Wondering if TPM Cafe Community Could Help Me Understand Health Care Policy Options
Friends,
Please forgive me if you are already light years ahead of me on this topic, but I have a few questions for which you might be able to provide some answers.
Question 1: What is the answer to claim that a "public option" would eventually devolve into a government run health care program for all because private health care companies would not be able to compete? Last night, Sen. Rockefeller was interviewed on NPR about health care coops. Rockefeller had nothing good to say about coops and he insisted that a public option was the only way forward. At this point, I was hoping he would be asked about this most frequent objection to a public option, but, alas, I was disappointed. So, I am hoping that you all can help me out with this.
Question 2: If a single-payer system is politically unworkable (so they say), and, if a public option would eventually devolve into a single-payer system, and so too would be politically unacceptable (so they say), what is the third major option on the table? It seems that the only real third option that I can find is keeping the status quo. Is this correct?
Question 3: I thought that one of the biggest selling points of health care reform was decoupling health care expenses from business expenses. If so, why do current proposals still require businesses to pay three-fourths of an employee's healt care premium?
Any information that would help me understand the answers to these questions, and so also help me better defend health care reform, would be greatly appreciated.
Ta.
















Joe, lots of people here more qualified than myself to answer your questions.
I'm going to check back here later on for more information.
I'm constantly learning.
August 3, 2009 2:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Hi Joe - There are currently multiple plans on the table, all in flux, but some general principles have emerged, including the need for either a government run public option or non-profit cooperatives as probably a somewhat weaker alternative. Single payer is not under consideration by any of the committees.
Would a public option inevitably lead to single payer? The answer is no. All other industrialized democracies provide health care that outperforms ours - more citizens covered, lower cost, and better health outcomes - but only a minority are single payer. The others involve various public/private hybrids that appear to be stable - ie., they are not gravitating into single payer systems.
Undoubtedly, some reformers would like to see a public option eventuate into a single payer system, but my expectation is that at least for the foreseeable future, that would be prevented by the nature of the plan. First, it would exempt many small businesses from participating in the Insurance Exchange where public and private plans would compete. In addition, it would most likely limit available coverage under a public option so that supplementary private coverage would be sought by many.
A salient example is the French system, touted by many as the best in the world. It offers universal coverage at much lower cost, and achieves better health outcomes by the standard measures of life expectancy and infant mortality. Like the U.S., France taxes income to support healthcare (e.g., our Medicare and Medicaid systems). The French system provides health insurance for everyone, but the coverage is only partial. As a consequence, almost every citizen purchases additional private insurance. Because what the private market can tap into is smaller than here, it is very competitive. Hence, the strong public component keeps private insurance rates at tolerable levels.
Other nations combine public and private components in different ways.
The current proposals are not finalized, and so the exact contribution of businesses remains to be specified. Because a public option would reduce insurance rates, businesses that offer insurance now would expect a smaller rise in premium costs than if we did nothing. Some small businesses would be permitted to opt out of the insurance mandate, but would pay a tax penalty instead to fund the subsidies for insuring low income families. The very smallest businesses would receive a tax credit to offset this penalty, and at least in the House version, would see little change from today.
All of these expectations will change as the legislation evolves, but it is safe to say that the most likely outcome is some type of public (governmental or non-profit) component, with regulations that preclude any evolution into a single payer system in the foreseeable future.
August 3, 2009 3:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Fred,
This is great, exactly what I was looking for. Not meaning to seem ungrateful, I have three reactions to your post. First, I am not sure France is as "salient" as some would like. You note that France begins with a government health care plan that covers all people, and then private ensurers pick up improvements in coverage. This is rather different from what we have in the U.S. where the primary source of coverage is through a job. If the U.S. were to become like France, we would indeed have what many say they fear, a government run health care system.
Second, other than France, can you identify other countries that blend a public option with private insurance? Do any of these other countries NOT begin with a government plan that covers everyone (thus being like France).
Third, all of this is to say that your answer to the competitiveness question dramatically changes the playing field, such that private insurers no longer provide primary care coverage, but only expansions on a government run primary package of insurance. In other words, if things become French-like, insurance companies would have to completely change what they offer, and in the process lose the product from which they currently make the vast majority of their products. Thus, if I follow you correctly, in order to "compete" private insurance companies would essentially have to die and then be reborn as something very different from what they are now. Have I misunderstood something?
To be clear, I am asking these questions because they are the questions that I would ask if someone were to defend health care reforms on the terms you present. Thus, if I am to run with your answers, I need to anticipate such questions. I am entirely in favor of finding a way to provide coverage for all and to prevent making health care something where making a profit is more important than providing needed care. I'm just not clear in my own mind how to do this.
Again, your reply is really appreciated.
August 3, 2009 4:35 PM | Reply | Permalink
Both Switzerland and Germany have private insurance regulated heavily by the government and delivered via mandated minimums for qualifying plans, which the insurance companies have no choice but to provide.
They compete, mostly, on price and service. Supplemental plans are also available to provide medical services that the government mandated plans don't provide. I couldn't tell you off the top of my head what the list would look like, but both countries allow for negotiations between the insurance industry and medical providers to set prices for the government mandated plans.
The plans currently on the table in various committees, as Fred mentioned, creates a public option of some sort for the uninsured, the self employed and small business with under 20 employees. Further, they regulate the most egregious abuses of the current private insurance system such as preexisting condition exclusion and canceling a policy because some got sick. I believe most of the plans seek to standardize care via information technology and best practices as a way to control costs in addition to the measure above. I believe one of the bills addresses the current Medicare program as well and seeks to stem some of its bleeding as these other reforms are implemented.
What seems to be missing is reform medical delivery abuses, medical malpractice (most of which goes unreported) and the pharmaceutical industry, not to mention the FDA and their gutless and underfunded "regulation" of our food and drug systems.
August 3, 2009 6:47 PM | Reply | Permalink
Just to make sure this part is clear: Germany has a public health insurance system, and an additional private system. Participation in the public system is mandatory below some relatively high income level.
I am not familiar with Switzerland's system.
August 3, 2009 6:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Point being, Germany is a mixture of public and private insurance.
I was mistaken about Germany with how it provides the basic public insurance as a "single payer" system, but the Swiss mandate coverage and it is provided via a nonprofit insurance sector. There really is no comparison as America has shades of all these systems combined in a way that will require a multifaceted solution.
I am not sure what the final mix will be like in the US, but I believe we are currently pursuing a hybrid solution that uses many countries as an example.
August 3, 2009 7:06 PM | Reply | Permalink
Yes, and non-profit is a far cry from just heavy regulation (although I am sure the insurance corporations would protest.)
August 3, 2009 7:08 PM | Reply | Permalink
They didn't start out nonprofit in most cases. They became nonprofit overtime as the only possibly entity type in the heavily regulated environments where they had to compete.
I find the idea that regulation can't work because the government sucks but they should take over health insurance an odd argument. Sort of like the folks on the right with the inverse about how bad government is, but it will put private insurance out of business.
Neither is accurate, but sure keeps us talking about everything but real solutions.
August 3, 2009 7:17 PM | Reply | Permalink
OK. This is a reply both to Jason and to Karl. First, thanks for your replies. Second, if I understand you correctly, it still looks like we are talking about countries that provide health care for everyone, and then private companies compete "on price and service." Am I misunderstanding something here? If not, then I do not think we have yet identified a genuine analogue to the U.S. situation. As best I can tell, the plans currently before Congress do not call for government insurance of everyone.
It seems that the U.S. is proposing a system where a government run option runs side by side, so to speak, with private options, whereas the European examples provided so far have a government mandate that private companies operate on top of, so to speak. Thus, the competiveness question would not be answered by such examples.
What am I misunderstanding here?
August 3, 2009 7:14 PM | Reply | Permalink
There is no direct analogue because one doesn't exist. It's like comparing oranges to orangutans.
I believe the system we end up with will be basically the same as what we have now, structurally, with a huge heaping helping of strict private insurance regulation, a strong nonprofit public option and medical technology improvements. Combine that with serious Medicare reform and we just might stabilize the system long enough to provide a long term fix.
I suspect this health system will be tweaked and tucked over the coming years as this plays out and the context changes. There is also no right answer because changing any one thing cause the entire puzzle to shift.
Or it is all a conspiracy and we're fucked. Depends on who you talk to.
August 3, 2009 7:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Jason, thanks for at least making the lack of analogue clear. At the very least, I think provides a bit of justification for those who think we are swimming out into unknown waters here.
August 3, 2009 7:27 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sounds like the Netherlands is pretty close with compulsory insurance, an SSI like government program and strict regulations that keeps the whole thing affordable. That is as likely an analogue as you are going to find.
August 4, 2009 6:45 AM | Reply | Permalink
PS: Germany operates as a statutory health system that is federally mandated and managed and deliver via a number of private, nonprofit insurance funds, much like the Swiss and the Dutch.
Here is a great overview of the German system and contrasts it with the Dutch system. It is also starting to have economic sustainability issues as are many other "single payer" countries.I suspect most smart countries will continue to tinker with health care for decades as the ebb and flow of society rages on.
August 3, 2009 7:15 PM | Reply | Permalink
So, here's an addendum question for while this post is still viewable in "recent posts": Why is Fred the only one who has chimed in on this with substantive answers (tpmgary - your willingness to admit a need to learn was appreciated; made me feel less stupid)? I kind of assumed that TPM would be bursting with answers.
Does my breath smell?
August 3, 2009 5:38 PM | Reply | Permalink
Judging from the way you loaded your questions and the nuanced replies you gave Fred, I would say you are not an honest player in this discussion. If you want to write a blog (from your viewpoint) people might be more interested in conversing with you.
August 3, 2009 6:33 PM | Reply | Permalink
jonnienohands: Hold on. How are my questions loaded? The first one was an indication that I had heard opponents of reform claim over and over that a public option would not work because private companies would not be able to compete. The implication often made was that reform advocates know this but don't care because they really want a government program. I had not heard any answer to this, let alone a good one. I do not have time to go and read up on this, so I thought that I would reach out to the TPM community - a community that I find to be wise on many matters - to see if someone could set me straight in short order. Thus, I fail to see how that question was loaded.
The second question sought to find out if there is a major alternative proposal floating out there other than 1) Public option, 2) Single-Payer, 3) the status quo. How is that loaded?
The third question had to do with a genuine puzzle for me, one that was important in health care debates I have with my conservative business-type neighbors. ALL OF THEM admit that businesses should not be in the business of providing health care, something that I with which I agree, and having agreeded with them, then ask why they don't support reform. When I heard that the plans in Congress still focused on business provided health care, I was confused.
Look. I like to think that I am not a knucklehead when it comes to public policy. A general sign for me that the public discussion of an issue is not going well is when I cannot understand what the heck is going on, even when I have made a little effort to figure it out myself.
My reply to Fred was both sincere in its gratitude and sincere in the desire to continue the conversation.
What is to be gained by impugning my honesty in this conversation?
August 3, 2009 6:54 PM | Reply | Permalink
Joe - I returned to this thread to find that you've raised provocative questions. I'll attempt a partial answer to some.
First, the European systems and those of the other industrialized democracies are characterized by an achievement current proposals here are also aimed at - universal or near universal insurance coverage. Most achieve this through a mix of public and private components, but they differ from each other.
Second, as mentioened above, mandated employer contributions are an important element of some of these systems.
Third (and I think this is at the heart of what you're getting at), as far as I know, none of the systems is characterized by parallel public and private insurance plans competing to offer exactly the same services. Rather, they play complementary roles, with the private plans offering services not provided by the public ones. There may be exceptions to this "non-parallelism", but I don't happen to know of any. They would not be common.
This gets down to what we might expect in the U.S. from reforms that include a public option. Certainly, in the early years, there would be some degree of parallelism, since some members of the public would be excluded from the public option. However, as time proceeds, and as experience is gathered, it would be likely that the public option would provide more and more of the basic services and private insurers more in the way of supplementary services. This would ensure the dominance of the public role, but a strong remaining role for private insurers.
Would the tendency of this supplementary private role be to dwindle into insignificance over time? I expect just the opposite. As costs rise, our government will be tempted to leave more and more services to the private sector. In that sense, the danger would not be an eventual takeover of the whole system by the government but by the private sector. That's known as "back to square one." To avert it would require two things. The first is a strong national committment to continue to offer public insurance that covers essential services. The second is a dramatic reform of the health care system itself to eliminate duplicate and unnecessary facilities, tests, and treatments, because it is this wastefulness that would make good health care too expensive for the government to offer everyone.
August 3, 2009 7:59 PM | Reply | Permalink
Joe - The Dutch healthcare system seems as close to a parallel system as I could find. They perform at about the same level as the other European nations in terms of low cost and good health outcomes -
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Health_care_in_the_Netherlands
August 3, 2009 8:20 PM | Reply | Permalink
Actually, it was parallel until 2006. Now, it is private with a minimal government contribution, but with strong government oversight and an equalization mechanism that discourages insurers from "cherry picking".
August 3, 2009 8:24 PM | Reply | Permalink
I became so intrigued with the Netherlands universal healthcare system I linked to above, that I reproduce the Wikipedia description below. Some components are government run, but most medical care is covered by private insurers that compete with each other.
What is striking is that the Dutch have regulated insurers so as to reward the best service for the lowest cost, and to prevent insurers from taking steps to reduce costs by reducing services, denying claims, excluding high risk individuals, or any of the other maneuvers that discourage good and affordable service. In essence, in the Netherlands, the only way to be more profitable is to be more efficient, not to be stingier. Here is the Wikipedia section:
"The Netherlands has a dual-level system. All primary and curative care (i.e. the family doctor service and hospitals and clinics) is financed from private compulsory insurance. Long term care for the elderly, the dying, the long term mentally ill etc. is covered by social insurance funded from taxation. According to the WHO, the health care system in the Netherlands was 62% government funded and 38% privately funded as of 2004.[6]
Insurance companies must offer a core universal insurance package for the universal primary, curative care which includes the cost of all prescription medicines. They must do this at a fixed price for all. The same premium is paid whether young or old, healthy or sick. It is illegal in The Netherlands for insurers to refuse an application for health insurance, to impose special conditions (e.g. exclusions, deductables, co-pays etc or refuse to fund treatments which a doctor has determined to be medically necessary). The system is 50% financed from payroll taxes paid by employers to a fund controlled by the Health regulator. The government contributes an additional 5% to the regulator's fund. The remaining 45% is collected as premiums paid by the insured directly to the insurance company. Some employers negotiate bulk deals with health insurers and some even pay the employees' premiums as an employment benefit). All insurance companies receive additional funding from the regulator's fund. The regulator has sight of the claims made by policyholders and therefore can redistribute the funds its holds on the basis of relative claims made by policy holders. Thus insurers with high payouts will receive more from the regulator than those with low payouts. Thus insurance companies have no incentive to deter high cost individuals from taking insurance and are compensated if they have to pay out more than might be expected. Insurance companies compete with each other on price for the 45% direct premium part of the funding and try to negotiate deals with hospitals to keep costs low and quality high. The competition regulator is charged with checking for abuse of dominant market positions and the creation of cartels that act against the consumer interests. An insurance regulator ensures that all basic policies have identical coverage rules so that no person is medicially disadvantaged by his or her choice of insurer.
Hospitals in the Netherlands are also regulated and inspected but are mostly privately run and for profit, as are many of the insurance companies. Patients can choose where they want to be treated and have access to information on the internet about the performance and wait times at each hospital. Patients dissatisfied with their insurer and choice of hospital can cancel at any time but must make a new agreement with another insurer.
Insurance companies can offer additional services at extra cost over and above the universal system laid down by the regulator, e.g. for dental care. The standard monthly premium for health care paid by individual adults is about €100 per month. Persons on low incomes can get assistance from the government if they cannot afford these payments. Children under 18 are insured by the system at no additional cost to them or their families because the insurance company receives the cost of this from the regulator's fund."
August 3, 2009 8:46 PM | Reply | Permalink
Sorry to do this piecemeal. One part in the above I found somewhat troubling was the statement that insurers could negotiate with hospitals for lower costs, indicating that somewhere along the line, lower medical costs insurers had to cover meant higher profits. I understand the hospitals are closely monitored, but it would require rigorous performance standards to ensure that lower hospital costs did not signify lower hospital quality. Individuals in the Netherlands can switch insurers, but with any given insurer, their choice of hospitals is limited.
August 3, 2009 9:22 PM | Reply | Permalink
Fred,
I do not have time now to respond, but this is some real heavy lifting. Thanks.
August 3, 2009 9:22 PM | Reply | Permalink