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Week of April 26, 2009 - May 2, 2009

Sprawl, Foreclosures, and the Problems with Private Governance


Today's Chicago Tribune has an article discussing the problems facing residents of a new planned community in Oswego, Illinois--a growing suburb on the exurban fringe of Chicago.

I am sure the story is not unique given the severity of the foreclosure crisis and the lack of regional planning that provides incentives for over-development in fast-growing suburbs like Oswego.

The story goes something like this: developer acquires former farmland and gets it zoned for redevelopment, acquires financing based on the assumption that the loan will be repaid with receipts from early sales, establishes homeowners association to fund the maintenance of common areas relieving the municipality from that burden, markets the new development as a "place where community thrives," gets a few buyers but ultimately abandons the site because of lack of sales, leaves the residents with a mess of half-completed buildings and the bill for cleanup.

This seems to be a real hazard of master-planned developments in the midst of a real estate collapse.  I don't know if this is the case with Oswego, but exurban municipalities often count on developers to provide basic public amenities as a condition for the approval of projects.  One of the complaints of residents cited in the article was that promotional materials from the developer indicated that parks, recreational facilities, and a community center were supposed to have been built.  To finance those amenities apparently the developer was counting on revenues from early sales.  When the developer abandoned the project, none of the amenities had been built.

Municipalities are in a tough position.  It is in their interest to approve development which will raise tax revenue and to do it in a way which will minimize costs for the provision of public services.  Costs of normal amenities are borne by the developer and the residents who directly benefit.  However, outsourcing this activity to the market can result in these types of unintended consequences which could actually increase costs to the municipality in the long run:  half-finished developments become eyesores and they could likely reduce property values in adjacent neighborhood. 

Once the real estate market rebounds, it will be interesting to see if suburbs demand certain concessions from developers to stave off this type of problem.  It is probably unlikely in the absence of regional planning since suburban municipalities will likely still be competing for developer investment and find it hard to resist their demands.  There are ways that states and the federal government can provide incentives for more coherent regimes of planning on the part of municipalities--but I'll have to leave that subject for another post!

In the meantime, if anyone has examples similar to what's going on in Oswego, please send them along!

Major Economies Meeting on Climate Change Wraps Up


With all of the talk of an impending flu pandemic, the meeting of high-level ministers from the world's "major economies" has not been given much press.  Perhaps this also may be a result of the fact that nothing path breaking was agreed upon in the meetings that just wrapped up in Washington.

According to the official recap released yesteday by the State Department:

There was wide support for considering how best the Major Economies Forum can contribute to a successful outcome at the UN climate negotiations in Copenhagen in December. The meeting included active exchanges on this topic, and participants agreed to continue discussions on mitigation, finance, adaptation and related issues at their next meeting, including exploring shared assumptions. The discussions underscored the need for near term ambitious actions for all, as well as pathways, and the development of mid-term goals for developed countries.

Participants commented on the potential for the Major Economies Forum to support the development of transformational technologies critical to mitigating climate change globally.

The emboldened words reflect that little of substance was agreed upon in this US-sponsored parallel session to the ongoing United Nations talks.  When Bush conceived of these talks a year ago, it was not clear what was going to be accomplished.  Skepticism of Bush's intentions tempered enthusiasm.

With the US rhetoric on climate change shifting under Obama, at least a spirit of participation and pragmatism has been developed.  Yet, major gaps remain between the positions of the US, the EU, and emerging economies.

The Sydney Morning Herald reports that the EU is frustrated with US and Australian foot dragging on agreeing to an adequate medium term (2020) level of greenhouse gas reduction.

The Chinese envoy was disappointed that the issue of transferring green technologies to developing economies was not even discussed--which is interesting since technology transfer is a major component of the ongoing UN talks.

Fiona Harvey of the Financial Times suggests this omission may reflect a major sticking point between China & India and the US.  Namely, the issue of how to address rapidly rising developing country emissions.  Although China recently surpassed the US as the largest emitter of greenhouse gas emissions, their per-capita levels are minuscule.  Thus, asking developing countries to make reductions (as Bush demanded) is unreasonable and inequitable.  What is on the table, Harvey reports, is asking developing countries to curb their GHG growth rather than engage in absolute cuts.

Andrew Light and Nina Hachigan at the Center for American Progress have a good post saying that China is giving signals that they are willing to negotiate on this point.

This latter issue will be interesting to watch as leaders from the major economies convene in Italy in July.  If an agreeable arrangement between China and the US can be worked out prior to Copenhagen, there will be significant momentum for the UN meetings to result in a meaningful agreement.

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