« "Vote different" creator canned? | Mister Foo's Blog | Recess appointment of Andrew Biggs, Private-Izer »

First quarter windfall


First-quarter fundraising totals are in, and there are two surprising results:

  • Democrats as a whole destroyed Republicans, by about $70 to $50 million (D: Clinton $26, Obama $20+, Edwards $14, Richardson $6, Dodd $4, Biden $4; R: Romney $21, Giuliani $15, McCain $12, Brownback $2)

  • Romney, the top Republican, places only second or third among all candidates.

What does this mean?

It could just be an aberration: Bush irritates Democratic donors to contribute more, while fatiguing Republicans. Indeed in 2000, with Clinton irritation/fatigue in full force, Republicans outspent Democrats by almost 3-to-1 over the whole primary (pdf). Note that it's hard to compare these numbers, since the Democratic vice president was running; I can't find numbers for when both parties had a truly open primary.

But what if it's a trend rather than a one-time occurrence? Remember that while the conventional wisdom is that Republicans outraise Democrats, Kerry and Bush raised almost equal amounts in the last general election. To me this suggests that the party has more leeway in how it courts big donors. While more money is always better, the old argument that Democrats need to court business to close the Ad Gap no longer applies. Maybe someone should ask Harold Ford why we still need him...


2 Comments

| Leave a comment
user-pic

I heard a story on NPR this afternoon, actually, that talked about the "money primary," specifically noting that there doesn't seem to be a genuine Republican frontrunner.  Maybe that explains the gap?  Republican supporters are waiting to give money to the actual candidate?

user-pic

You may be right -- there's no Republican candidate yet who could even conceivably become the frontrunner. And while the Democrats don't have a single frontrunner yet, they have about 2-1/2 candidates who I think most people could see as such (Clinton, Obama, Edwards).

It actually surprises me that even with the variety of Republican flavors available -- stars (Giuliani), business types (Romney), old-timers (McCain), goofball reactionaries (Tancredo, Hunter) -- they don't seem satisfied. Sure, each has his flaws, but I don't see any more suitable candidate in the future (Arnold? Too Austrian. Newt? Too many wives.)

Leave a comment

Mister Foo

user-pic

Following:
Followers: 1

Posts
Comments & Recommends


Favorites

All Reader Posts
How to use myTPM

Advertise Liberally
Share
Close Social Web Email

"To" Email Address

Your Name

Your Email Address