mooshinator's Blog

mooshinator Commented on Early Voting And Absentee Balloting Favors Obama -- In Multiple Bush States by Greg Sargent

2008-10-20T16:18:04Z

All of those places that you mention represent several counties, though, right?

What I'm saying is that Greg's number of 35,000 more Democrats requesting absentee ballots than Republicans is only data from a single county, Franklin County.

I am guessing that for all of Ohio, the gap between Democrats and Republicans requesting absentee ballots is much higher.

mooshinator Commented on Early Voting And Absentee Balloting Favors Obama -- In Multiple Bush States by Greg Sargent

2008-10-20T14:40:01Z

Never mind, I see what they did. They lumped the four states into a single generalization. Georgia doesn't track absentee ballots by party ID but the other 3 states do.

Ignore me. :)

mooshinator Commented on Early Voting And Absentee Balloting Favors Obama -- In Multiple Bush States by Greg Sargent

2008-10-20T14:37:22Z

This line is curious, "In Georgia, Iowa, North Carolina and Ohio, Democrats — or at least those living in heavily Democratic areas — are requesting and submitting ballots in large numbers."

So do these states actually track absentee ballot requests by party ID or are they extrapolating using the party ID breakdown of the areas in which the ballots were requested? If it's the latter, I'm not sure how accurate that is.

mooshinator Commented on Early Voting And Absentee Balloting Favors Obama -- In Multiple Bush States by Greg Sargent

2008-10-20T14:34:07Z

Greg, I think your paragraph about Ohio is misleading. According to the article, "There was a similar pattern in Franklin County, Ohio, a key county that includes Columbus, the state capital. As of last week, about 76,000 registered Democrats had voted or requested absentee ballots, compared to 41,000 Republicans and 89,000 unaffiliated voters."

Is that where you got the 35,000 figure from? If so, that only represents the Democratic advantage in one county, not the entire state.

mooshinator recommended Nomination Math 101: How Obama Is Ahead by over 1 Million in the Popular Vote (Even Counting FL & MI) by ami_in_deutschland

2008-05-22T22:48:32Z