We're Screwed - The Coalition is Shattered.
Just kidding. But seriously, if you haven't already seen this, it's really worth a look. I'm not usually one to write a blog only for the purpose of linking to another blog, but this needs to echo across the blogosphere. (Can we please come up with a better word than that?)
I found it via Sullivan, and it's over on Al Giordano's The Field. He wrote it up after reading Charles Blow's op-ed in the Times today.
Blow wrote:
I found it via Sullivan, and it's over on Al Giordano's The Field. He wrote it up after reading Charles Blow's op-ed in the Times today.
Blow wrote:
The question is this: Have white Democrats soured on Obama? Apparently not. Although his unfavorable rating from the group is up five percentage points since last summer in polls conducted by The New York Times and CBS News, his favorable rating is up just as much.
On the other hand, black Democrats’ opinion of Hillary Clinton has deteriorated substantially (her favorable rating among them is down 36 percentage points over the same period).
While a favorable opinion doesn’t necessarily translate into a vote, this should still give the Clintons (and the superdelegates) pause. Electability cuts both ways.
And from Giordano:
So, to sum up: Look at the damn graphs. You can see that Clinton is in a staggering free-fall among African-American voters, her favorability is down 36 points while 17 percent view her more negatively than before, while Obama’s favorable and negative ratings among whites have paired at five point increases. You can even see the small dip - about two percentage points - in his popularity among whites that can be attributed to the news cycles about his ex-pastor, and see that it has leveled out and is now on a straight horizontal line (meanwhile, Clinton’s numbers among blacks continue on an extreme downward precipice). The greater context is that even including Obama’s slight dip, he’s more popular today among white voters than he ever was prior to February.
Not since Ronald Reagan has an American presidential candidate withstood such an assault in the media and seen his popularity not hurt by it, but, rather, galvanized by it. That’s what is meant, in politics, by the term “Teflon.”




