In 2004, the Democrats used "America Coming Together", a 527 cobbled together from party and labor resources for its field organization.

This year it will have the 1000000 Obaman Army an asset of incaculable value which can be controlled directly by the campaign, an organization the likes of which has never been seen in US politics


Salon:Obama's got ground game

Walk into Barack Obama's Texas headquarters down the street from the state Capitol, and you're immediately reminded of the complicated rules of the weird primary/caucus hybrid coming up here next week. "Ask us about the Texas Two-Step," says a huge sign painted to look like the state flag, with a giant Obama smiling down from the blue stripe on the left. Running phone banks, volunteers remind early voters to save the receipt showing they've already cast a ballot if they want to caucus on March 4 after the polls in the primary close. (Texas Democratic Party rules allow for participation in both.) Obama's staff here calls preparation for the Texas election "the Olympics" of field organizing, but they seem more than ready for it.

The emphasis on organizing -- which has helped the campaign harness enthusiasm about Obama and propel a nationwide political movement -- has been one of the keys to Obama's success so far.

From Forbes, a delegate calculator...

How Can Obama Or Clinton Win The Nomination? You Decide!

With the delegate-rich primary contests in Texas and Ohio rapidly approaching, it's time for you to figure out who will win the Democratic nomination and how he or she can do it. Use our delegate calculator to see what combination of wins will propel your candidate (or your candidate’s opponent) to victory.
The race is tight, as we have discussed, but mathematical and political possibilities still exist. Try your hand at selecting what percentages of the popular votes you think Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama will take in each of the remaining primaries and caucuses.

Once you've filled in the popular vote breakdown, you can predict superdelegates. These people may end up deciding the winner of the Democratic nomination. Which way will they go? Whom will they endorse? Will they follow the lead of the voters or go their own way? Try out different possibilities, and see which candidate benefits. ...

I inserted the Obama projections from a spreadsheet "accidentally" attached to a February 7th memo on the state of the race which the campaign prepared for a press briefing... http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0208/Obamas_projections.html

That was 11 primaries ago. At the time, I thought his projections looked, if anything, a bit conservative and thus far they have been

That said,from here on through PR, w/out superdelegates

Obama 1866
Clinton 1771


Today's count per Obama
Obama 1202
Clinton 1042


You can readily see why this will not go through Puerto Rico in June and probably not to PA before the SuperDelegates bolt in sufficient numbers to end this and put Obama over the top. Unless Hillary wins both TX and OH by substantial margins, there is no reason for her campaign to continue. She cannot win more pledged delegates than Obama, and even if she WINS both TX and OH as the Obama spreadsheet allows, she only falls further behind.

I expect that this will all be over within a week or two - when Obama takes MS and WY next weekend

NB - Forbes inaccurately refers to "pledged superdelegates" leaving only the balance of uncommitted for you to allocate. Since Hillary has been steadily losing previously committted superdelegates (HELLO JOHN LEWIS!)..the trickle soon to become a deluge

Unbelievable.

If you thought the Tejas PrimaCaucus was a mess, this from my brother. My sister-in-law and nephew didn't get a caucus permission slip when they early voted:

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They don't make it obvious about what needs to be done.  As I recall from many years ago, since they stamped your voter's card showing you voted in the Democratic primary, all you had to do is take it and show it at the door.  With the electronic machines they don't automatically do that so I asked and had to go to another table to get it stamped and get the slip.

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