It All Comes Down To One Thing: Age Is the rage!
I have just studied dozens of polls comparing and contrasting the everchanging fortunes of McCain, Obama, and Clinton. This experiment can be duplicated, and I urge a copycat attempt.
It turns out that the presidential campaign is not about race or ethnicity. It's not about gender. It's not about experience vs change. It's not about Iraq or NAFTA or health care.
The numbers don't lie. IT'S ALL ABOUT AGE.
But it's not about McCain's age or Clinton's age or Obama's age. It's about the respective ages of the voters themselves.
For example, on the Democratic side, Clinton just eats up the over-65 crowd which is polling as a radically reverse barometer to the under-40 crowd. And this year (unusually) the 41-64 crowd is trending toward the younger generation (possibly after being phoned 25 times in the middle of the night by their college-aged kids to confirm again that Dad & Mom are voting Obama!)
In any event, voter age groups are the only truly reliable, across the board determining factor, and will likely remain so through the general election.
Does this make Obama just a lucky son of a gun. Maybe. But he's also a smart son of a gun. He probably figured out that this was all that mattered as he was studying the SuperTuesday results. Remember, that was the night he came up with the brilliant line: "this is a campaign between the past and the future." Without getting personal, he managed to pit seniors against the gen-x'ers.
Did it work? Well, how does 11 in a row sound?
Age is the rage! (Personally, I'm 55 years old, but I like to think of myself as 22.) Anyway, Obama only needs one single voting demographic to go his way -- the under 64 crowd! Pretty good coalition, that.
It turns out that the presidential campaign is not about race or ethnicity. It's not about gender. It's not about experience vs change. It's not about Iraq or NAFTA or health care.
The numbers don't lie. IT'S ALL ABOUT AGE.
But it's not about McCain's age or Clinton's age or Obama's age. It's about the respective ages of the voters themselves.
For example, on the Democratic side, Clinton just eats up the over-65 crowd which is polling as a radically reverse barometer to the under-40 crowd. And this year (unusually) the 41-64 crowd is trending toward the younger generation (possibly after being phoned 25 times in the middle of the night by their college-aged kids to confirm again that Dad & Mom are voting Obama!)
In any event, voter age groups are the only truly reliable, across the board determining factor, and will likely remain so through the general election.
Does this make Obama just a lucky son of a gun. Maybe. But he's also a smart son of a gun. He probably figured out that this was all that mattered as he was studying the SuperTuesday results. Remember, that was the night he came up with the brilliant line: "this is a campaign between the past and the future." Without getting personal, he managed to pit seniors against the gen-x'ers.
Did it work? Well, how does 11 in a row sound?
Age is the rage! (Personally, I'm 55 years old, but I like to think of myself as 22.) Anyway, Obama only needs one single voting demographic to go his way -- the under 64 crowd! Pretty good coalition, that.




