Obama now attracts 48% of the vote while McCain earns 40%. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 50% to 43%.
Data from Rasmussen Markets gives Obama a 95.2 contract_type = "rasmussen";contract_id = 68180;node_id = 7608 + "_" + 7082;new Ajax("/extension/ajax/intrade_lastprice.php", {data: 'contractID=' + contract_id + '&contract_type=' + contract_type,method: 'get',update: $('intrade_' + node_id)}).request(); % chance of winning. Eighty-one percent (81%) of Democrats say they will vote for Obama over McCain.Fifty-one percent (51%) of Democrats believe Hillary Clinton should be named as Obama’s Vice-Presidential running mate.  78% of all voters say they could vote for an African-American for President.

A majority of Democrats think Barack Obama should select Hillary Clinton as his running mate, according to a new national poll.

Fifty-four percent of registered Democrats questioned in a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll out Friday think Obama should name his rival as his running mate, with 43 percent saying no. The poll is the first national survey conducted since Senator Obama (D-Illinois) claimed the Democratic presidential nomination Tuesday night following the end of the primary season. Senator Clinton, D-New York, is expected to suspend her campaign and back Obama in a scheduled address Saturday.It seems men and women don’t see eye to eye on this question, with 60 percent of Democratic women saying Clinton should be named as Obama’s running mate. Only 46 percent of male Democrats agree, with 51 percent of them saying no.“What do women want, Sigmund Freud famously asked. The answer appears to be Clinton on the ticket. It’s pretty clear that many Democratic women are miffed and that Obama has to be very careful how he deals with Senator Clinton,” says CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider.

If Obama names someone else as his running mate, 24 percent of those polled say Clinton should try to override that decision at the Democratic convention in Denver in August, with 75 percent saying no.

"Democrats would like Barack Obama to choose Hillary Clinton as his running mate, but they seem to recognize that it is his choice to make," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "Some will be disappointed if Obama does not pick Clinton, but not disappointed enough to want a floor fight at the convention."

The survey also found that the economy remains issue number one in the minds of Americans. Forty-two percent of those polled say that the economy will be the most important issue in the decision on the presidency. Iraq remains in second place in importance, at 24 percent, with health care at 12 percent.

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted Wednesday and Thursday, with 921 registered voters, including 435 registered voters who describe themselves as Democrats or independents who lean Democratic. The sampling error for most results is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.



When posted on CNN offical website.


I am hoping for a obama/clinton ticket:)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UuysWJDP6J4


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sxKpdxiXKgY&feature=related


Will it be on the News?????

What will Obama / Clinton do???

.... Hillary Clinton will be giving her concention speech in New York Tuesday night and that By this weekend, Obama and Clinton will be running a general election campaigan together..... Obama/Clinton ticket.......


John McCain is so going to lose.....

LET'S MAKE HISTORY:)..... first black man as president and first woman vice president....... Looking forward to November:):):)

Obama is going to finish tuesday night with the most pledged delegates and super delegates and hillary clinton is going to finish with the popular vote, if you count michigan.


GO OBAMA AND CLINTON..... MAKE US PROUD!!!!!

.....base on exit polls and talking with local news media.....

...... vote totals will be coming in within the next few minutes.....


..... GO HILLARY!!!!!!!!

BOOOOOOOO OBAMA

.... get others to go vote with you......

Hillary Clinton must won atleast 60% of the vote and get atleast 300,000 votes more than Barack Obama...... VOTE VOTE VOTE......

Lets win huge and help us when montana, south dakota this tuesday.....

lets get the super delegates to hold off endorsing until Hillary gets michigan resolved.

CNN Puerto Rico exit polls show that 73% of clinton supporters there, don't want Obama to be President of the united states.

CNN said low turn out is happening.....IF you live in puerto rico, you have 2 hours to change that around... work hard and get the vote out.....

GO HILLARY!!!!

6 different ways to count the popular vote....

1. Popular vote (which does not included Michigan/Florida/Caucus states).... Obama is winning by 1.4%

2. Popular vote (which includes caucus states, but does not included michigan or florida)....Obama is winning by 1.6%

3. Popular vote (which includes florida, but does not included michigan or caucus states).... Obama is winning by .05%

4. Popular vote (which includes florida and caucus states but does not include michigan)....Obama is winning by .07%

5. Popular vote(which includes both Florida and Michigan but does not included caucus states)....Clinton is winning by .04%

6. Popular vote (which includes both Florida and Michigan and includes all caucus states).... Clinton is winning by .03%

Since we are 50 states, I believe that #6 is the numbers that super delegates and people living at home should use to determine who is winning the popular vote.... Obama chose to remove his name from the michigan ballot, he got no votes but since the dnc ruled giving him some delegates, the 600,000 people who voted should count in the popular vote total.

Hillary Clinton after winning huge in Puerto Rico and moving towards montana and south dakota where it could be a toss-up between Clinton & Obama as to who is going to win those two states, I believe however that by June 3rd, Hillary Clinton will be winning under all 6 metrics that are being used on CNN and RCP..... More people are going to vote in Puerto Rico then in Montana & South Dakota.

Super delegates should vote for the person who on June 3rd has the most popular vote totals.......why over turn the will of the people.

Popular Vote which includes Michigan, Florida and Caucus Results..... Clinton is winning by 52,000 votes.

Popular Vote which includes Michigan, Florida but does not included Caucus Results...... Clinton is winning by 163,000 votes.

After Puerto Rico, Montana, South Dakota finish voting, Hillary Clinton will still finish the race with the most popular vote.

The super delegates will have a choice, they can side with the person who won the popular vote or side with the person who won the most pledged delegates...... however, one question that the super delegates really need to think about.... ARE THEY WINNING TO OVER TURN THE WILL OF THE PEOPLE????

Barack Obama is only winning the popular vote, if you don't count Michigan & Florida..... but if you chose not to count michigan and florida, then you have to not count the pledged delegates and super delegates that he has won from both states.

More than a third of the Democratic Party committee charged with deciding the fate of Michigan and Florida delegates have donated to the campaigns of Clinton or Obama, a USA TODAY analysis shows. Most of the money -- more than $23,000 -- has gone to Clinton, who wants the delegates counted to boost her uphill presidential bid, the analysis shows. Obama has received nearly $6,000. Eight of the board members have given to the Clinton Campiagn, while two of the board members have given to the Obama Campigan. 13 of the board members are strong Clinton supporters while 8 of the barod members are strong Obama supporters and 9 are uncommitted, but two are leaning towards Clinton.


Could this work in Hillary Clinton's favor tomorrow????? Blog members, what do you think????

Mr. Ickes, Mrs. Clinton’s chief delegate counter, said on the conference call with reporters today that its legal view is that the party’s rules committee, which meets Saturday, “has the full authority to seat full delegations and to seat them with full votes each.” Mr. Ickes said that he expected the full delegations to be seated with full votes and that the campaign would be making public its legal review shortly. The Clinton campaign also announced that former Michigan Gov. James Blanchard would be arguing the Clinton case on behalf of Michigan at the committee meeting. Senator Bill Nelson will be arguing for the Clinton campaign on behalf of Florida.


Will his prediction come true.... well we will know by tomorrow:)

Hillary Clinton's 249,000-popular-vote plurality in Kentucky, offset only partially by Barack Obama's 108,000-vote plurality in Oregon, gives her a popular-vote lead in two of realclearpolitics.com's six metrics, i.e., counting Florida and Michigan, and including those two states and the imputed popular-vote margin in the Iowa, Nevada, Washington, and Maine caucuses. And it puts her within reach, depending on the result in unpredictable Puerto Rico, of a popular-vote lead in the other four metrics—All of which seems to me to make a solid case that Clinton is the choice of the people...... She will say that you can't over turn the will of the people.

Just this Sunday Father Michael Pfleger (a LONGTIME FRIEND and ASSOCIATE of Senator Obama) mocked Hillary Clinton at Obama's church in Chicago.

"I really believe that she just always thought, 'This is mine! I'm Bill's wife, I'm white, and this is mine! I just gotta get up and step into the plate.' And then out of nowhere came, 'Hey, I'm Barack Obama,' and she said, 'Oh, damn! Where did you come from? I'm white! I'm entitled! There's a black man stealing my show! She wasn't the only one crying, there was a whole lot of white people crying!"


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video_log/2008/05/obamas_church_back_in_the_news.html


Listen to the preacher by clicking on the link above...... Can't wait to see what Obama will have to say about this...... What a raciest church.

Should super delegates, turn over the will of the people and crown someone the winner without winning the popular vote??? Ask yourself that.

Hillary Clinton believes that after the primary's in Puerto Rico, Montana and South Dakota are finished and the delegates from michigan and florida are included.... she will be winning the popular vote in all 6 tallies that are outlined by RCP.com..... If she is winning the popular vote in all 6 tallies, what should the super delegates do??? Should they over turn the will of the people???

As of May 30, 2008 here are the lastest popular vote tallies in all six outcomes.....

1. Popular vote which does not included michigan or florida nor does it included the caucues results...... Obama: 49.1% to Clinton 47.7%

2. Popular vote which includes all caucues , however does not included michigan and florida results.... Obama: 49.1% to Clinton 47.5%

3. Popular vote which includes florida, however does not included michigan or caucues results.... Obama: 48.3% to Clinton 47.8%

4. Popular vote which includes florida and caucues results, however does not include Michigan.... Obama: 48.3% to Clinton 47.6%

5. Popular vote which includes florida and michigan, however does not include caucues results...Clinton: 47.9% to Obama 47.5%

6. Popular vote which includes florida, michigan and all caucues results.... Clinton: 47.9% to Obama 47.6%

The 6 tallies do not included montana, south dakota or puerto rico, because they haven't voted yet.

If Hillary Clinton truly does win the popular vote under all six tallies...... should she be crown the winner at the convention????


That is something to think about.....


Are we really willing to turn over the will of the people and make barack obama the winner, just because he won more pleged delegates?? I hope not.

GO HILLARY!!!!!

Will the Democrats seat the Florida and Michigan delegations at the August Democratic National Convention? Should they, if those states broke the party rules? The Democratic National Committee's 30-member Rules and Bylaws Committee will meet Saturday in a Washington hotel to discuss what to do about Florida and Michigan. Once the exclusive province of political insiders, the Rules and Bylaws Committee has become central to the ongoing battle for the Democratic presidential nomination because the states' 366 delegates, if seated, could affect the balance of the tight contest. Florida has 210 delegates and Michigan has 156 (including superdelegates). According to the Associated Press, Barack Obama currently has 199 more delegates than Hillary Rodham Clinton. CQ Politics answers some of the central questions regarding this weekend's tete-a-tete: 1. What exactly will they be doing on Saturday? Starting at 9:30 a.m., interested parties will get the chance to speak for 15 minutes to the Rules and Bylaws Committee (RBC) about the delegations to the Denver convention from Michigan and Florida. The list includes Democratic National Committee member Jon Ausman of Tallahassee, Fla., and a representative from the Michigan Democratic Party. They are actually bringing the challenges to the penalties the party imposed. In addition, there will be representatives from the campaigns of Clinton and Obama and representatives for Florida and Michigan Democrats. The committee then will break for a private lunch. At an open afternoon session, members of the committee will discuss the challenges and proceed according to parliamentary rules. Luis Miranda, a spokesman for the DNC, said he expected most of the panel's 30 members to attend the meeting Saturday. Of those members, 13 support Clinton, eight support Obama and other nine haven't committed but two seem to be leaning towards Clinton, according to a Los Angeles Times count. 2. So, these specific challenges from Florida and Michigan, what are they? There are three pending before the committee: - From Ausman: The Florida party charter requires the state's ex officio delegates, known as superdelegates, to be seated regardless of any penalties to the state's pledged delegates. (Eight of the state's superdelegates back Clinton and five support Obama while 13 are uncommitted, according to a tally by the Florida Democratic Party.) - From Ausman: The DNC's delegate selection rules specify that any state that breaks the scheduling rules will be penalized half -- not all -- of their pledged delegates. Florida has 185 pledged delegates and three unpledged add-on delegates. "The reduction should have been 50 percent in the first place and I'm asking that that be imposed," Ausman said. - From the Michigan Democratic Party: A compromise plan to fully seat the state's 128 elected delegates, giving Clinton 69 delegates and 59 for Obama. The party said the plan "splits the difference" between the results of the Jan. 15 primary, which, based on the vote, would give Clinton 73 delegates to 55 for "uncommitted," and Obama's call for an even 64-64 split of the delegates. Earlier this month, Clinton rejected this plan as unfair. The Michigan Democratic Party argues that the state's full delegation should be seated because Michigan Democrats were already punished by the candidates not campaigning in the state. The party said that the lack of participation by the candidates cost the state exposure and influence in the national debate. "Further punishment in the form of no Michigan delegation or a reduced Michigan delegation at the National Convention will only aid the Republicans in their effort to win Michigan in November," the party said in its challenge to the Rules and Bylaws Committee. 3. OK, those are the challengers. Who else is going to be there and what are their positions? - The Democratic National Committee: Tuesday night, the DNC sent a staff analysis of the challenges to the members of the Rules and Bylines Committee. Among other things, the memo examined the possibility of imposing a 50 percent sanction on the states' delegations, either by cutting the total number of delegates in half or by giving each delegate half a vote at the convention. In a statement Wednesday the DNC characterized the memo as "intentionally neutral," but throughout negotiations over the issue, DNC Chairman Howard Dean has maintained the states should face sanctions for breaking the national party's scheduling guidelines. - The state parties: The Michigan Democratic Party has outlined its position in the challenge it will present Saturday. The Florida Democratic Party is hoping the full delegation will be seated but is looking to move forward, said spokesman Alejandro Miyar. "Florida needs to be represented at the convention. ... We're hoping that Saturday brings a resolution so that we can move on ahead and focus on winning in November." Miyar added: "We want our full delegation, considering we've elected our delegates, to be represented. At the same time it's really for the DNC and the campaigns to come to a satisfactory agreement between the three of them." If a full contingent is seated, the distribution of Florida's pledged delegates would be 105 for Clinton, 67 for Obama and 13 for former presidential candidate John Edwards. - The two candidates: The campaigns for both Obama and Clinton reiterated their positions in separate conference calls on Wednesday. Clinton's campaign has called for the delegations to be seated based on the votes in the each state's primary and says the delegations must be seated in full with each delegate granted full voting power. Obama's campaign originally argued the delegates for each state should be split 50-50 since the contests were not supposed to count in the nominating process, but has since amended its position. The campaign now agrees in principle to a solution that would give Clinton the advantage in the delegate count from both states since she won the primaries, but said that the full delegations should not be seated because the states broke the national party rules. "We're hoping that there's some fair resolution here that allows some participation in Denver of the two states, that would resolve, in all likelihood, in some delegate yield to Sen. Clinton," Obama Campaign Manager David Plouffe said Wednesday. 4. Will Saturday's meeting resolve the issue? Not necessarily. The Clinton campaign's stance -- calling for 100 percent participation for the delegates from Michigan and Florida based solely on the primary votes -- puts it at odds with both the Obama campaign and the DNC. However, in the conference call Wednesday, Clinton advisers remained coy about what the campaign would do if the Rules and Bylaws Committee does not settle the issue in its favor. "Our focus is on Saturday," said Clinton campaign spokesman Howard Wolfson. "And our expectation and our belief is that the DNC will vote on Saturday to seat Florida and Michigan at 100 percent, and that's what we're focused on." Wolfson added: "If there is some other outcome, we can deal with it then." 5. If nothing is resolved Saturday, what is the next step? The issue could go to the Credentials Committee, which is charged with coordinating issues around the selection of delegates and alternates to the convention. The members of the Credentials Committee historically meet in July or early August before the convention. The party has not yet set the date for a meeting, but all parties to the negotiations have said they hope the issue will be resolved Saturday and the Democratic National Convention has refused to speculate on next steps should the negotiations fail on Saturday.

"thousands, if not tens of thousands, of people", will likely show up to hear whether or not the delegates from michigan and florida will be seated at the convention with a full vote.

Saturday's pro-Clinton event is being co-organized by the Women Count PAC -- founded by five top Clinton supporters, including longtime friend and fundraiser Susie Tompkins Buell -- and a coalition of disparate other groups working under the umbrella of Count Every Vote '08.

Organizers said that they expect people to come from 26 states for the rally, as well as some major celebrity speakers, and that they are receiving logistical assistance or other support from the pro-Clinton United Federation of Teachers and Emily's list.

Count Every Vote '08 first came together in mid-March to lobby Democratic superdelegates on behalf of Clinton. Allida M. Black, project director and editor of the Eleanor Roosevelt papers at George Washington University, joined with Tompkins Buell to start Women Count PAC two weeks ago. They raised more than $250,000 and used the money to buy newspaper ads, including ones that ran in the New York Times over the weekend calling on female readers to attend Saturday's rally.

Clinton supporters are organizing a "Count Every Vote" rally outside the meeting site and have bombarded committee members with phone calls and Florida oranges to press their case.


Senior Adviser Harold Ickes refused to rule out a legal challenge if the committee does not rule in Clinton's favor. "That's a bridge to cross when we come to that particular stream," he said. 


DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee that will be deciding on Florida and Michigan, here is the list with their affiliations.....

The tally: Hillary has 13 supporters, Obama 8 and 7, in addition to the 2 co-chairs have not yet endorsed. The member from Florida is an Obama supporter. One of the co-chairs, Alexis Herman, was one of Bill Clinton's cabinet members.

 

Co-Chairs - no endorsement
Alexis Herman (co-chair, Washington , D.C. )
James Roosevelt, Jr. (co-chair, Massachusetts )

Members - Clinton supporters (13)

Hartina Flournay (DC)
Donald Fowler (SC)
Harold Ickes, Jr. (DC)
Alice Huffman (CA)
Ben Johnson (DC)
Elaine Kamarck (MA)
Eric Kleinfeld (DC)
Mona Pasquil (CA)
Mame Reiley (VA)
Garry Shay (CA)
Elizabeth Smith (DC)
Michael Steed (MD)
Jaime Gonzalez, Jr. (TX)

Members - Obama supporters (8)

 

Martha Fuller Clark (NH)
Carol Khare Fowler (SC)
Janice Griffin (MD)
Thomas Hynes (IL)
Allan Katz (FL)
Sharon Stroschein (SD)
Sarah Swisher (IA)
Everett Ward (NC)

Members - no known endorsement (7)

Donna Brazille (DC)
Mark Brewer (MI)
Ralph Dawson (NY)
Yvonne Gates ( NV)
Alice Germond (DC) - DNC Secretary
David McDonald (WA)
Jerome Wiley Segovia (VA)

Hillary might look towards legal help if the delegates from michigan and florida aren't seated at the convention with a full vote..... or she might take it all the way to the convention.....dirty floor fight.