I rarely write a blog. And most previous blog postings were casual after thoughts. But this is important. I have new energy this morning. Not fear but determination to cross the finish line motivates me to write this blog.
While all of us welcome a landslide, there is no harm in acknowledging a scenario where this election comes down to one or two key states. Whatever arguments you have, you cannot deny atleast swing states (MO, IN, NC, FL, OH) can lean McCain when it really matters. History, voter suppression efforts, demographics, and the margin in the polls- we have sufficient dynamic to assume McCain victory in these states.
It's a plausible scenario.
If it in fact comes down to PA and VA, we are still in a very good position. But lets not take any chances.
The Temple University Poll has Obama leading by 9 points in PA. However, in 2004, Kerry won the state with a 2% margin. While VA looks strong for Obama, the state hasn't voted for a democrat in decades and the latest Rasmussen gives Obama a lead of 4 points.
I'm not writing this blog to become another source of nervousness. I'm asking you to imagine a conservative estimate toward victory. Acknowledge a scenario,where we may have a closer election.
Work.
Let's make a few more calls this week. And those who can land their boots on the ground in the key states please feel free to knock one more door or walk one more bloc. On Nov 5, I'd rather say I have done a lot more than needed than say I haven't done enough. If you can, please make a difference this week.
You can sign up at the campaign website....
http://my.barackobama.com/modules/votercontact/login_signup.php
Moveon can also suggest a possible state and county where you can help.
http://pol.moveon.org/obama/office.html
Recommend.
If the transition team were only in consultation and didn't offer Sen.Clinton a key position in the new White House than this will be recorded as the biggest public relations blunder, thus far, by the Obama team. This story has gotten out of hands and Obama team didn't seem to make much effort to step in at any time.
Which is reason enough to believe Sen.Clinton infact was offered the job and now its in her hands.
Old timers know I'm not a big fan of Hillary. Sen. Clinton is not my first choice but I don't have problem with it. If you have a problem, then I ask you to spend time questioning Obama's judgement rather than attacking her. It was his call. .
IMO, six months from now she may not seem such a perfect or imperfect candidate for the job. So all this hyper ventillation seems silly.