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Will the Rev Guards/Militia/Police/Army balk/switch sides?
It seems clear that in order for the protesters to win (or even survive) the coming confrontation some significant elements of the armed forces will need to switch allegiance - or at the very least stand down.
From what I've read it is unthinkable that the militias will do so, and highly unlikely that the Revolutionary Guards will do so.
But I have heard virtually nothing about the army or the police forces. Does anyone know what these force's politics/allegiances are? Or the chances that they will refuse to harm their neighbors?
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I've read some reports that give some small hope that some police might support the demonstrators. There are stories of friendly interactions, police smiling at demonstrators and even the police breaking up confrontations between the basiji and demonstrators. Not much to hang a hope on but I'm clinging to any hope I can. I fear a blood bath.
June 19, 2009 9:45 PM | Reply | Permalink
As do I, Kat.
June 19, 2009 10:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
I think it is hard to say what any of them will do. One of the men who ran in the election is a prevous republican guard leader.
I appreciate what the president said today and the way in which he said it.
Whatever the leaders of Iran decide to do the whole world will be watching and the whole world will know.
May the best interests of the people be served in whatever path they choose.
Allah Ho Akbar
June 20, 2009 2:47 AM | Reply | Permalink