Syriana
Josh Landis - OKU Syrianist analyzes Syria's goals and strategic position here. Depressing and all too familiar - the USG's feeble grip on reality. Expect worse yet as the Greatest Strategic Disaster continues to reveal itself.
In the coming months, we can expect Syria to move more forcefully to the counter-attack. Syria feels confident that it has the upper hand for the first time since 2003.
Syria wants to show Washington what a failure it is. Thus, it will turn up the pressure on Washington just as Washington turned up the pressure on Syria over the last two years. Damascus is determined to demonstrate to Washington that there is a price to be paid for not dealing with Syria as a respected power in the region.
Washington thought it could roll Syria out of Lebanon, destroy Hamas, and force the Iraqi government to boycott Damascus. Asad will do what he can to demonstrate that Washington does not have the power to do this and will fail in its anti-Syrian policies. Only by cutting deals with Damascus can Washington hope to run a successful Middle East policy. This is Asad's goal.
Now that American influence and power in the region is on the decline, Asad's is on ascendant. He will make trouble for pro-US politicians in Lebanon and support Hizbullah, he will do what he can to keep Hamas alive, and he will try to broaden his relations with Iraqi politicians in an effort to get trade deals and oil flowing through the Syrian pipeline again. In Iraq, Syria has little interest in promoting violence, which it has little control over and which can come back to hurt it. But it will try to make itself useful to the Iraq government and powers on the ground in order to get trade flowing to strengthen Syria.





Asad is barely hanging on to power. That this guy thinks Asad has suddenly become his father is absurd.
These pundits like Ivo and Kleinfeld and the rest are really pathetic. Pay them by the word and they'll say anything they think might endear them to the REAL people with power.
I think we should calling them what they are - "whores" - rather than "pundits."
July 14, 2006 5:11 AM | Reply | Permalink