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   <title>Nick in IN&apos;s Blog</title>
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   <id>tag:www.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk/blogs/nick_in_in//3076</id>
   <updated>2008-10-03T04:11:44Z</updated>
   
   <generator uri="http://www.sixapart.com/movabletype/">Movable Type Pro 4.21-en</generator>


<entry>
   <title>I didn&apos;t think it was possible</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/10/i-didnt-think-it-was-possible.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk//17.221627</id>
   
   <published>2008-10-03T04:11:44Z</published>
   <updated>2008-10-03T04:11:44Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Remember the last eight years? Yeah, sure you do. Remember how every time you saw George W. Bush talk you thought to yourself &quot;my god, this man is an idiot.&quot; Sarah Palin did the impossible tonight. She made George W....</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nick in IN</name>
      
   </author>
   
      <category term="Cafe" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
      <category term="Election Central" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
   
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      <![CDATA[Remember the last eight years? Yeah, sure you do. Remember how every time you saw George W. Bush talk you thought to yourself "my god, this man is an idiot." Sarah Palin did the impossible tonight. She made George W. Bush look presidential. Think about that one.<br />]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Obama gets another superdelegate</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/05/obama-gets-another-superdelega-1.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk//17.194935</id>
   
   <published>2008-05-14T12:24:12Z</published>
   <updated>2008-05-14T12:24:12Z</updated>
   
   <summary>U.S. Rep. Pete Visclosky (IN-1) has announced his support for Barack Obama this morning. Who else thinks a whole bunch will be announced today to offset WV?...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nick in IN</name>
      
   </author>
   
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      <category term="Election Central" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
   
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      <![CDATA[U.S. Rep. Pete Visclosky (IN-1) has <a href="http://nwi.com/articles/2008/05/14/updates/breaking_news/doc482acaa657060031795227.txt">announced </a>his support for Barack Obama this morning. Who else thinks a whole bunch will be announced today to offset WV?<br />]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Rest today, the national campaign begins tomorrow</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/05/rest-today-the-national-campai.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk//17.193781</id>
   
   <published>2008-05-07T18:21:04Z</published>
   <updated>2008-05-07T18:21:04Z</updated>
   
   <summary>OK. It&apos;s over. We all get it. Except for Hillary. For Obama to even acknowledge her anymore at this point is useless--a waste of money and breath. From this point forward, he&apos;s running against McCain and he should put all...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nick in IN</name>
      
   </author>
   
      <category term="Cafe" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
      <category term="Election Central" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/nick_in_in/">
      <![CDATA[OK. It's over. We all get it. Except for Hillary. For Obama to even acknowledge her anymore at this point is useless--a waste of money and breath. From this point forward, he's running against McCain and he should put all his efforts toward that end. We don't need Hillary to accept that he's the nominee. We all know it.<br /><br />Start putting the national ads together and quit wasting any more time with this foolish person, Barack. It's time to put an end to <i>The Audacity of Hopelessness</i>. <br />]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Hillary&apos;s drinking buddy slams early voting by Gary, IN teens</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/04/hillarys-drinking-buddy-slams.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk//17.191042</id>
   
   <published>2008-04-24T14:54:34Z</published>
   <updated>2008-04-24T14:54:34Z</updated>
   
   <summary>In today&apos;s NWI Times, my mayor, Mayor Thomas McDermott, Jr. of Hammond, IN, famous(?) for being pictured standing next to Hillary in all the infamous Crown Royal shots pics slammed the process of some neighboring Gary, IN schools busing voting-age...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nick in IN</name>
      
   </author>
   
      <category term="Cafe" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
      <category term="Election Central" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
   
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      <![CDATA[In today's <a href="http://www.nwi.com/articles/2008/04/24/news/top_news/docfd54d825008dfa8586257435000a6c51.txt"><i>NWI Times</i></a>, my mayor, Mayor <a href="http://www.gohammond.com/web/index.php?mayor">Thomas McDermott, Jr.</a> of Hammond, IN, famous(?) for being pictured standing next to Hillary in all the infamous <a href="http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/04/13/clinton-takes-a-shot-of-whiskey/">Crown Royal shots pics</a> slammed the process of some neighboring Gary, IN schools busing voting-age kids to the county's early voting center.<br /><br />"To me it seems like an orchestrated effort on behalf of the Obama
campaign to take kids who should be in school learning to read and
write, instead giving them a day off and telling them to vote for Obama."<br /><br />"When you corral kids together and ship them to polling places, it's
completely unethical. I think Sen. Obama should distance himself from
this type of behavior," McDermott said.<br /><br />Indiana's primary, as most of you know, is May 6. For the first time ever, new election laws permit early voting in Indiana at several central locations in each county. In the past, voters who could not make it to the polls on election day had to get absentee ballots, and they needed to justify their need on the application.<br /><br />The problem here is Mayor McDermott's implication that the primarily black kids are being told to vote for Obama. If they aren't being told whom to vote for, then his implication is even more insidious. Comments on the online article overwhelmingly accuse McDermott of racial bias here.<br /><br />McDermott has been pushing very hard for Hillary in NW Indiana. He's one of a number of local democratic mayors endorsing Sen. Clinton, but he's the guy you see in every photo or video clip when Hill's in the area. <br /><br />I see no problem with getting the youth involved in early voting, regardless of who they will support. In heavily populated counties, there are hundreds of voting precincts so it is unlikely that any one student's polling place is in or near his or her school. To come out so strongly against getting the young voters involved, voters who lean heavily democratic in this area, is antithetical to the ideals of the democratic party anyway. Not surprising coming from a mayor <a href="http://www.nwi.com/articles/2003/11/02/news/top_news/61f8961a5f6462f986256dd100173bb7.txt">who switched parties in 2003 to run as a Democrat</a> when he realized he could not win as a Republican.<br />]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Where the race really stands</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/04/where-the-race-really-stands.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2008:/talk//17.190912</id>
   
   <published>2008-04-23T20:04:41Z</published>
   <updated>2008-04-23T20:04:41Z</updated>
   
   <summary>When people talk about Pennsylvania, a state Hillary was expected to win, had a nearly 30 point polling lead a month ago that dwindled to 5, that she actually won by 9, here is what you need to tell them....</summary>
   <author>
      <name>Nick in IN</name>
      
   </author>
   
      <category term="Cafe" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
      <category term="Election Central" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" />
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/nick_in_in/">
      <![CDATA[When people 
talk about Pennsylvania, a state Hillary was expected to win, had a nearly 30 
point polling lead a month ago that dwindled to 5, that she actually won by 9, 
here is what you need to tell them. Because the mainstream media 
won't.
&nbsp;
As of 
today, the pledged delegate counts are 1487 for Obama and&nbsp;1331 for 
Hillary.
Superdels 
already decided: 232 Obama, 255 Hillary
Total 
estimated delegates as of today: 1719 Obama, 1586 Hillary.
&nbsp;
It takes 
2024 delegates to get the nomination.
&nbsp;
Here are 
the remaining races, conservative (in Obama's favor) estimates of the votes, and 
the delegates awarded.
&nbsp;
Guam, 4 
delegates, 2 each (with only 4 delegates, wide margins will still split them 
2/2)
NC: Obama 
54% (65), Clinton 46% (50)
IN: Obama 
43% (31), Clinton 57% (41)
WV: Obama 
43% (12), Clinton 57% (16)
KY: Obama 
43% (23), Clinton 57% (28)
OR: Obama 
52% (27), Clinton 48% (25)
MT: Obama 
54% (8), Clinton 46% (8)
SD: Obama 
52% (8), Clinton 48% (7)
PR: Obama 
42% (23), Clinton 58% (32)
&nbsp;
So that 
would place the delegate totals (including the pledged and supers that have 
declared to date) at:
&nbsp;
Obama 1915, 
Clinton 1798
&nbsp;
The 
remaining uncommitted 308 superdelegates will need to decide 
this.
&nbsp;
If Hillary 
receives 60% of them (unlikely, since Obama will have the lead in pledged 
delegates), that will put the totals at:
&nbsp;
Obama 2038, 
Clinton 1983
&nbsp;
In fact, 
Hillary will need a full 74% of the remaining uncommitted superdelegates to 
reach the 2024 number. The number is likely more than that since I was very 
conservative in predictions of the remaining races.
&nbsp;
All the 
stuff on this page above this line can be summarized as 
such:
&nbsp;
Obama has 
already won the nomination.]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

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