Derivatives: Not new fangled; old enough to be Deregulated
Why re-regulating derivatives can prevent another disaster
When credit markets froze
up in the fall of 2008, many economists pronounced the crisis both
inexplicable and unforeseeable. That's because they were economists,
not lawyers.
Lawyers who specialize in financial regulation, and especially the
small cadre who specialize in derivatives regulation, understood what
went wrong. (Some even predicted it.) [1]
That's because the roots of the catastrophe lay not in changes in the
markets, but changes in the law. Perhaps the most important of those
changes was the U.S. Congress's decision to deregulate financial
derivatives with the Commodity Futures Modernization Act (CFMA) of 2000.
It was the deregulation of financial derivatives that brought the banking system to its knees. The leading cause of the credit crisis was widespread uncertainty over insurance giant AIG's losses speculating in credit default swaps (CDS), a kind of derivative bet that particular issuers won't default on their bond obligations. Because AIG was part of an enormous and poorly-understood web of CDS bets and counter-bets among the world's largest banks, investment funds, and insurance companies, when AIG collapsed, many of these firms worried they too might soon be bankrupt. Only a massive $180 billion government-funded bailout of AIG prevented the system from imploding.
This could have been avoided if we had not deregulated financial derivatives.
Derivatives "De"regulation?
Wait a minute, some readers might say. What do you mean, "de"regulated derivatives? Aren't derivatives new financial products that have never been regulated?
Well, no. Derivatives have a long history that offers four basic lessons. First, derivatives contracts have been used for centuries, possibly millennia. Second, healthy economies regulate derivatives markets. Third, derivatives are regulated because while derivatives can be useful for hedging, they are also ideal instruments for speculation. Derivatives speculation in turn is linked with a variety of economic ills--including increased systemic risk when derivatives speculators go bust. Fourth, derivatives traditionally are regulated not through heavy-handed bans on trading, but through common-law contract rules that protect and enforce derivatives that are used for hedging purposes, while declaring purely speculative derivative contracts to be legally unenforceable wagers.
A Brief History of Derivatives Regulation
Just as derivatives have been around for centuries, so has derivatives regulation. In the U.S. and U.K., derivatives were regulated primarily by a common-law rule known as the "rule against difference contracts."
The rule against difference contracts did not stop you from wagering on anything you liked: sporting contests, wheat prices, interest rates. But if you wanted to go to a court to have your wager enforced, you had to demonstrate to a judge's satisfaction that at least one of the parties to the wager had a real economic interest in the underlying and was using the derivative contract to hedge against a risk to that interest.
Because, of course, wagers can be used to hedge against risk. For
example, if you own a corporate bond and you are worried the issuer
might default, you can reduce your risk by entering a CDS contract,
essentially betting against the issuer's creditworthiness. If the bond
decreases in value, the CDS will increase in value. Similarly, if you
own a $500,000 home, you can hedge against the risk your home will burn
down by making a bet with an insurance company that will pay off
$500,000 if the home actually burns. (Most of us call these wagers
"homeowner's insurance," although a typical Wall Street derivatives
dealer might label them "home value swaps.") Using derivatives this way
is truly hedging, and it serves a useful social purpose by reducing
risk.
But as judges have recognized for centuries, at least until recently,
derivative bets are also ideally suited for pure speculation.
Speculation is the attempt to profit not from producing something, or
even from providing investment funds to someone else who is producing
something, but from predicting the future better than others predict
it. [4]
A speculator might, for example, try to make money predicting wildfires
by buying home insurance on houses in Southern California without
actually buying the houses themselves. Similarly, a speculator might
hope to make money betting on a company's fortunes by buying CDS on the
company's bonds without buying the bonds themselves. Unlike hedging,
which reduces risk, speculation increases a speculator's risk in the
much same way that betting at the track increases a gambler's risk.
Highly-speculative markets are also historically associated with asset
price bubbles, reduced returns, price manipulation schemes, and other
economic ills.
This didn't mean derivatives couldn't be used to speculate. But the rule against difference contracts forced speculators to think about how they could make sure their fellow gamblers paid their bets. The answer was for the speculators to set up private exchanges with membership requirements, margin requirements, netting requirements, and a host of other rules designed to make sure that, despite the legal invalidity of speculative derivatives contracts, speculating traders would make good on their contract promises. In the process, the exchanges kept derivatives speculation in check and under controlled conditions. Eventually, the control was increased when government regulators like the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) were empowered to oversee trading on particular exchanges. Meanwhile, off the exchanges, the rule against difference contracts kept "over the counter" speculation in derivatives in check.
At least, it kept speculation in check until the rule was dismantled. The dismantling process began when the United Kingdom passed its Financial Services Act of 1986, "modernizing" the UK's financial laws by eliminating the old rule against difference contracts and making all financial derivatives, whether used for hedging or for speculation, legally enforceable. US regulators, worried that Wall Street banks might lose out on a lucrative new market, followed suit in the 1990s by creating ad hoc regulatory exemptions for particular types of financial derivatives like currency forward contracts and interest rate swaps. Soon the US also embraced wholesale deregulation with the passage of the CFMA in 2000. The CFMA not only declared financial derivatives exempt from CFTC or SEC oversight, it also declared all financial derivatives legally enforceable. The CFMA thus eliminated, in one fell swoop, a legal constraint on derivatives speculation that dated back not just decades, but centuries. It was this change in the law--not some flash of genius on Wall Street--that created today's $600 trillion financial derivatives market.
for the entire blog post:
http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/corpgov/2009/07/21/how-deregulating-derivatives-led-to-disaster/#more-2596















The notion of an ETF as a derivative concerns me. My index mutual funds are not rebounding but my ETFs are soaring.
July 22, 2009 8:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
This is very interesting, Professor. Good work. Please see my post today on Hidden Treuhand, related area of concern. -GFS
July 23, 2009 4:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
"Derivatives: Not new fangled; old enough to be Deregulated"
You are not correct about deregulated. Over the Counter (OTC) derivatives were never regulated by federal law.
In the early 90s, Wendy Gramm, CFTC Chairman used her authority to exempt OTC derivitives from CFTC oversight. Next she left for her job at Enron, while Wendy and her husband raked in money from Enron. Wendy is former Texas Senator Phil Gramm's wife.
Around 1997-1998, Brooksley Born, Chairperson, CFTC had meetings with several key individuals about regulating derivatives. The major one was Alan Greenspan (Mr. No Regulation).
Born was concerned about the lack of transparency for the OTC derivatives market.
http://www.cftc.gov/opa/speeches/opaborn-32.htm
"In recent years the OTC derivatives market has grown dramatically in both volume and variety of products offered and has attracted many new end-users of varying degrees of sophistication. This market has also changed, with new products being developed, some products becoming more standardized, and systems for centralized execution or clearing being considered and proposed. For these reasons, the Commission and other financial regulators are currently examining the market and their oversight of it to determine whether any regulatory adjustments are necessary."
Born was opposed by Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan, SEC Chairman Arthur Levitt,and Treasury Secretaries Robert Rubin and Lawrence Summers.
Summers made several very harsh attacks on Born. All of them said she would kill the market.
The Commodity Futures Modernization Act (CFMA) of 2000 specific addressed the previously unaddressed issue of OTC derivatives - regulation. Phil Gramm slipped the 250 page CFMA into an 11,000 must pass Senate Appropriations Bill a few hours before Christmas vacation. There was no floor discussion. Many Senators had no idea what they were signing and some had already left for vacation. A few months early the Senate had voted against the bill.
July 23, 2009 6:25 PM | Reply | Permalink
I wonder how the professor would respond. Perhaps she would say that because, in the olden days, courts wouldn't enforce OTC derivatives contracts, folks would be a bit better at self-regulation. Sort of like how a mortgage lender wouldn't lend subprime if it couldn't ever foreclose.
But I don't know enough about commodities trading...yet...
July 24, 2009 8:03 AM | Reply | Permalink
This thesis is right on target, but now factor in Hidden Treuhand (German law), offshore tax havens and bank secrecy, and you have the perfect storm. The financial crisis is not exclusively about homes and bad loans, but rather how a trader can package and sell bad investments and then bet against the worthiness of them offshore with Hidden Treuhand and bank secrecy to obviate transparency and taxation. Please put this in your browser: http://www.universal-publishers.com/book.php?method=ISBN&book=1599429292
July 24, 2009 7:19 AM | Reply | Permalink