« Iraq and Baseball - Pointed Humor | irishkg's Blog | The Stool Has 2 Legs »

Ortega Returning? Analysis of New and Old


Nearly three decades after coming to power behind the barrel of a gun, Washington's Cold War-era nemesis Daniel Ortega has joined hands with former battlefield enemies, changed his campaign colors from revolutionary red to peace-loving pink, and could be on the verge of an electoral comeback.

Excellent analysis of what he was back when and what he is now from the Boston Globe's Latin American Bureau Chief Indira Lakshmanan.

New packaging:

The bold red-and-black stripes of the Sandinista flag have been replaced by a soothing pink and turquoise motif on campaign posters, and John Lennon's "Give Peace a Chance" blares from speakers at his campaign rallies ...

Substance:

Ortega's election prospects, detractors maintain, say less about his genuine transformation since that painful era than about the desperation and enduring fault lines in Nicaraguan society. 

1980s, [US] saw Ortega as a proxy for Cuban leader Fidel Castro and the Soviet Union, and backed the anti communist Contra forces against the Sandinistas, who had toppled rightist dictator Anastasio Somoza in 1979. The Contra war that followed killed 30,000 people, destroyed agricultural and livestock production and, along with a US-imposed embargo, left the economy in shambles.


4 Comments

| Leave a comment
user-pic

Well Eduardo it would have been fun... Instead 

Ortega won Nicaragua's presidential election with more than 38 per cent of the vote... Mr Ortega had a lead of almost nine points over his closest rival, conservative Eduardo Montealegre

I looked forward to watching a college classmate Eduardo Montealegre as president of Nicaragua. Always interesting, he had the best after Christmas vacation stories I have ever heard.

At home following the Nicaraguan earthquake he had to crawl through some small hole to get to the underground vaults of the familiy controlled bank. At a Christmas party when the earthquake hit and the road split down the middle he used a once in a lifetime pickup line. To the prettiest girl at the party "Let's go it's an earthquake."

user-pic

fyi - To win a candidate needs 35% with a 5 percent margin to avoid a second round. [Just in time for this election what had been a 40% bar was dropped to 35%]

If Ortega did not win in the first round he was likely to lose in the 2nd round because the right, split in the 1st round, would unite for 2nd round.

user-pic

Analysis of election and US role

In what critics call another sign of waning American influence in Central and Latin America, an "all-out" effort by the [US]  to convince Nicaraguans not to elect former Sandinista president Daniel Ortega to a second term has apparently failed. ... "They did everything but threaten to invade," said Mark Weisbrot, a Latin America expert at the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington.

Nov 7 CSM includes multiple sources on ramifications.

American campaign against Ortega hit a crescendo shortly before Sunday's vote. US Commerce Secretary Carlos Gutierrez warned that all US aid for Nicaragua could be at stake. Other officials said the country could be left out of the [CAFTA] and that remittances sent home by Nicaraguans living in the [US] could be blocked.

By contrast, [Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez, a friend of Ortega's] promised to step in with economic aid and cheap oil for a leftist Sandinista government.

user-pic

The loser, Montealegre, said after the election:

he and his party's lawmakers would spend the next five years ensuring that Mr Ortega stayed true to his pledges to promote private business and allow a free press.

Leave a comment

irishkg

user-pic

Following:
Followers:

Posts
Comments & Recommends


Favorites

All Reader Posts
How to use myTPM

Advertise Liberally
Share
Close Social Web Email

"To" Email Address

Your Name

Your Email Address