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   <title>neoboho&apos;s Blog</title>
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   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/neoboho//7591</id>
   <updated>2009-11-16T21:55:19Z</updated>
   
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<entry>
   <title>My Favorite Onion</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/2009/11/my-favorite-onion.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/neoboho//7591.302215</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-16T21:49:18Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-16T21:55:19Z</updated>
   
   <summary><![CDATA[I don't keep up with The Onion much, so I've probably missed some of the best it has to offer.&nbsp; However, I have a favorite - from August 2000 (when the prospect of an enlightened 21st century still had legs.)Stoner...]]></summary>
   <author>
      <name>neoboho</name>
      <uri>http://www.impix.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/">
      <![CDATA[I don't keep up with The Onion much, so I've probably missed some of the best it has to offer.&nbsp; However, I have a favorite - from August 2000 (when the prospect of an enlightened 21st century still had legs.)<br /><br /><a href="http://www.theonion.com/content/node/38734"><b>Stoner Architect Drafts All-Foyer Mansion</b></a><br /> ]]>
      
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</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Jim DeMint, Secretary of State</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/2009/11/jim-demint-secretary-of-state.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/neoboho//7591.301980</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-15T16:39:18Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-15T18:19:37Z</updated>
   
   <summary><![CDATA[It is now possible to reconstruct with a fair degree of accuracy how the Obama administration turned an imminent diplomatic triumph into a negotiated defeat.&nbsp; - Robert White, former United States ambassador to Paraguay and El SalvadorFrom Americas Program, White...]]></summary>
   <author>
      <name>neoboho</name>
      <uri>http://www.impix.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/">
      <![CDATA[<i>It is now
possible to reconstruct with a fair degree of accuracy how the Obama
administration turned an imminent diplomatic triumph into a negotiated
defeat.&nbsp; - </i><i><i>Robert White, former United States ambassador to Paraguay and El Salvador</i><br /></i><br />From <a href="http://americas.irc-online.org/am/6565"><i>Americas Program</i></a>, White reconstructs - <i><br /><br /></i><blockquote><p>On October 20,
Senator Jim DeMint stated that he had met with Assistant Secretary of
State Thomas Shannon and that he was pleased that the Department of
State finally understood "that it is essential that these elections [in
Honduras] go forward and are recognized." As a result, DeMint said he
was "anxious" to release the holds he had placed on the nominations of
Arturo Valenzuela to be assistant secretary of state for Western
Hemisphere affairs and Thomas Shannon, the present assistant secretary,
to be ambassador to Brazil.</p>
<p> As Shannon well knew, this impending change of policy would give
away the principal leverage the United States could bring to bear to
persuade the de facto government to permit the prompt return of
President Zelaya.</p>
<p> On October 28, a diplomatic delegation headed by Thomas Shannon
arrived in Tegucigalpa to jump start the negotiations between the de
facto regime and President Mel Zelaya. At a press conference, Shannon
stated that the return of Zelaya is "central" to the concerns of the
United States and the international community. Yet, he refused to say
that his return was an essential component to any deal.</p>
<p> It is legitimate to<b> </b>infer that at this point de facto
president Roberto Micheletti knew that the State Department had made a
commitment to Senator DeMint that the United States would recognize the
November 29 elections as valid regardless of whether Zelaya had been
returned to office.</p>
<p> Under these circumstances any journeyman diplomat would immediately
recognize that the only chance to achieve a lasting agreement would be
to inform President Zelaya of the change in U.S. policy. Armed with
this information, Zelaya could have insisted on a date certain for his
return. With the backing of the U.S. delegation, there would have been
a fighting chance that Micheletti would have agreed because time was
running out.</p>
<p> It was, of course, possible, even probable, that negotiations would
have failed, but that result would have been infinitely preferable to
the charade where Zelaya signed an agreement under the illusion the
United States would ensure his prompt reinstatement to power.</p>
<p> The result of this cynical and amateurish  diplomacy could hardly have been worse.</p>
<p> The secretary of state triumphantly announces a breakthrough in
Honduras. Micheletti responds that he has not yet agreed to the
restitution of the elected president, and a deceived Zelaya states the
agreement is dead. The diplomatic fiasco is complete.</p></blockquote><p>Late Saturday Manuel Zelaya read a <a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5jAkMGKIUDg_ngUiZboxQbYj5_DPwD9BVOEGO0">five page letter</a> sent to President Obama:</p><blockquote><p>In a letter addressed to President Barack Obama, Zelaya also
repeated his accusation that Washington reversed its stance on whether
the Nov. 29 vote should be considered legitimate if he was not in
office.</p><p>"As the elected president of the Honduran people, I
reaffirm my position that starting today, no matter what, I will not
accept any agreement on returning to the presidency of the republic to
cover up this coup d'etat," Zelaya said, reading from the letter on
Globo radio.</p><p>-----</p><p>"The future that you show us today by changing your position
in the case of Honduras, and thus favoring the abusive intervention of
the military castes ... is nothing more than the downfall of freedom
and contempt for human dignity," Zelaya said in the letter to Obama.
"It is a new war against the processes of social and democratic reforms
so necessary in Honduras."</p></blockquote><p>Perhaps more importantly,&nbsp; Zelaya called for an election boycott, joining the call for the same by the Resistance Front. Internationally, it looks today that the US will be the only nation that recognizes the legitimacy of the November 29 elections.&nbsp; This represents a major policy failure of the Obama Administration - and the problem, I think, is allowing Republicans to dictate foreign policy through the aegis of political blackmail.</p><p>

        
            </p>

<a href="http://www.mcclatchydc.com/world/story/78899.html"><b>Honduras shows Latin America's 'strongman' is Jim DeMint</b></a> - so gloats Fox's James Rosen:<br /><br /><blockquote><p>Sen. Jim DeMint, a South Carolina Republican known for his efforts
to influence domestic immigration and health-care issues, has scored a
foreign-policy coup by helping to compel the Obama administration to
shift its stance on strife-ridden Honduras. 
			</p><p> After
demanding for months that deposed Honduran President Mel Zelaya be
restored to power, senior State Department officials now say they'll
accept the outcome of Nov. 29 elections in the Central American country
even if Zelaya doesn't reclaim his post.</p><p>"We
support the elections process there," State Department spokesman Ian
Kelly said Thursday. "We have provided technical assistance. ... These
elections will be important to restoring Democratic and constitutional
order in Honduras." </p><p>That
position is a marked change from the tough stance President Barack
Obama took in the days following the June 28 removal of Zelaya, when
Honduran soldiers launched a dawn raid and whisked him away in his
pajamas.</p><p>"We believe that the coup was not legal and that
President Zelaya remains the democratically elected president there,"
Obama said the day after Zelaya's ouster.</p></blockquote><p>And the kick in the ass is that negotiating with Republicans in congress is as fruitless as negotiating with Michelleti in Honduras: While Clinton did get the confirmation of Valenzuela, Shannon's confirmation was reblocked my another Republican the minute DeMint lifted his block.&nbsp; Now it looks like Florida's Cubans, who don't like Thomas Shannon because of his position on normalizing relations with Cuba, will have to vet Shannon for an unspecified period before the new block is lifted.&nbsp; It brings to mind a new phrase that's floating around: <i>Maximum Feasible Obstruction (M(o)FO) - <a href="http://yglesias.thinkprogress.org/archives/2009/11/tom-shannon.php">thank you, Matt Yglesias</a>.</i>&nbsp; Here's the score...Hillary want's to send Shannon to Brazil as Ambassador - a very important post.&nbsp; Currently Shannon's title is <i>US Assistant Secretary for the Western Hemisphere</i>.&nbsp; But Arturo Valenzuela was allowed by DeMint to be confirmed to replace Shannon as <i>US Assistant Secretary for the Western Hemisphere</i>.&nbsp; In other words, Valenzuela cannot assume his new appointment until Thomas Shannon is confirmed.&nbsp; In other other words, both positions remained <i>de facto</i> blocked even though Secretary Clinton caved into DeMint's demands re: Honduras.</p><p>This is serious stuff, folks.&nbsp; There are some very hot pending issues brewing in Latin America, and the Obama Administration has lost leadership and credibility among Latin American nations and people.&nbsp; On the home front, the Republicans have shown skill, manipulative diligence, and political ruthlessness against an administration that has only shown ineptness.</p><p>T<i>he result of this cynical and amateurish  diplomacy could hardly have been worse</i>. - Robert White.<br /></p>
            	
			
			<blockquote><br /></blockquote><blockquote></blockquote> ]]>
      
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<entry>
   <title>Saint Peter&apos;s Can Rock, But Can It Roll?</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/2009/11/saint-peters-can-rock-but-can.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/neoboho//7591.301777</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-13T16:33:38Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-13T16:54:20Z</updated>
   
   <summary><![CDATA[Funny the things one can find disturbing in this, our modern world.&nbsp; I saw the trailer for the new doom and gloom movie, 2012, last night, and it wasn't the thought of the end of the world that disturbed me...]]></summary>
   <author>
      <name>neoboho</name>
      <uri>http://www.impix.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/">
      <![CDATA[Funny the things one can find disturbing in this, our modern world.&nbsp; I saw the trailer for the new doom and gloom movie, <i>2012</i>, last night, and it wasn't the thought of the end of the world that disturbed me - it was the collapse of St. Peter's Basilica in Rome.&nbsp; <br /><br />The computer animation shows the building falling down, and the dome falls over and rolls toward the camera - with quite a bit of drama.&nbsp; Now, really, folks, what are the odds of this happening?&nbsp; The dome of St. Peter's is made of a double course of bricks, supported by 16 stone arches.&nbsp; We can give thanks to old Michelangelo Buonaroti for this, he designed it.&nbsp; <br /><br />My take is that in the real world the dome would lean as is shown in the animation, and immediately crumble to the ground, instead of hitting the ground and roll forward.&nbsp; <br /><br />I think I have proof that <i>2012</i> is fake. I am comforted. (whew)&nbsp; <br /> ]]>
      
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</entry>

<entry>
   <title>A Song For Sunday...Archie Roach</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/2009/11/a-song-for-sundayarchie-roach.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/neoboho//7591.300821</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-08T16:27:10Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-08T16:35:42Z</updated>
   
   <summary> All Men Choose The Path They Walk. From The Tracker w/ David Gulpilil...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>neoboho</name>
      <uri>http://www.impix.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
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      <![CDATA[ 
<object width="640" height="385" /><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/EATZpASejvQ&hl=en&fs=1&rel=0" /><param /><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param /><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always" /><param /><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/EATZpASejvQ&hl=en&fs=1&rel=0" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="640" height="385" /><embed /><object />


<em>All Men Choose The Path They Walk</em>.  From <em>The Tracker</em> w/ David Gulpilil]]>
      
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<entry>
   <title>Lula McBoeing-Boeing</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/2009/11/lula-mcboeing-boeing.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/neoboho//7591.300774</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-07T19:37:21Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-07T21:59:42Z</updated>
   
   <summary><![CDATA[Oh what a tangled web we weave, When first we practise to deceive!- Sir Walter ScottIt's a two billion dollar deal or better.&nbsp; Brasil is shopping for 36 jet fighters.&nbsp; The contenders are:The French Rafale (Squall) by Dissant. US$82.3 millionSwedish...]]></summary>
   <author>
      <name>neoboho</name>
      <uri>http://www.impix.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/">
      <![CDATA[<i>Oh what a tangled web we weave,<br /> When first we practise to deceive!<br /></i>- Sir Walter Scott<br /><br />It's a two billion dollar deal or better.&nbsp; Brasil is shopping for 36 jet fighters.&nbsp; The contenders are:<br /><br /><br /><img alt="http://www.france24.com/en/files/imagecache/france24_ct_player_thumbnail/story/rafale-new.jpg" src="http://www.france24.com/en/files/imagecache/france24_ct_player_thumbnail/story/rafale-new.jpg" /><br /><br />The French Rafale (Squall) by Dissant. US$82.3 million<br /><br /><img alt="http://www.fmv.se/ImageVault/Images/id_242/conversionFormat_4/scope_4/ImageVaultHandler.aspx" src="http://www.fmv.se/ImageVault/Images/id_242/conversionFormat_4/scope_4/ImageVaultHandler.aspx" /><br />Swedish JAS 39 Gripen (Griffin) by SAAB. US$40-61 million.<br /><br /><img alt="http://www.nilesprecision.com/images/fa-18.jpg" src="http://www.nilesprecision.com/images/fa-18.jpg" /><br />F/A-18E/F Super Hornet by Boeing. US$54.7 million<br /><br />It seems like eliminating the French fighter on the basis of price tag is a slam dunk, yet Brasil is leaning in that direction.&nbsp; Purchasing hi tech war machines is a tangle web, however.&nbsp; A big issue, for example, is technology transfer.&nbsp; In France, <a href="http://en.mercopress.com/2009/09/14/french-unions-against-military-technology-transfer-to-brazil">for further example</a>, unions are trying to nix the deal between Lula da Silva and French President Sarkozy, because the aircraft workers see loss of jobs down the line.&nbsp; Why? <br /><br /><blockquote><p>Dassault designed and builds the Rafale fighter-bomber which France is prepared to sell to Brazil. </p><p>On signing a major military hardware agreement with French president
Sarkozy, Lula da Silva said he was inclined to choose the French
fighter Rafale because France is prepared to transfer sensitive
technology and would also allow them to be assembled in Brazil. </p></blockquote>
I'm knowledged challenged about these kinds of thing - I just want to map out the complexity of military hardware sales between nations, especially how that "tangled web" plays out in the context of international diplomatic missions.<br /><br /><i>When first we practise to deceive!</i><br /><br />Boeing has been jumping up and down to assure its shareholders that business is great; they have a large backload of orders to keep them busy for the next several years, yadda yadda yadda.&nbsp; Yet Boeing recently laid off over 4K workers, and posted a larger than expected loss of $1.6 billion, and cut its 2009 profit estimate.&nbsp; Airliner sales, which has sustained many of the world's aircraft manufacturers, have fallen off sharply due to the recession, and the focus is now on military aircraft.&nbsp; I would think that being nice to Lula da Silva would be a top priority of our State Department,<i> including sending one of State's top negotiators to Brasil, Tom Shannon.</i><br /><br /><a href="http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/biog/c130.htm"><span></span></a>
<blockquote>

					<a href="http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/biog/55306.htm">Biography
				</a>
<br /><br /><span><img alt="Photo of Thomas A. Shannon, Jr." src="http://www.state.gov/cms_images/shannon_t_200.jpg" /></span><span>Thomas A. Shannon, Jr.<br /></span>
<span>Assistant Secretary<br /></span>
<span>Bureau of Western Hemisphere Affairs<br /></span>
<span>
						Term of Appointment: 10/07/2005<span>
									to present
								</span></span><p>Thomas A. Shannon was confirmed as Assistant Secretary of State for Western Hemisphere Affairs on October 7, 2005.</p><p>A
career member of the Senior Foreign Service, Mr. Shannon served as
Special Assistant to the President and Senior Director for Western
Hemisphere Affairs at the National Security Council from 2003 to 2005.
From 2002 to 2003, he was Deputy Assistant Secretary of Western
Hemisphere Affairs at the Department of State, where he was Director of
Andean Affairs from 2001 to 2002. He was U.S. Deputy Permanent
Representative to the Organization of American States (OAS) from 2000
to 2001.</p><p>He served as Director for Inter-American Affairs at the
National Security Council from 1999 to 2000; as Political Counselor at
the U.S. Embassy in Caracas, Venezuela from 1996 to 1999; and as
Regional Labor Attaché at the U.S. Consulate General in
Johannesburg, South Africa from 1992 to 1996.</p><p>During his career
as a Foreign Service Officer, Mr. Shannon also served as Special
Assistant to the Ambassador at the U.S. Embassy in Brasilia, Brazil
from 1989 to 1992; as Country Officer for Cameroon, Gabon, and Sao Tome
and Principe from 1987 to 1989; and as the Consular/Political
Rotational Officer at the U.S. Embassy in Guatemala City, Guatemala
from 1984 to 1986.</p><p>Mr. Shannon holds a Doctorate and a Master's
degree in politics from Oxford University, and a B.A. in Government and
Philosophy from the College of William and Mary.</p>
</blockquote><br />ring...ring..."Secretary Clinton"<br /><br />"Madame Secretary, Jim DeMint here."<br /><br />"How can I help you, Senator?"<br /><br />"Well, how about recognizing the elections in Honduras without Mel being reinstated, for starters?"<br /><br />"I can't do that.&nbsp; The Accord clearly states that Zelaya must be reinstated.&nbsp; That's been our policy all along."<br /><br />"Are you kidding me?&nbsp; With all due respect, the Accord is so ambiguous and fuzzy <i>We</i> can read anything into it that we want.&nbsp; Are you on board?<br /><br />"Where is this going, Jimbo?"<br /><br />"OK, tell you what.&nbsp; You tell me you'll recognize the elections no matter what, and I'll lift my hold on Valenzuela and Shannon.&nbsp; It's a good deal.&nbsp; I know you're anxious to get your boy down to Sambalandia, right?"<br /><br />"Unnggg....good deal?&nbsp; Hmmmm, well, OK." [hangs up phone]<br /><br />So Valenzuela gets confirmed Thursday evening.&nbsp; DeMint is a man of his word.&nbsp; Next on the agenda, Thomas Shannon.&nbsp; But the Republican Party is out of control - fractured, headless, no sense of reality.&nbsp; <a href="http://www.thewashingtonnote.com/archives/2009/11/senator_demieux/">Enter freshman Senator George LeMieux</a> - you know, resigned Florida Senator Mel Martinez' appointed replacement - and sabotages DeMint's deal with Clinton.&nbsp; <br />The Cubans in Florida are really pissed off at Shannon for his role in the Cuba OAS resolution.<br /><br />This is just a off-the-top example of the complexity of US/Latinamica policy - there are several other burning issues informing the Obama Administration's Laninamerican policy.&nbsp; But it seems to me that Republicans are playing too large a role in determining this policy.&nbsp; DeMint's recent Honduran adventure is yielding GOP paydirt.&nbsp; That's not a good thing.&nbsp; The Obama Administration has sunk a few notches in reputation in Latinamerica, and the State Department is looking downright incompetent.&nbsp; <br /> ]]>
      
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<entry>
   <title>Third-Rate Romance: What a Deal</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/2009/11/third-rate-romance-what-a-deal.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/neoboho//7591.300597</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-06T16:30:53Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-06T18:05:00Z</updated>
   
   <summary> The guy in the parking lot in his underwear is the deposed president of Honduras, who we thought would be restored to power by now - thus negating the coup d&apos;etat and returning the country to its constitutional norm,...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>neoboho</name>
      <uri>http://www.impix.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
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      <![CDATA[<object width="425" height="344" /><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/d7a7GlTn4ng&hl=en&fs=1&rel=0" /><param /><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param /><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always" /><param /><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/d7a7GlTn4ng&hl=en&fs=1&rel=0" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344" /><embed /><object />


The guy in the parking lot in his underwear is the deposed president of Honduras, who we thought would be restored to power by now - thus negating the coup d'etat and returning the country to its constitutional norm, paving the way for legitimate elections later this month.&nbsp;&nbsp; What went wrong?<br /><br /><blockquote> <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7a7GlTn4ng">Zelaya pronounced the week-old agreement</a> a "dead letter" after de
facto rulers formed a new "reconciliation government" without Zelaya's
participation, as the deal had required.<br /><br /> "The accord is a dead letter," Zelaya said on a Honduran radio
station. "There is no sense in continuing to fool the Honduran people."<br /><br /> Under the accord, Zelaya and the man who replaced him, Roberto
Micheletti, agreed to let the Honduran Congress vote on whether to
reinstate Zelaya to office, as the international community has been
demanding. But congressional leaders, who backed the coup, have yet to
call a vote.<br /><br />
 The plan also required the formation by Thursday of a temporary "unity Cabinet" with representatives of both sides.<br /><br />Just before midnight Thursday, Micheletti announced a new government that did not include Zelaya or any of his supporters.<br /></blockquote>The existentialist question is <i>who punked who</i>?&nbsp; That will be hashed out in days to come, but right now the <i>charges</i> are being tossed around.&nbsp; Did the Obama Administration abandon its former <i>reinstate Zelaya</i> position?&nbsp; It sure looks like it.&nbsp; If it is true, then the meaning is that the over-arching policy position, that of&nbsp; discouraging and preventing coup d'etats from succeeding, has been compromised for a <i>make it go away solution</i> to the political crisis in Honduras.&nbsp; <br /><br />Or did Michelleti and his <i>Golpistas</i> (coupsters) punk the Obama Administration?&nbsp; Some folks actually believe that the <i>golpistas</i> could have negotiated in good faith, regardless of their performance over the span of 4 months, and their actions since the accord was signed.&nbsp; I wonder if our officials pretended that the <i>golpistas</i> would actually do what they agreed to do? <br /><br />Did Clinton punk Zelaya?&nbsp; He was completely upbeat and confidant that he would be reinstated soon after his telephone conference with Clinton ten days ago.&nbsp; Did the Secretary of State pump up his ego so he would sign on to the accord?&nbsp; <br /><br />I'm leaving out many of the details which have led up to the collapse of the accord.&nbsp; I have no idea how this is going to play out.&nbsp; It looks to me like the golpistas will emerge from this smelling like roses, and that will encourage repeat performances in Guatemala, El Salvador and Nicaragua - and on to Boliva, Ecuador and beyond.&nbsp; The Right will emerge triumphant. &nbsp; &nbsp; <br />


 ]]>
      
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<entry>
   <title>TALK POLICE ALERT!</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/2009/11/talk-police-alert.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/neoboho//7591.299698</id>
   
   <published>2009-11-03T06:18:18Z</published>
   <updated>2009-11-03T06:26:59Z</updated>
   
   <summary><![CDATA[I just heard Ned Lamont on Rachel Maddow use the word "dithering" twice.&nbsp; My heart sank.&nbsp; The word drips of Dickard Cheney's ectoplasm.&nbsp; Kill "dithering."&nbsp; Let's pray it does not encroach upon poltical discourse.&nbsp; TABU WORD....DITHERING**it's ok to quote .Cheney....]]></summary>
   <author>
      <name>neoboho</name>
      <uri>http://www.impix.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/">
      <![CDATA[I just heard Ned Lamont on Rachel Maddow use the word "dithering" twice.&nbsp; My heart sank.&nbsp; The word drips of Dickard Cheney's ectoplasm.&nbsp; Kill "dithering."&nbsp; Let's pray it does not encroach upon poltical discourse.&nbsp; <br /><br /><b>TABU WORD....DITHERING</b>*<br /><br />*it's ok to quote .Cheney.<br /> ]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Zelaya To Be Reinstated...Maybe...Kind Of</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/2009/10/zelaya-to-be-reinstatedmaybeki.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/neoboho//7591.299175</id>
   
   <published>2009-10-30T18:19:56Z</published>
   <updated>2009-10-30T19:10:54Z</updated>
   
   <summary><![CDATA[Both factions have signed the accord to end the political standoff in Honduras.&nbsp; We only have sketchy information so far, but La Prensa has published a tentative list of points - thanks to Greg Weeks for the translation:1- La creación...]]></summary>
   <author>
      <name>neoboho</name>
      <uri>http://www.impix.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/">
      <![CDATA[Both factions have <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/31/world/americas/31honduras.html?_r=1&amp;hp">signed the accord</a> to end the political standoff in Honduras.&nbsp; We only have sketchy information so far, but <i><a href="http://www.laprensahn.com/Ediciones/2009/10/30/Noticias/Fin-de-crisis-un-espaldarazo-a-politica-multilateral-de-EEUU">La Prensa</a></i> has published a tentative list of points - thanks to <a href="http://weeksnotice.blogspot.com/2009/10/end-of-honduran-crisis.html">Greg Weeks</a> for the translation:<br /><br /><blockquote><p>1- La creación de un gobierno de unidad y reconciliación nacional.</p><blockquote><p><span>The creation of a national reconciliation and unity government.</span><br /></p></blockquote><p>2- Rechazo a la amnistía delitos políticos, y demoratoria de acciones procesos penales.</p><blockquote><p><span>Rejection of an amnesty for political crimes, and delay for penal processes.</span><br /></p></blockquote><p>3-
Renunciar a una convocatoria a una Asamblea Nacional Constituyente o a
reformar la Constitución en los artículos constitucionales
irreformables.</p><blockquote><p><span>Reject the convocation of a National Constitutional Assembly or reform of the unreformable constitutional articles.</span><br /></p></blockquote><p>4. Reconocer y apoyar las elecciones generales y el traspaso de Gobierno.</p><blockquote><p><span>Recognize and support the general elections and the transfer of Government.</span><br /></p></blockquote><p>5- La transferencia de autoridad sobre las Fuerzas Armadas al Tribunal Supremo Electoral.</p><blockquote><p><span>Transfer of authority over the Armed Forces to the Supreme Electoral Tribunal.</span><br /></p></blockquote><p>6- La creación de una comisión de verificación para hacer cumplir los puntos del acuerdo.</p><blockquote><p><span>Creation of a commission of verification to ensure compliance with the points of the accord.</span><br /></p></blockquote><p>7- La formación de una comisión de la verdad para investigar los sucesos antes, durante y después del 28 de junio de 2009.</p><blockquote><p><span>The formation of a truth commission to investigate the events before, during, and after June 28, 2009.</span><br /></p></blockquote><p>8- Solicitar a la comunidad internacional la normalización de las relaciones internacionales con nuestro país.</p><blockquote><p><span>Request from the international community normalization of international relations with our country.</span><br /></p></blockquote>
9. Apoyar una propuesta que permite un voto en el Congreso Nacional con
una previa opinión de la Corte Suprema de Justicia para retrotraer todo
el Poder Ejecutivo previo al 28 de junio.<br /><br /><blockquote><span>Support
the proposal that permits a vote in the National Congress with previous
judgment from the Supreme Court to make the Executive Power retroactive
to before June 28.</span><br /></blockquote></blockquote>Point 9 means that the Supreme Court and the Congress must agree to the accord.&nbsp; As I understand it, since the Supreme Court has already ruled that it would not accept Zelaya's restitution, the SC will now only decide if Congress can ratify the accord.&nbsp; What are the chances of the Honduran congress agreeing to reinstate Zelaya?&nbsp; I think it is good, perhaps over 50%.&nbsp; According the the election polls, National Party candidate Pepe Lobos is leading Liberal Party candidate Elvin Santos by a significant margin.&nbsp; While the Liberal Party is the majority party in Congress, the National Party is a significant minority.&nbsp; If congress rejects reinstating Zelaya, the accord fails, and the election will not be recognized by the international community, including (maybe) the US.&nbsp; Additionally, Zelaya is also supported by a minority of Liberal Party congress members - 25 or 30.&nbsp; That doesn't leave that many votes to reject the accord.&nbsp; We shall see - the vote could take place today.<br /><br />Point 2 is interesting, since both factions could face legal procedings in the future.&nbsp; I think Zelaya agreed to this because he is confident that the charges against him won't stand up to litigation.&nbsp; But this issue will be clearer when the final accord documents are released.<br /><br />Finally, the "people" don't benefit all that well by this accord, since their interest in for a new constitution is thwarted. But note that Juan Barahona, a leader from the Resistance Front, was originally part of Zelaya's negotiation team, but withdrew two weeks ago when the issue of the stopping actions for a constituent assembly was put on the table.&nbsp; As the Resistance Front explained, Barahona's withdrawal was specifically aimed at keeping the constitutional assembly open for the Resistance Front, and it was not an indication of the Front's not supporting Zelaya.&nbsp; <br /> ]]>
      
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</entry>

<entry>
   <title>An Unfolding Mystery in Honduras</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/2009/10/an-unfolding-mystery-in-hondur.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/neoboho//7591.298459</id>
   
   <published>2009-10-27T17:57:31Z</published>
   <updated>2009-10-27T20:10:08Z</updated>
   
   <summary><![CDATA[I like a good mystery - especially the ones that you can follow clues and form suspicions and decided whether or not the butler did it.&nbsp; There's a good one going on right now on the Washington/Honduras axis - and...]]></summary>
   <author>
      <name>neoboho</name>
      <uri>http://www.impix.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/">
      <![CDATA[I like a good mystery - especially the ones that you can follow clues and form suspicions and decided whether or not the butler did it.&nbsp; There's a good one going on right now on the Washington/Honduras axis - and all indications are that the butler may confess later this week.<br /><br />First off, the negotiations between the Zelaya faction and Michelleti faction once again failed at the end of last week.&nbsp; Charges of intransigents&nbsp; have been flowing both directions, but opinion on this outside Honduras points to Michelleti, who refuses to consider the reinstatement of Zalaya.&nbsp; Michelleti's last offers brought in numerous conditions that were far beyond the scope of the San José Accord, and were rejected on that basis.<br /><br />Last Sunday, however, President Zelaya releases a very upbeat message that <i><a href="http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-10/26/content_12327140.htm">an agreement would soon be reached on settling the country's political crises.</a></i><br /><br /><blockquote>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; "I cannot give details of how this will be
achieved, but Honduras cannot remain in this situation," Zelaya told
the local broadcasting station Radio Globo. <br /></blockquote>That cast the mystery for me: what had happened between the doom and gloom of Friday's announcement that 14 days of negotiations had failed?<br /><br />My guess is the story in yesterday's NYT: <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/27/world/americas/27diplo.html">U.S. Sending Envoys to Try to End Crisis in Honduras.</a><br /><br />This will be the first time since the coup that the Obama
administration has taken a leading role in pressuring the leaders of
the de facto government to restore democratic order in Honduras. The
stepped-up pressure comes after months of apparently fruitless talks
about whether Mr. Zelaya will be returned to power.<br /><br />That strikes me as significent.&nbsp; Remember, the position of the Obama Administration has been until now to support the OAS role in resolving the crisis, beyond the visa sanctions (which, incidentally, culminated with the suspension of visas for over 600 Hondurans who are associated with the coup d'etat) .&nbsp; Now we have some direct intervention.<br /><br /><blockquote><p>The new effort began on Friday, officials said, when Secretary of State <a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/c/hillary_rodham_clinton/index.html?inline=nyt-per">Hillary Rodham Clinton</a> made calls to both Mr.  Zelaya and the head of the de facto government, <a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/m/roberto_micheletti/index.html?inline=nyt-per">Roberto Micheletti</a>.</p><p>In
those calls, officials said, Mrs. Clinton told the two leaders that
there was "increasing frustration" in the United States and Latin
America over the deteriorating situation in Honduras, the hemisphere's
third-poorest country. She reserved her toughest comments for Mr.
Micheletti, officials said, because the United States believes he has
been "the most difficult."</p><p>"During the call, he spent a lot of
time talking about the past," a State Department official said. "She
wanted to talk about the future."</p><p>Among other things, Mr.
Micheletti has refused to accept any political deal that would allow
Mr. Zelaya to return to power. He has demanded that the international
community declare Mr. Zelaya's ouster a legal transition of power. And,
with <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/08/world/americas/08honduras.html">the help of lobbyists in Washington</a>,
he has tried to pressure the United States to agree to recognize the
outcome of presidential elections scheduled for next month.</p><p>Most
Latin American countries have said that they would not recognize the
elections unless Mr. Zelaya, who is holed up in the Brazilian Embassy
in Tegucigalpa, is first restored to power. The United States has
threatened to do the same.</p><p>A senior administration official said Mrs. Clinton spoke to Mr. Micheletti on Friday for more than half an hour.</p><p>"The
purpose was to remind him there were two pathways to the elections,"
the official said, "one where Honduras goes by itself and the other
where it goes with broad support from the international community."</p></blockquote><p>My sneaking suspicion is that this is the source of Zelaya's upbeat optimism that the crisis will be settled this week.&nbsp; However, Zelaya's "certainty" must derive from his conversation with Secretary Clinton - namely she gave him information about the leverage the U.S. negotiation team will use in Tegucigalpa this week.&nbsp; The team leader is Assistant Secretary of State Thomas A. Shannon - whose confirmation as United States Ambassador to Brazil has been blocked in the Senate Foreign Relations Committee by Jim Demento, er, Demint.<br /></p>&nbsp; <br /><br /><br /><br /><br /> ]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Forbes: Honduras Havoc</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/2009/10/forbes-honduras-havoc.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/neoboho//7591.297612</id>
   
   <published>2009-10-22T15:24:07Z</published>
   <updated>2009-10-22T18:23:53Z</updated>
   
   <summary><![CDATA[Forbes just published an opinion piece this morning which challenges the validity of the recent Law Library of Congress report that I covered in my "Schock and Awe" blog nearly a month ago.&nbsp; Considering Forbes' prestige and MSM bona fides,...]]></summary>
   <author>
      <name>neoboho</name>
      <uri>http://www.impix.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/">
      <![CDATA[<b><a href="http://www.forbes.com/2009/10/20/honduras-manuel-zelaya-law-library-opinions-contributors-coup.html">Forbes just published an opinion piece</a></b> this morning which challenges the validity of the recent Law Library of Congress report that I covered in my "<a href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/2009/09/schock-and-awe-at-the-library.php">Schock and Awe</a>" blog nearly a month ago.&nbsp; Considering Forbes' prestige and MSM bona fides, I think it is very significant.<br /><br />Let's put it in perspective.&nbsp; The Report, <i>CRS LL File No. 2009-002965</i>, was requested by Republican Aaron Schock, one of the group of U.S. legislators who recently visited Honduras in order to undermine official Obama Administration policy on the Honduran coup d'etat.&nbsp; The Report has also risen in the MSM to stand as the primary <i>legal argument</i> to prove that President Zelaya's removal and exile was a<i> legal transition of power</i> and not a coup d'etat.&nbsp; The question lingers: do we have here a case of incompetence within the Law Library of Congress, or do we have a case of <i>intentional disinformation</i>, a species of propaganda?<br /><br />Both the White House and the State Department must be asking that question.&nbsp; One enterprising conservative Republican blogger, Joe Collins @ <a href="http://bamainbetween.blogspot.com/"><i>Alabama in Between</i></a>, noted on September 22 that someone at the White House and the State Department used Google to search the report's author, Norma C. Gutierrez - search terms<i> crs norma c. gutierrez </i>and <i>norma c. gutierrez crs honduras</i> respectively. &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; <br /> ]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Brazil&apos;s OAS Ambassador: Torture at Embassy in Honduras</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/2009/10/brazils-oas-ambassador-torture.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/neoboho//7591.297442</id>
   
   <published>2009-10-21T21:08:55Z</published>
   <updated>2009-10-21T22:27:44Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Wed, 10/21/2009 - 16:42 -- APBrazil, at Organization of American States, Accuses Honduran Coup Regime of &quot;Torture&quot;For Immediate Release: October 21, 2009 Contact: Dan Beeton, 202-239-1460Washington, D.C. - The Brazilian government&apos;s Ambassador to the Organization of American States, Ruy de...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>neoboho</name>
      <uri>http://www.impix.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/">
      <![CDATA[<blockquote><span>Wed, 10/21/2009 - 16:42 -- AP</span><p><a href="mailto:http://www.commondreams.org/newswire/2009/10/21-14"><strong>Brazil, at Organization of American States, Accuses Honduran Coup Regime of "Torture"</strong></a></p><p>For Immediate Release: October 21, 2009<br />
Contact: Dan Beeton, 202-239-1460</p><p>Washington, D.C. - The Brazilian government's Ambassador to the Organization of American States, Ruy de Lima Casaes e Silva, <a href="http://salsa.democracyinaction.org/dia/track.jsp?v=2&amp;c=FvFjW0DH8f4vs32FQzNXwnPrfkpE0i4k">accused the Honduran coup regime of "torture"</a> in its ongoing attacks on Brazil's embassy in Honduras.</p><p>Ambassador Lima Casaes described an elaborate series of measures
taken by the Honduran security forces surrounding the Embassy to cause
sleep deprivation among those inside. These included
ultra-high-intensity lights, high-decibel sound, and other measures.</p><p>He also mentioned other attacks including tear gas and attacks with
unidentified gases, and other forms of harassment and violations of
international law including restricting food deliveries.</p><p>All of these are serious violations of international law, and have already been <a href="http://salsa.democracyinaction.org/dia/track.jsp?v=2&amp;c=4EdAlhR5B2gmaCINjK%2FF%2BnPrfkpE0i4k">condemned</a> on September 25 by the Security Council of the United Nations. Today OAS Secretary General Jose Miguel Insulza also <a href="http://salsa.democracyinaction.org/dia/track.jsp?v=2&amp;c=RGzbJYDKD7vCD%2BF5%2FWfkn3PrfkpE0i4k">condemned</a> the ongoing "harassment" of the Brazilian embassy in Tegucigalpa.</p><p>"These ongoing violations indicate that the coup regime in Honduras
has no interest in dialogue or a mediated solution to the Honduran
crisis," said <a href="http://salsa.democracyinaction.org/dia/track.jsp?v=2&amp;c=1QGgpRidSRr9D7V3Ew3xbnPrfkpE0i4k">Mark Weisbrot</a>,
Co-Director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research. "The also
indicate an astounding lack of regard for international law, unusual
even in the history of military coups over the last century."</p></blockquote>
  
  
    





<p>Yes, the "negotiations" have been going on in Tegucigalpa.&nbsp; At one point last week both negotiating teams agreed on all points of the San Jose Accord, including Zelaya's reinstatement as President.&nbsp; By later the same day, Michelleti nixed it - and said that the Supreme Court should decide (the court already decided last month...no Zelaya.)&nbsp; MSM is spreading the word that "both sides are holding up any agreement" but the OAS President Insulza said yesterday that it was the coup leaders who were <a href="mailto:http://hondurascoup2009.blogspot.com/2009/10/insulza-points-finger.html">holding progress up</a>:</p><blockquote><a href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/mt-static/html/editor-content.html?cs=utf-8"></a>Tuesday, October 20, 2009<br />&nbsp;<b>Insulza Points A Finger</b><br />El Universal, a Venezuelan newspaper, citing a EFE wire story, <a href="http://www.eluniversal.com/2009/10/20/chon_ava_insulza-lamenta-que_20A2927011.shtml">reports</a>
this evening that José Miguel Insulza, OAS President, lamented that the
de facto government of Honduras introduced a proposal that was not in
conformance with the San Jose Accord and in this manner, "made
impossible a good result" in the dialogue to resolve the crisis in
Honduras.<br /><br />"One of the parties presented a proposal that included
a point not included in the San Jose Accord, which seeks to force the
legitimacy of what happened on June 28. This act make a good outcome in
the dialog impossible."



<br /></blockquote>
<b>And What's Happening at State?</b><br />The rumor mill churned out the news that unidentified State Department Officials are crossing the Obama Administration's official policy on Honduras: to not recognize the elections next month if Zelaya is not restored to office.&nbsp; <a href="mailto:http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1930835,00.html">Sez Time</a>:<br /><br /><blockquote>But there are growing signs that the U.S. may be willing to abandon
that condition. A number of well-placed sources in Honduras and the
U.S. tell TIME that officials in the State Department and the U.S.'s
OAS delegation have informed them that the Obama Administration is
mulling ways to legitimize the election should talks fail to restore
Zelaya in time. "We're suddenly hearing from them that the one may no
longer be a [precondition] for the other," says a Western diplomat in
the Honduran capital of Tegucigalpa, where Zelaya is currently holed up
in the Brazilian embassy.<br /></blockquote>I think the "growing signs" was Lewis Amselem's wild-card movida at the OAS a few weeks ago where he joined Canada, Panama and Columbia in blocking an OAS vote on Hondurasl, during which meeting he blurted out words to the effect that the US may recognize the elections if Zelaya is not reinstated.&nbsp; This isn't State's policy, and it looks like Secretary Clinton may have bush-moles problems.&nbsp; This happened around the same time as those GOPeers went to Honduras to conduct their own foreign policy, against the policy of the US Government.&nbsp; At any rate, we should note that <a href="mailto:http://www.latribuna.hn/web2.0/?p=54042">State pulled yet more visas</a> from Hondurans who support the coup d'etat yesterday.&nbsp; Another shot across the bow:&nbsp; agree to the San Jose Accord or else.<br /><br /><b>Soccer To Me</b><br />Hondurans were wildly pleased with the National Soccer Team's making it to the international play-off recently - first time in 27 years.&nbsp; While most rank and file Hondurans simply celebrated the victory, Michelleti attempted to turn the event into a propaganda triumph to support his ever-faltering dictatorship.&nbsp; He decreed a national holiday, which was very popular and he should have left it at that.&nbsp; But noooo, he cordoned off the Presidential Palace with police and armed forces in full riot gear, and held an award ceremony for the team in the presence of his "by invitation only" supporters.&nbsp; Absent from the ceremony, however, was the National Soccer Team, who had elected to boycott the ceremony - all but two players, who attended but refused the award.&nbsp; <br /><br /><b>Whoops, This Just In</b><br />Now there he goes again.&nbsp; No sooner had Michelleti rescinded a decree that abrogated all civil rights in Honduras - because the UN Human Rights team had arrived - that he has declared another law outlawing public gatherings without notifying the police <a href="mailto:http://hondurascoup2009.blogspot.com/2009/10/right-of-free-assembly-revoked.html">24 hours in advance</a>.<br /><br /> ]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>Sniper fire at Brazilian Embassy: Radio Globo</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/2009/10/sniper-fire-at-brazilian-embas.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/neoboho//7591.295233</id>
   
   <published>2009-10-10T00:08:07Z</published>
   <updated>2009-10-10T00:26:15Z</updated>
   
   <summary><![CDATA[Radio Globo, which now broadcasts on the Internet from a clandestine location in Honduras, recently announced that snipers are firing into the Brazilian Embassy in Tegucigalpa, where President Zelaya and members of his government and supporters have taken refuge.&nbsp; No...]]></summary>
   <author>
      <name>neoboho</name>
      <uri>http://www.impix.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/">
      <![CDATA[<a href="http://www.libreexpresion.tk/">Radio Globo,</a> which now broadcasts on the Internet from a clandestine location in Honduras, recently announced that snipers are firing into the Brazilian Embassy in Tegucigalpa, where President Zelaya and members of his government and supporters have taken refuge.&nbsp; No reports of injuries have been made at this time.<br /><br />Photos of one of the sniper platforms was taken early this morning and sent to Adrienne <a href="http://quotha.net/node/449">Pine at Quotha.</a><br /><br />If this story pans out, what will Brazil's reaction be?<br /> ]]>
      
   </content>
</entry>

<entry>
   <title>More Fascist Repression in Honduras</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/2009/10/more-fascist-repression-in-hon.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/neoboho//7591.294949</id>
   
   <published>2009-10-09T02:49:17Z</published>
   <updated>2009-10-09T03:46:35Z</updated>
   
   <summary>Presidential decree banishing non-coup mediaExecutive Agreement Number 124-2009The Constitutional President of the RepublicConsidering: That the human person is the supreme end of society, the state, and all have the obligation to respect, protect, and conform to article 62 of our...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>neoboho</name>
      <uri>http://www.impix.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/">
      <![CDATA[<a href="http://quotha.net/node/448">Presidential decree banishing non-coup media</a><br /><br /><blockquote><p>Executive Agreement Number 124-2009</p><p>The Constitutional President of the Republic</p><p>Considering: That the human person is the supreme end of society,
the state, and all have the obligation to respect, protect, and conform
to article 62 of our Constitution, the rights of every person are
limited by the rights of the others, for the security of all, and for
the just demands of the general good and the developing democracy.</p><p>Considering: That the President of the Republic and the Council of
Ministers have answered, through the organs of defense and security of
the State, and other entities, the deterioration which we have begun to
have, the pretense of protected goods, by social communications media,
systematically denaturing the objective of the Democratic State of law,
and generating a regime of social anarchy encouraging vandalism up to
the point of attempting against the social peace and the security of
the state, and leaving incalculable effects on the national economy.</p><p>Considering: That it is an urgent necessity to preserve the public
order and peace in all the national territory, to guarantee life and
the well being of all people residing in the national territory, with
the ultimate end, guaranteed by our constitution of the Republic, and
with the democratic system, fundamental pillar of our society.</p><p>Considering: That it corresponds to the State to guarantee liberty
of though and expression, but when the communications media attempt
against the national security, the public order, the health, or the
public morals, it makes it imperative to execute regulations founded in
the existing legislation in conformity with the INTERAMERICAN
CONVENTION ON HUMAN RIGHTS.</p><p>Wherefore<br />
The constitutional President of the republic, in conformance with the
articles 245 points 7 and 16, 248 and 252 of the constitution of the
Republic, articles 11, 17, 18, 20, 22 number 10, 24, 116, and 117 of
the General Law of Public Administration and the rest that the
constitution and the laws confer.</p><p>Agree<br />
Article 1: Declare, for reasons of national security and in application
of the commands in Article 28 of the case law of the Telecommunications
sector, specifically that referring to the use of the radio spectrum in
the national territory, apply the measures which in law correspond to
those that infringe the law.</p><p>Article 2: Instruct for legal effects corresponding to the National
Commission of Telecommunications (CONATEL) and other competent organs
of the state, that they proceed in conformity with their laws, to
protect the national security in the function of the larger interests
of the country, the good, the physical and moral integrity of humans.
The state, as owner of the radio spectrum can revoke or cancel the use
of approved titles (licenses and permissions) authorized by CONATEL to
operators of broadcast speech and television that emit messages that
generate national abhorrence, pretend to be protected speech, and also
call for a regimen of social anarchy against the democratic state that
attempts against the social peace and human rights.</p><p>Article 3: Remit to the National Commission of Telecommunications
(CONATEL), the communications contained, the reports emitted by the
defense and security forces and other parts of the government for its
fulfillment.</p><p>Article 4: The present accord is executed immediately and should be published in the official newspaper La Gaceta.</p><p>Given in the city of Tegucigalpa, municipality of the Central District the 5th of October of 2009.</p><p>Communicate and Publish this.</p><p>Robert Micheletti<br />
Constitutional President of the Republic<br />
Oscar Raul Matute Cruz<br />
Secretary of State</p><p><i>[Dated Monday, October 5th, "effective immediately"]</i></p></blockquote><p>Michetteli had just announced the recension of his previous decree due to international and domestic pressure.&nbsp; But he has continued acting as if the previous decree was still in effect, stating that it won't stop until the recension is published in La Gaceta ( which is like our "Congressional Record.)&nbsp; He stated that the printing press was broken, so he was compelled to continue denying Honduran people their basic constitutional guaranteed liberties.&nbsp; <br /></p><p>Meanwhile, Radio Globo is broadcasting clandestinely on Internet Radio from a secret location in Honduras.&nbsp; You should be able to<a href="http://www.libreexpresion.tk/"> hear it at this link.</a>&nbsp; If you understand Spanish, you're in luck.&nbsp; Actually, since the Gestapo shut down it's radio operation and they went underground, their numbers have grown enormously.&nbsp; 400K listeners now, 100K in Honduras.&nbsp; <br /></p><p>Channel 36 owner, Esdras Amado Lopez, is now in hiding after the Gestapo shut down his TV station.&nbsp; He has received death threats, and believes that there is a warrant out for his arrest.<br /></p><p>This is the reason the international community, including the US and OAS, feel that the November elections cannot be considered legitimate.&nbsp; Michelleti keeps exacerbating the situation with his repression of civil freedoms, while rhetorically giving voice for his hope for free elections next month.&nbsp; He has stated that if there is no president elect to take office in January, he will remain as president for the next two years.&nbsp; Looks to me like this is his power play, folks - whine about elections while doing everything he can to make sure elections will not take place in Honduras.<br /></p>












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<entry>
   <title>New Political Poll Numbers From Honduras</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/2009/10/new-political-poll-numbers-fro.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/neoboho//7591.294563</id>
   
   <published>2009-10-07T17:12:03Z</published>
   <updated>2009-10-07T17:43:15Z</updated>
   
   <summary>A very reputable poll, excellent methodology and a good sample. Are you in favor of the June 28 coup d&apos;etat against President Manuel Zelaya Rosales?In favor of coup: 17.4 percentOpposed to coup: 52.7 percentNo response: 29.9 percent Should Micheletti stay...</summary>
   <author>
      <name>neoboho</name>
      <uri>http://www.impix.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/">
      <![CDATA[A very <a href="http://narcosphere.narconews.com/thefield/3511/poll-wide-majority-hondurans-oppose-coup-d%C3%A2%C2%80%C2%99etat-want-zelaya-back">reputable poll</a>, excellent methodology and a good sample.<br /><br /><blockquote>
<blockquote><p><strong>Are you in favor of the June 28 coup d'etat against President Manuel Zelaya Rosales?</strong></p><blockquote><p>In favor of coup: 17.4 percent</p><p>Opposed to coup: 52.7 percent</p><p>No response: 29.9 percent</p></blockquote><blockquote>
<p><br /></p></blockquote><p><strong>Should Micheletti stay in power or leave the current government?</strong></p><blockquote>
<p>Micheletti should stay: 22.2 percent</p>
<p>Micheletti should leave: 60.1 percent</p>
<p>No response: 17.7 percent</p><p><br /></p><blockquote>
</blockquote></blockquote><p><strong>Do you support the return of Manuel Zelaya Rosales to the Presidency of the Republic?</strong></p><blockquote>
<p>Support Zelaya's return: 51.6 percent</p>
<p>Oppose Zelaya's return: 33 percent</p>
<p>No response: 15.4 percent</p><p><br /></p><blockquote>
</blockquote></blockquote><p><strong>Do you agree or disagree with the marches by the national resistance throughout the country against the coup d'etat?</strong></p><blockquote>
<p>Support the marches: 45.5 percent</p>
<p>Oppose the marches: 41.8 percent</p>
<p>No response: 12.7 percent</p><p><br /></p><blockquote>
</blockquote></blockquote><p><strong>Do you think that the Armed Forces and National Police are engaging in repression or not against the National Resistance?</strong></p><blockquote><blockquote>
</blockquote><p>Yes, there is repression: 54.5 percent</p>
<p>No, there is not repression: 21.8 percent</p>
<p>No response: 23.7 percent</p><p><br /></p><blockquote>
</blockquote></blockquote><p><strong>Do you agree with the repression or
condemn the repression that the Armed Forces and National Police have
engaged in against the National Resistance?</strong></p><blockquote>
<p>Against repression: 65.4 percent</p>
<p>For repression: 8 percent</p>
<p>No response: 26.4 percent</p><p><br /></p><blockquote>
</blockquote></blockquote></blockquote><blockquote><p><strong>Should the general elections organized by
the Supreme Electoral Tribunal for November 19 happen even if the
institutional crisis isn't resolved?</strong></p></blockquote><blockquote><blockquote><p>Yes, have elections: 66.4 percent</p><p>No, don't have them: 23.8 percent</p><p>No response: 2.9 percent</p></blockquote></blockquote>


</blockquote><p>There are more questions at the link.&nbsp; There is also an unverified poll that asked the question about the 4th Ballot (to convene a constituent assembly to rewrite the constitution) with 72% polling "yes."&nbsp; I'm waiting for something solid on this.<br /></p><blockquote><blockquote><blockquote>
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<entry>
   <title>Coup D&apos;etat in Honduras: A Juridical Analysis, by Edmundo Orellana</title>
   <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/2009/10/coup-detat-in-honduras-a-jurid.php" />
   <id>tag:tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com,2009:/talk/blogs/neoboho//7591.294130</id>
   
   <published>2009-10-05T20:01:36Z</published>
   <updated>2009-10-05T21:13:30Z</updated>
   
   <summary><![CDATA[Some of you may remember Edmundo Orellana was President Zelaya's Minister of Defense who resigned his position in the government just prior to the Coup D'etat on June 28, 2006, over a legal disagreement with Zelaya.&nbsp; Orellana's credentials are impeccable....]]></summary>
   <author>
      <name>neoboho</name>
      <uri>http://www.impix.com</uri>
   </author>
   
   
   <content type="html" xml:lang="en-us" xml:base="http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/blogs/neoboho/">
      <![CDATA[Some of you may remember Edmundo Orellana was President Zelaya's Minister of Defense who resigned his position in the government just prior to the Coup D'etat on June 28, 2006, over a legal disagreement with Zelaya.&nbsp; Orellana's credentials are <a href="http://hondurascoup2009.blogspot.com/search?q=orellana">impeccable</a>. <br /><br /><blockquote>Orellana, in addition to his most recent service in government, has an illustrious <a href="http://www.iom.int/jahia/webdav/shared/shared/mainsite/microsites/IDM/workshops/managing_return_migration_042108/bio_mercado.htm">history</a>
as a Professor of Constitutional Law and a member of various Honduran
governments. He holds a PhD in law, and was from 1976 a Professor of
Law at the National University of Honduras (UNAH). His government
service began in 1982, when constitutionality was restored to Honduras;
was Magistrate in the Court of Appeals of "lo Contencioso
Administrativo" (the courts that ruled against Zelaya in his attempts
to hold a poll) from 1988-1994; was the Attorney General of the country
from 1994 to 1999; served as Honduras' ambassador to the UN, was a
cabinet minister in multiple administrations, is the recipient of many
honors, and the author of legal texts as well as research articles.<br /><br /></blockquote>Orellana has written numerous articles and letters criticizing the Coup D'etat since June 28, and the latest is a very comprehensive analysis of the legal issues surrounding the coup, addressing both Zelaya's actions and that of the coup leaders with respect to the Honduran constitution and law.<br /><br /><a href="mailto:http://quotha.net/node/439"><i>Coup D'état in Honduras. A Juridical Analysis</i></a>, by Edmundo Orellana<br /><br />It is moderately long, so I won't copy it here.&nbsp; This is a must-read document for anyone who wishes to untangle the web of falsehoods and half-truths that have been spun by coup apologists on the political right, and sadly on the left as well. &nbsp;&nbsp; <br />                                                  
            



      <span><br />Orellana concludes with a remedy - the convening of the National Constituent Assembly - the very issue that caused the coup members to panic and destroy the Honduran constitution in the first place.&nbsp; The coup must not stand.<br /></span>&nbsp;<br />]]>
      
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