10/22 Update - Obama's March Thru GA Continues
Georgia
it was so crowded voting yesterday that the last people finished at 10:30 even though the polls closed at 7 PM at one spot. GA is in play......I can feel it. Expanded polling places and hours start next Monday the 27th - 31st.
Total Votes - 825,983 (+69,000)
Non White Vote - 302,000
% -36.6%
Remember if the final vote has us over 30% for the African American/Latino/Asian vote we will win GA. It is tracking for 12 days now over 36%.
In 2004 20.2% voted early and already nearly 24.9% of 2004 voter totals have already and we have 9 days left!. Black vote was 25% and total non white vote was 29.4% and just shy of a million votes out of 3.3 million.
One interesting thing to remember about early voting is that it is inconvenient for people that do not drive in many cases. 20% of black voters do not have licenses so from what I can see in our 4 precincts most folks will not vote early and there will be an election day surge in the black vote continuing the early voting trends.
If we track thru 10/31 when early vote ends like we
are now (+/- 2%) McCain is going to lose GA as election day turnout in
our larger inner city areas will be huge and Atlanta and Savannah are
the keys to the black vote in GA.





Great info man thanks. GA will be the suprise of the entire election, just wait and see.
October 22, 2008 9:57 PM | Reply | Permalink
Great stuff, John. What is the source for the precise numbers, and do you have the black vote number, as opposed to the nonwhite number? I say we need 31%, maybe 32% to win.
October 23, 2008 12:37 AM | Reply | Permalink
Here is the state site:
http://sos.georgia.gov/elections/earlyvotingstats08.htm
Updates about 10 AM.
You are right north of 30 is the number. Barr should take 2-3 which makes it possible that 30 would do it....
October 24, 2008 12:12 AM | Reply | Permalink
I hope we are in for many such surprises!! Thanks for the update.
October 23, 2008 2:42 AM | Reply | Permalink
I'm still wondering what's happening with the vote-flipping in W. Virginia. And with the numerous challenges in GA by the Republican Sec. of State.
October 23, 2008 4:34 AM | Reply | Permalink
Ga is a battle of colors. Black vs Green. The color that wins decides if Obama or McCain wins the state.
October 23, 2008 7:12 PM | Reply | Permalink
I can feel it in the air, too!! Every day I'm hearing friends and coworkers tell their "voting stories." It is unlike anything I've seen here.
October 23, 2008 8:05 PM | Reply | Permalink
Your favorite Republican Dragon here!!!!The early reports here in Santa Rosa County FL. have mind Boggling turnout.Some Est. put the turnout at over 80%.Keep them Comin Guys!!!!
October 23, 2008 8:19 PM | Reply | Permalink
By the way at least this Republican did VOTE for Obama!!!
October 23, 2008 8:21 PM | Reply | Permalink