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Week of August 30, 2009 - September 5, 2009

The Cost of War


I started to look at the cost of conducting the war in Afghanistan, to see how expensive it has been to attain the current status quo in which we control about 2/3 of the country. 

Here are some interesting numbers:

1.  The annual GDP of Afghanistan is $9.358B and the cost of conducting the war in Afghanistan to date is around $225B.

2.  Spread over roughly 8 years that averages about $28B/year or approximately three times the whole country's GDP/YEAR.

3.  With a population of 27 million, that equates to $1037/person/year.

4.  The per capita income in the country was at $800/year in 2008, or roughly 3/4 of what we've spent per capita/year.

My guess is that we would have been able to control at least as much of this 250,000 square mile plot of land as we do now after 8 years, and WITHOUT all the deaths had we just bought these people out. It would be like coming to the United States, and saying rather than invading your country, we're going to give each and every one of your citizens, children, babies, and infirm $62,510, (1.33 X average US per capita income of $47k), for eight years if you'll just give up those terrorists.

It looks to me like the only group who's getting what they want out of this conflict are the armament manufacturers and defense contractors.

I don't get it.

Tough Guy.


Barack Obama's inherited two wars, one of which is now the second longest war in American history.   Now he's faced with trying to end them without proving to the hawks that Democrats, (and he in particular), are soft on defense.  Obama recently signaled a hawkish front which will be hard to contradict later, when he described the war in Afghanistan as a "war of necessity". 

The Afghan presidential election was conducted on August 23 and things look pretty dismal from where I'm sitting.  First off the incumbent, Hamid Karzai was hand picked by the US before coming to office in the previous election in 2004 and suffers from the image of being a puppet in the eyes of our enemies on the ground, as well as most objective thinkers around the globe.  He had two Vice Presidential candidates, (as did the other candidates), as perhaps the Afghan parliament assumes a high probability of issues arising from succession due to catastrophic circumstances.  Karzai replaced his second VP nominee with a Tajik former warlord blamed by human rights groups for mass civilian deaths during the Afghan Civil War.  The same candidate is alleged to be heavily involved in drug traffiking according to CIA reports dating from 2002. 

Forty one candidates registered prior to the election.   According to human rights groups, at least 70 candidates with links to "illegal armed groups" were on the ballot list in the election. 

While the electoral law disallowed candidates with links to "illegal armed groups", and the Karzai-appointed Independent Election Commission had barred 56 other candidates that it identified as being commanders or members of illegal militias, many of the bigger warlords, including current parliamentarians and provincial council members elected in 2004 and 2005, simply bypassed this by registering their militias as private security companies or by having the right political connections

Al Qaeda called upon Afghanis to boycott the elections, as well as vowing to prevent those who want to vote from participating in the elections.   Later Al Qaeda vowed to cut the ink stained finger from any Afghani they caught participating in the American sponsored elections.   This man had his nose and ear cut off for casting a vote last week.




Fifteen of the candidates for president have declared the election results invalid, alleging fraud as well as improper procedures.







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miguelitoh2o

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  • Favorite Books Authors: Robertson Davies, Isaac Asimov, Bill Bryson, Margaret Atwood, Michael Connelly, Salmon Rushdie.
  • Favorite Quotes

    A good traveler has no fixed plans, and is not intent on arriving. - Lao Tzu

    If ever I become entirely respectable I shall be quite sure that I have outlived myself. Eugene V. Debs

    Every now and then when your life gets complicated and the weasels start closing in, the only cure is to load up on heinous chemicals and then drive like a bastard from Hollywood to Las Vegas ... with the music at top volume and at least a pint of ether. - Hunter S. Thompson

    But if you wind up in Hell and all you care is to try and help others suffering there and forget your own burning sensation, then you'll be okay. Even There. And what fears can a measly Great Depression stir in someone who's ready to social work Hell itself?

    "To paraphrase an old line, it is better for a big country to keep its superb army idle and let the world think it's not much of a superpower than to use it and remove all doubt". - Bernard Chazelle

    To me, boxing is like a ballet, except there's no music, no choreography, and the dancers hit each other. - Jack Handey

    “Muslims do not ‘hate our freedom,’ but rather, they hate our policies. - Unclassified study published by the Pentagon-appointed U.S. Defense Science Board on Sept. 23, 2004.

    "To argue with a person who has renounced the use of reason is like administering medicine to the dead." Thomas Paine

    "If everything seems under control, you're just not going fast enough" - Mario Andretti

    'Somebody at one of these places ... asked me: "What do you do? How do you write, create?" You don't, I told them. You don't try. That's very important: not to try, either for Cadillacs, creation or immortality. You wait, and if nothing happens, you wait some more. It's like a bug high on the wall. You wait for it to come to you. When it gets close enough you reach out, slap out and kill it. Or if you like its looks you make a pet out of it. - Charles Bukowski

    "Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry, and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. Broad, wholesome, charitable views of men and things cannot be acquired by vegetating in one little corner of the earth all one's lifetime." - Mark Twain

    "I am saddened that it is politically inconvenient to acknowledge what everyone knows: the Iraq war is largely about oil." - Alan Greenspan

    To let understanding stop at what cannot be understood is a high attainment. Those who cannot do it will be destroyed on the lathe of heaven. - Chuang Tzu

    "They say that hard work never killed anybody ... but why take a chance?" - President Ronald W. Reagan

    "We're going out Marge. If we don't come back, avenge our deaths." - Homer Simpson


Bio

Since I was a kid, I've always favored dogs and more especially, underdogs. Career in the arts by way of biology/pharmaceuticals. Currently trying to make my way in the world by tying balloon animals, although the competition is fierce now that the official unemployment rate has topped 10%.

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