A delegation of Hondurans representing various grass roots social movement are now touring the US. On Thursday August 6 they spoke to (only) 60 people at the Fletcher School of Diplomacy at Tufts University. The delegation members were
Dr. Juan Almedares, "Oscar Chacón of the Chicago-based National Alliance of Latin American
and Caribbean Communities, Abencio Fernandez Pineda of the Center for
the Investigation and Defense of Human Rights in Honduras, former
police officer and Democratic Union Party candidate for the Honduran
Congress Maria Luisa Jimenez, Dr. Luther Castillo of the Luaga Hatuadi
Waduhenu Foundation, and journalist Gerardo Torres of the National
Front Against the Coup d'Etat in Honduras."
Open Media Boston has an excellent write-up on the colloquium. Some key points in the Honduras are addressed. To the extent that these individuals represent grass-roots, the perspective is rather unique.
Term Limit ExtensionRemarkably this meme is still alive and kicking. The coup leaders themselves are still claiming that Zelaya wanted to change the constitution so that he could run for president for another term, just about every news source in the US and Britain are also makink that claim, and lobbyists in the U.S. representing Honduran business organizations are using the meme as a key talking point. How does it measure up on a veracity chart?
True:
1. Documentary evicence....zero
2. Inference....Like begets like: Chavez, Morales, Correa all seek new terms, and Ortega has expressed interest in a new term. All are presidents of nations signed on to ALBA, therefore....
False:
1. Zelaya couldn't have benefited from a term limit change, except in some time in the future he could seek reelection.
2. Given the character of the Honduran government, the likelyhood of the fourth ballot box in November is very thin, even if the poll had indicated that people wanted it.
3. There is no documentary or anecdotal evidence that Zelaya was seeking a second term.
4. The move towards a constituent assembly was not Zelaya's idea.
The fourth point in the false column is dificult. I have read several accounts that suggest that changing the constitution was a popular cause in Honduras, but nothing concrete. Until now, that is - contained in Luther Castillo's remarks at the Boston event cited above:
However, according to Castillo, the oil deal with Venezuela
emboldened popular democratic movements to try to change the
much-criticized 1982 Honduran Constitution, written on behalf of the
country's elites at the height of the U.S.'s "dirty war" against
popular left-wing insurgencies in Central America, "But not only did
the Honduran people begin to get a better deal in terms of gas coming
from the south, but we also get 100 tractors to support the small
farmers to be able to improve their productive capacity. But then the
idea came up that maybe it would be wise to ask every Honduran what
kind of government they would want to have. So, 600,000 of us Hondurans
with name, last name and national ID number, decided to sign letters,
we sent them to the President, asking the President to indeed come out
with a consultation to ask Hondurans if we were interested in having -
next November - a fourth ballot where we would ask Hondurans if they
would be interested in the possibility of putting together a
Constitutional Assembly of the people."
The campaign for placing a non-binding resolution on the November
2009 election ballot came to be hinged on the results of a poll that
Zelaya agreed to hold - over the protests of the national political
establishment - on June 28 - the same day he was ultimately forced out
of the country.
600,000 signatures in a population of 7.5 million is pretty hefty - compare that to California's Prop 8 iniative, which represented a constitutional change - in which one million signatures in a population of 38 million got the initiative on the ballot. I think this is a very strong indication that President Zelaya was not seeking a second term.
The rest of the article is very informative, touching on issues of oil, coups and the subject of Zelaya's popularity among the people. Appreciated but certainly not a political superstar.