The September Surge Against America?
In the face of public opposition and mounting evidence of failure -- rather than act on the American People's opinion about the war and the overall behavior of their 'administration', shown in the results of every major pollster; and despite the severe Republican defeat in the 2006 elections (which mirrored and support the poll results), Cheney / Bush have determined to behave exactly as they have in the past.
The 'administration' will simply push ahead and carry out its desires ... I don't say, 'seek its goals'. That would imply a logical and rational framework for their efforts. And, in an American government, seeking goals might carry the implication that its ultimate ends benefit the citizens of the United States.
Instead, since the end of 2006, Cheney / Bush have gone on the offensive -- and using one of the most cherished of Republican principles: To hell with The People. Or, as Mr. Cheney might say, Go f--- yourselves. There isn't anything you can do to stop us.
Iraq Deteriorates
On November 10, 2006, the GOP was apparently in disarray, a massive electoral reversal pundits said was over the Iraq war; in reality, Bush had become the personification of the countrys anger not only because of Iraq, but due to the Katrina Disaster, the slow unwinding of the Abramoff corruption scandals, and the overall arrogance of his 'administration': Americans did not trust him, or the GOP, and the results -- a Democratically-controlled Congress -- were even more disastrous for the Republicans than any political pundit had predicted.
Even before the mid-terms, the Iraq war was, obviously and inescapably, getting worse by the day. A secret, high-level Pentagon briefing in mid-October, 2006, had described Iraq as "edging towards chaos... violence at all-time high, spreading geographically. Senator Arlen Specter said publicly on October 23rd that "Iraq is in a civil war".
On November 3, 2006, the Army, Marine Corps, Navy and Air Force Times magazines ran op-ed articles all but demanding that Donald Rumsfeld resign as Secretary of Defense -- and one day after the elections, on November 8th, Rumsfeld did.
On November 20, the results of a World Opinion poll stated seven out of ten Iraqis wanted all U.S. forces to leave the country within a year. On November 29, a Wall Street Journal poll indicated 68% of Americans believed Iraq was in the middle of a civil war (Asked about the poll, Condoleeza Rice primly spat back that there was no civil war in Iraq, "because the Iraqis don't see it that way").
On the same day as the WSJ reported its poll, the Associated Press stated that the Pentagon was "developing plans to send four more battalions to Iraq partly to boost security in Baghdad The extra combat engineer battalions of reserves, likely to be sent to Baghdad, would total about 3,500 troops.
On December 8, 2006, seventy-one per cent of Americans polled by AP-Ipsos disapproved of Bush's handling of the war -- an "all-time high".
The Surge
On January 15, 2007, Bush announced an escalation of the war -- the 'Surge', an increase of 21,500 combat troops to be deployed to Iraq by April. General George Casey, Commander of American Forces in Iraq, and General Peter Pace, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, had each argued against this strategy -- primarily because American armed forces were stretched nearly to the breaking point, leaving few reserves available for another crisis. In February, Casey was dismissed and replaced by General David Petraeus (General Pace would later be passed over for retention as JCS Chair -- Bush effectively neutered him in place).
The main point of the Surge -- We would send more troops, defeat the enemy, and provide the Iraqis with the breathing space needed to develop a stronger Democracy.
There would be a report -- an assessment, a determination -- in six months: September, 2007. General Petraeus, and new Ambassador to Iraq, Ryan Crocker, would make an assessment of the war and report to Congress -- which would answer the question of what America would do next in Iraq.
The Surge was sold to the American public and the Democratic Congressional membership by commentators, Serious foreign policy talking heads, as the 'last chance' for success: This is really it, the pundits and the media seemed to say. This is a General Officer in the Military -- he'll execute the best plan; this is a Serious Diplomatic Professional and he'll work with the Iraqi government; they arent partisan hacks. In September, they'll tell everyone the truth!
And the pundits, and GOP politicians, added a tagline that was heard over and over: We have to give the plan, and the troops, a chance to work. Six months. Bush -- or his critics -- would have to accept what an unbiased, honest assessment will tell them. To wait and see... another six months... it was only fair, after all.
Victory Is Defeat: "Our Country's Destiny"
On February 16, The House of Representatives passed, 246-182, a non-binding resolution opposing the Surge. It was the first time, ever, in the four years since the invasion that either House of Congress had voted decisively against Bushs Iraq policy. On February 17, the Senate voted 56-34 on the same non-binding measure -- only four votes short of the 60 needed for passage.
The non-binding resolution had been designed to show the country that Democratic Congressional leaders meant to stand up to the 'administration'; to swing even more public support for an end to the war; and force vulnerable GOP members, up for reelection in 2008, to make public their votes supporting a president who seemed to grow more personally toxic by the day.
However -- in the corporate mainstream media, when the resolution failed to reach Bush's desk, the House vote and what it meant was all but ignored; even if the resolution had passed, the pundits chirped, Bush's veto could never have been overridden. Republicans spun it over and over as a Democratic failure, and the media echoed the theme. That more Americans polled each month saw Cheney and Bush's leadership as the failure, was left unmentioned.
Two weeks later, Bush publicly announced he was directing an additional 7,000 troops be deployed to Iraq, making a new Surge total of 28,500 -- a public slap at his critics in the aftermath of what the 'administration' claimed was a 'victory' over the Democrats: See? I'm runnin' things f--- y'all!.
Privately, he reacted with anger, including a chest-pounding demonstration for Texas friends visiting Washington in May, where he raged for some time at having his desires publicly opposed, shouting 'I am the President!!', adding "in an extended whine, a rant [that] no one understands him, the critics are all messed up... He also made it clear he was setting Iraq up so his successor could not get out of 'our countrys destiny'.
On August 15th, the Los Angeles Times reported that they were told by the administration that the White House, not General Petraeus and Ambassador Crocker, will be writing the Assessment on conditions in Iraq.
At the same time, senior Republican congressional aides told the Washington Post that Condoleezza Rice and Secretary of Defense Robert Gates would be the ones to speak publicly on the Report to Congress. The 'administration' wants General Petraeus and Ambassador Crocker to discuss the report with Congress ... but only in private (The 'administration' admitted the LAT report was accurate, but denied what the Post had written).
Iraq's current Prime Minister, Nouri al-Maliki (who had replaced a politician many Iraqis viewed as essentially a puppet of the Cheney / Bush 'administration' and the United States in general, Ayad Allawi) has, since the Surge was announced, been painted as a potential stumbling block to its "success".
More and more, any potential military and diplomatic failure in Iraq is being shaped by the 'administration', by commentators and Wise Ones advising on policy, for the American public and Congress as an Iraqi failure -- where those we invaded do not want their own 'Freedom' badly enough. General Petraeus, in an interview in Iraq, announced that the American presence would "have to be a nine- or ten-year commitment".
This meme tells us that America didn't fail; our troops did not fail. The Iraqis have not participated, did not 'step up' and end the Shiite-Sunni violence (That the violence was caused by an invasion that the Cheney / Bush administration had lied to justify is not mentioned) -- and, America will have to continue the war until the Iraqis do 'step up'.
Maliki is now presented as the weak link, a Shiite far too close to the next Cheney / Bush target, Iran; Maliki is presented as the reason for the failure of Iraqi political will. In a revealing glimpse, the Washington Post reported on August 24th an already weakened Maliki has suffered another political setback:
Escalating a political crisis that has paralyzed the Iraqi government, three secular cabinet members will formally resign Saturday, according to a senior member of the group.The Iraqi National List, an umbrella group of several political parties composed of secular Sunnis and Shiites, had boycotted cabinet meetings since Aug. 7 because of frustrations with what they saw as Prime Minister Nouri al-Malikis divisive leadership style.
The party, headed by former prime minister Ayad Allawi, will now submit the official resignations...
And now, re-enter Allawi: Ignored by the mainstream corporate media but reported online (via Glen Greenwald in Salon; read the article here), it appears that while the 'administration' pushes the Surge and publicly supports the Maliki government, the Cheney / Bush administration has been covertly pushing to remove him, and replace him with Allawi.
And, to sell Allawi to members of Congress, to feed and spin it to the media, are the neocon Usual Suspects, a layer of bottom-feeding lobbyists, and a public-relations firm with Republican principals, such as Haley Barbour of Georgia.
Someone might also want to take note that the current Iraqi government's intelligence service has been staffed and trained by the Central Intelligence Agency -- and is headed by Muhammed Shahwani, a long-time associate of Allawi's.
Smokescreen
Everything about the handling of the Surge by the 'administration' -- and the campaign of support from pundits, the foreign policy "community", and the soft-pedal approach taken by the corporate media -- appears to be nothing but a smokescreen.
The Surge has been sold to the United States as continuing our military involvement, or not, based on a promised neutral, professional assessment of conditions in Iraq. The overwhelming majority of the American People want our involvement there to end, sooner rather than later -- and I suspect they also believe that the Petraeus-Crocker report is supposed to determine the future of that involvement; if a withdrawal is recommended, that Bush will somehow see the light of common sense and finally heed the will of The People.
However -- whatever Petraeus and Crocker will say, it doesn't matter. The report will not be theirs. It will not force Bush and Cheney to accept public opinion, nor will it make them face the reality of a $12 Billion dollar-per-month strain on a stumbling economy, or our National Debt -- nearly Nine Trillion Dollars, half of it incurred in less than six years.
The Assessment which the 'administration' will write to continue selling the war will not mention that this war occurred because Cheney, Bush, and others simply wanted it. The report will not show images of Iraqis, reduced and degraded, butchered by explosives and living in fear.
The Assessment will not mention, as a recent National Intelligence Estimate did, that because of the 'administration's quasi-religious fervor over Iraq, Al-Qaeda has regrouped -- and that the threat of another 'spectacular' terrorist attack in America exists because Cheney and Bush's incompetence have put us all at risk.
The report will not begin to bring about the end of the war. It will simply be another vehicle for the 'administration' to lie to the American People, again.
Stay The Course
Cheney / Bush have no intention of withdrawing from Iraq -- not in six months, not in a year; not in ten. They will Stay The Course -- keeping America enmeshed in the Middle East, covering the hubris that put us there with patriotism while anticipating the political windfall of another terrorist attack at home.
Bush's reported comment in May -- that he would "fix things" so that whoever becomes the President in January, 2009 will be unable to escape America's "destiny" -- may be seen as apocryphal by some, but it is in character with the grandiose declarations of a weak man, and more important, squares with the actions of the 'administration': Cheney / Bush's twisted vision of America will Stay The Course, because they want it so: Go f--- yourselves. There's nothing you can do to stop us.
Petraeus and Crocker's Assessment is, very probably, a document already written. When it is released, the 'Report' will be just one component of a public relations exercise created by the 'administration', designed to ennoble nearly 4,000 American dead -- to frame any Democrat who criticizes the administrations war as an appeaser, and make any member of the public who speaks out against the war a virtual traitor -- and, depending on future events, perhaps not so virtual.
That form of demonization has already started. According to PBS The News Hour on August 24, This week, a group calling itself Freedom's Watch, made up of former White House aides and Republican fundraisers. A $15 million-dollar advertising campaign, lasting approximately five weeks, will target Republican lawmakers who may have voiced any criticism of the war, or anyone sitting on the fence. This is Cheney / Bush, playing hardball against its own party -- to Stay The Course.
Bradley Blakeman, the public face of Freedoms Watch, referred to antiwar critics (in particular, MoveOn.org) as the enemy to TNHs Judy Woodruff:
Well, Judy, the enemy, our opposition, has told you that there's going to be an Iraqi summer There hasn't been the opposition they threatened.
That campaign will, as Cheney / Bush have done so many times before, treat the American People as if they were simply consumers - as irritants in a system that would work, in their view, so much better if The People weren't part of it.
In their worldview, Americans should automatically act only with loyalty to the Leader - otherwise, theyre traitors, Al-Qaeda sympathizers. Spokespersons for the antiwar sentiment in America will be marginalized by the grinning condescension of commentators like Bill Kristol, and otherwise ignored by the corporate media. It's the same strategy as used in selling the invasion of Iraq in 2003.
There may be a change of government in Iraq, before or as the Petraeus-Crocker Assessment is presented. Allawi would 'need time' to reorganize his new government; more time for new elections, more time -- perhaps, another six months. To Stay The Course.
The debate could be pushed well into 2008; and it will be consistently spun that America is doing its part, the Iraqis are trying very hard -- and that may blunt some criticism of Cheney / Bush for GOP candidates hoping to hang on to their places at the Republican Public Trough.
The real purpose of the Surge, and the so-called Assessment, is not to resolve what is arguably America's greatest crisis since Vietnam, but to Stay The Course -- to run out the clock against any real decisions being made about the conduct of the war, a cynical scheme to buy political time: To Hell With The People.
The American People are being lied to, again. It's a lie that began hours after the Inauguration on January 20, 2001; it has been told, over and over, ever since. And we are about to watch it happen, once more.




