In just six months we will experience significant tax hikes across the board. Is now the time to raise taxes across the board? Exactly the wrong medicine for what we're suffering from right now. And the whole debate over stimulus versus austerity misses a key point - it is the private sector, not the government that creates long term sustainable job growth. We are arguing over whether we should have another round of Stimulus versus going the austerity route - but neither create new investment or new jobs. So if it hasn't worked up until now why should we believe it will ever work? Taxing or borrowing from Peter to pay Paul does not create jobs. Neither does extending unemployment benefits.
After spending roughly $1,000,000,000,000 on a so-called "Stimulus" we are at best experiencing a grinding and anemic jobs recovery. Private payrolls are growing slowly. The workweek is again shrinking and average hourly earnings have declined. The unemployment rate dropped to 9.5%, but only because 650,000 people LEFT the labor force.
The recent GDP reports show that government contribution to growth has been about zero. Because transfer payments don't contribute to the output of goods and services. We've had 3 recovery quarters where inflation-adjusted GDP growth has averaged around 3.5 percent. But the federal contribution has been only a couple tenths of one percent while state/local government contribution has roughly offset it.
http://www.economicpopulist.org/content/q1-2010-gdp-3rd-revision-27 As for the tax hikes, here are some of what's coming:
http://www.jct.gov/publications.html?func=startdown&id=36461. The top tax rate will rise from 35% to 39.6%. The lowest rate will rise from 10% to 15% and all rates in between will also rise.
2. The "marriage penalty" will return from the first dollar of income.
3. The child tax credit will be cut in half from $1000 to $500. The dependent care and adoption tax credits will also be cut.
4. The estate tax returns .
5. Capital gains rate will rise from 15% to 20%. The dividends tax will also rise from 15% to 39.6%. These rates will rise again in 2013.
6. AMT - according to the Tax Policy Center
www.taxpolicycenter.org/numbers/displayatab.cfm?DocID=2702 the AMT will affect 28 million people, up from 4 million last year.