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Will reports of big Dem advantage in early vote totals dampen Republican turnout?
If I were a McCain supporter in Colorado or New Mexico, and saw a report that as many as 60% or better of my fellow registered voters had already voted, with estimated 10% and 17% advantages to Obama among those early votes, respectively--mightn't I just say, Aw, heck, who needs to stand in line down at the polls for two hours just to cast a losing vote--?
I think I might.
And early voting with strong Democratic tilts continues in Florida (early voting volume 44% of 2004 vote total so far), Nevada (+50% of '04), Virginia...
As pro-Democratic early vote numbers increasingly cut into McCain's chances of closing the gap, big media will have to follow that story--and mightn't those reports even further erode McCain's vote?
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