Medicaid or Medicare for years.&nbsp; But at the risk of adding fuel to the fire, how about some birth panels to think about reducing the insane overuse of surgery for births in the United States?<br /><br />C-sections during birth are the most common surgical procedures each year, with roughly half of them at deemed to be unneeded and potentially dangerous to other and child. &nbsp;
<p>So to encourage more natural childbirths, beginning this month, the state of <b>Washington</b> will pay hospitals the same amount for an uncomplicated C-section as for a complicated vaginal birth under its Medicaid reimbursement
rules.&nbsp; With half of all births in Washington paid for by Medicaid,
this will likely have a significant impact in reducing unneeded
C-sections in the state, saving money and potentially lives.
</p><p>
  <b>The Alarming Rise in C-Sections:&nbsp; </b>As the Washington State Department of Social &amp; Health Services <a href="http://maa.dshs.wa.gov/News/fact/FS009-007Hospitalpurchasing-rates-C-sections4-8-09.pdf">described in adopting new reimbursement rules</a>&nbsp;to encourage more natural births, the problem of unneeded C-sections had been rising dangerously in recent years:
</p>]]>
      <![CDATA[<ul><font size="2" face="Arial"><font size="2" face="Arial">
  <li>
    <div align="left">
      Nationally, the U.S. has seen a 50 percent increase in C-sections since 1996.
    </div>
  </li>
  <font size="2" face="Arial"><font size="2" face="Arial">
  <li>
    <div align="left">
      Washington state's C-section rates have jumped 60 percent in low-risk mothers.
    </div>
  </li>
  <li>
    <div align="left">
      Paralleling national trends, <font size="2" face="Arial"><font size="2" face="Arial">Washington State is approaching a 30 percent surgical birth rate.</font></font>
    </div>
  </li>
  <li>
    <div align="left">
      <font size="2" face="Arial"><font size="2" face="Arial">Highlighting the arbitrary rise of the procedure, this <font size="2" face="Arial"><font size="2" face="Arial">rate varies between 15% and 48% at different hospitals.</font></font></font></font>
    </div>
  </li>
  </font></font></font></font></ul>



<p>
  Nationwide, the C-section rate is almost 32 percent, more than double what both the <a href="http://www.who.int/bulletin/volumes/85/10/06-039289/en/index.html">World Health Organization</a> and the <a href="http://www.healthypeople.gov/Document/HTML/Volume2/16MICH.htm#_Toc49469966%204">Centers for Disease Control</a>
say is necessary.&nbsp; When the rate of C-sections rises above 10 to 15
percent, both the WHO and CDC find that the harm outweighs the benefits
to mothers and babies.&nbsp; So at least half of the approximately 22,000
C-sections performed each year in Washington are not only unnecessary,
but also harmful.
</p>



<p>
  <b>Changing Incentives</b>:&nbsp; The new rules adopted will cut
Medicaid reimbursements for uncomplicated C-sections from about $3,600
to around $1,000. Hospitals with high C-section rates will ideally be
encouraged to change practices that have been unnecessarily driving up
C-section rates.&nbsp; Assuming no changes in C-section rates, the change in
reimbursement rates will save the state close to $2 million and the
federal government another $2 million.&nbsp; But if the incentives decrease
the total number of C-sections, the savings will be even larger.&nbsp; And
if adopted nationally, <a href="http://crosscut.com/2009/08/06/health-medicine/19144/">one analysis notes</a>:
</p>

<blockquote dir="ltr" style="margin-right: 0px;">
  <p> "With
C-sections accounting for 45 percent of the $86 billion the U.S. spends
on childbirth each year, lowering the C-section rate could go a ways
toward paying for President Obama's goal of getting health coverage to
everyone in the country." </p>
</blockquote><br /><p dir="ltr" align="left">
  Notably, developed countries with lower C-section rates (12% in the Netherlands and 18% in France) tend to have both <a href="http://blog.fortiusone.com/2009/04/22/birth-in-the-usa/" id="m3z1" title="lower infant mortality rates">lower infant mortality rates</a> and spend less of their GDP on health care.&nbsp;<br />
</p>

 These proposals are just part of Washington
state taking the lead on childbirth reimbursement reforms.&nbsp; By paying
for home births attended by a licensed midwife, it has a rate of
out-of-hospital birth double the national average, which a 2008
Department of Health cost-benefit analysis found resulted in good
outcomes for mothers and babies and yielded a net savings to the
government of about $250,000 per year from the reduced numbers of
C-sections.&nbsp; <br /><br />Again, it's worth considering that in Europe, midwives
assist at more than 70% of normal vaginal births, compared to midwives
delivering just 7% of American babies in 2003-- again with lower costs
and lower infant mortality in Europe compared to results in the United
States.]]>
   </content>
</entry>

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