Military roles and missions
Many call for massive military budget cuts, but few set out the roles and missions they assume a military will conduct. "Defend the continental united states" doesn't quite fly, with realities such as evacuating civilians from failed states, or operating in coalitions.
Advice for a high school student interested in "hard" languages?
My question is broader than it might seem, so I believe that asking the question may both get specific information, as well as opening some interesting discussion on improving US global competitiveness and multilateral relations.
A young friend, now a high school senior, wants to be an Arabic linguist, although she isn't all that interested in working outside the US. She's running a 3.5 GPA, straight A's in French and Spanish, and, while not doing some of the classic extracurriculars, is doing a tremendous amount of work earning money for college -- she has a superb work ethic not really challenged by her high school.
My impression is that the US has assorted programs to encourage high school and college students in becoming proficient in the languages we need. I'm having trouble finding information on relevant scholarships, and indeed finding mentors while someone is still in high school.
The best writeup I've found is NSA's, which really wants people that both are proficient in languages but have additional engineering or science skills. She has taken a forensic course (CSI strikes the educational system), doesn't like the bloody part, but did like the computer forensic parts. She is also decent in math, although at the high school level without outside work.
I can mentor her in computer forensics and security. As far as Arabic, I could guide her more about the culture than the language, but she doesn't yet see the linkage between understanding the culture in which a language is spoken. My Arabic is limited to a few polite and useful phrases, although I understand there is a magnificent curse I would like to learn, which translates to something like "may the fleas of ten thousand camels infest your armpits."
Any suggestions? Are there really programs, reaching down to high school level, encouraging language study in general as a critical national need, but especially the "hard" languages such as Arabic, Farsi, various Chinese dialects, Hindi, Urdu, etc.? Given that she is fluent in French, I might advise Swahili as well as Arabic.
Thoughts? We did get her an Arabic CD course for Christmas, which I'd enjoy studying with her. So far, she hasn't opened it.
Fiction is so much more plausible than truth
I don't think even Cheney, Bush, and the pet goat could have come up with this.
The prayer isn't necessary, but the message is worth thinking about
I rarely pass along emails, but this is an exception, especially given where it appeared: a mailing list for trauma surgery and intensive care. Remember, it's the trauma surgeons and their teams that see the aftermath of a lack of wisdom, especially in a holiday season or just on Saturday night. It's fire/EMS that get the unwise out of the wreckage, hopefully in time for the surgeons to be able to do some good.
Jack took a long look at his speedometer before
slowing down: 73 in a 55 zone. Fourth time in as many months. How could a guy get caught so often?
When his car had slowed to 10 miles an hour, Jack pulled over, but only partially. Let the cop worry about the potential traffic hazard. Maybe some other car will tweak his backside with a mirror. The cop was stepping out of his car, the big pad in hand.
Bob? Bob from Church? Jack sunk farther into his
trench coat. This was worse than the coming ticket. A cop catching a guy from his own church. A guy who happened to be a little eager to get home after a long day at the office. A guy he was about to play golf with tomorrow.
Jumping out of the car, he approached a man he saw every Sunday, a man he'd never seen in uniform.
"Hi, Bob. Fancy meeting you like this."
"Hello, Jack." No smile.
"Guess you caught me red-handed in a rush to see my wife and kids."
"Yeah, I guess." Bob seemed uncertain. Good.
"I've seen some long days at the office lately. I'm afraid I bent the rules a bit -just this once."
Jack toed at a pebble on the pavement. "Diane said something about roast beef and potatoes tonight. Know what I mean?" "I know what you mean. I also know that you have a reputation in our precinct ." Ouch. This was not going in the right direction. Time to change tactics.
"What'd you clock me at?"
"Seventy. Would you sit back in your car please?"
"Now wait a minute here, Bob. I checked as soon as I saw you. I was barely nudging 65." The lie seemed to come easier with every ticket.
"Please, Jack, in the car"
Flustered, Jack hunched himself through the still-open door. Slamming it shut, he stared at the dashboard. He was in no rush to open the window.
The minutes ticked by. Bob scribbled away on the pad.
Why hadn't he asked for a driver's license?
Whatever the reason, it would be a month of Sundays before Jack ever sat near this cop again. A tap on the door jerked his head to the left. There was Bob, a folded paper in hand Jack rolled down the window a mere two inches, just enough room for Bob to pass him the slip.
"Thanks." Jack could not quite keep the sneer out of his voice.
Bob returned to his police car without a word. Jack watched his retreat in the mirror. Jack unfolded the sheet of paper. How much was this one going to cost?
Wait a minute. What was this? Some kind of joke?
Certainly not a ticket. Jack began to read:
"Dear Jack, Once upon a time I had a daughter. She was six when killed by a car. You guessed it- a speeding driver. A fine and three months in jail, and the man was free. Free to hug his daughters, all three of them. I only had one, and I'm going to have to wait until Heaven before I can ever hug her again.
A thousand times I've tried to forgive that man. A thousand times I thought I had. Maybe I did, but I need to do it again. Even now. Pray for me. And be careful, Jack, my son is all I have left."
"Bob"
Jack turned around in time to see Bob's car pull away and head down the road. Jack watched until it disappeared. A full 15 minutes later, he too, pulled away and drove slowly home, praying for forgiveness and hugging a surprised wife and kids when he arrived.
Life is precious. Handle with care. This is an
important message; please pass it along to your
friends. Drive safely and carefully. Remember, cars are not the only things recalled by their maker.
Funny how you can send a thousand jokes through
e-mail and they spread like wildfire, but when you start sending messages regarding the sanctity of life, people think twice about sharing.
Funny how when you go to forward this message, you will not send it to many on your address list because you're not sure what they believe, or what they will think of you for sending it to them.
Pass this on, you may save a life. Maybe not, but we'll never know if we don't try.
An anniversary to remember: November 19, 1863
Fourscore and seven years ago our fathers brought forth on this continent a new nation, conceived in liberty, and dedicated to the proposition that all men are created equal.
Now we are engaged in a great civil war, testing whether that nation, or any nation so conceived and so dedicated, can long endure. We are met on a great battlefield of that war. We have come to dedicate a portion of that field as a final resting-place for those who here gave their lives that this nation might live. It is altogether fitting and proper that we should do this.
But, in a larger sense, we cannot dedicate we cannot consecrate we cannot hallow this ground. The brave men, living and dead, who struggled here, have consecrated it far above our poor power to add or detract. The world will little note nor long remember what we say here, but it can never forget what they did here. It is for us, the living, rather, to be dedicated here to the unfinished work which they who fought here have thus far so nobly advanced. It is rather for us to be here dedicated to the great task remaining before us that from these honored dead we take increased devotion to that cause for which they gave the last full measure of devotion; that we here highly resolve that these dead shall not have died in vain; that this nation, under God, shall have a new birth of freedom; and that government of the people, by the people, for the people, shall not perish from the earth.
Torture and interrogation -- from the disciplined subject, and the interrogators who did and didn't.
CIA is getting better and better at making content from its inhouse journal, Studies in Intelligence, available. This is an insightful report, for several reasons. It identifies that torture was a response of frustration by the South Vietnamese, and yes, it did get a specific fact -- and then shut down the individual completely. The more interactive US interrogations, but under difficult conditions, got more information.
I can't give you the exact date of this article, but from references in it, it's obviously recent. I'll give some background references for it, although they are books.
The document is a quarterly, with classified and unclassified versions, and there is a good deal of declassification of the classified. I'm exchanging some email with their library to try to understand how to match volume number with year; it's not obvious.
I was surprised to read it; I had read Snepp's account and others, and I indeed thought that Nguyen Tai had been killed by the South Vietnamese. This is an insightful report, for several reasons. It identifies that torture was a response of frustration by the South Vietnamese, and yes, it did get a specific fact -- and then shut down the individual completely.
US interrogators, even with the context of the "white room", which I think was a SVN interview, got more information from a conversational dialogue. It's also worth noting that US capabilities were limited by the lack of trustworthy linguists -- I'm working on some human intelligence material for Wikipedia, and will be writing on the challenges to using non-US linguists. A teenage friend has just decided on her tentative college major, which will be languages, with Arabic at the core. I'm not particularly talented in languages, but I see the impact of being able to say even a few phrases in Arabic, or exchange courtesies and maybe order dinner in Japaese.
There's a lot of food for thought here. The article is best read if you've also read Frank Snepp's In Search of Enemies and Sedgwick Tourison's Conversations with Victor Charlie. I hope to have my extracts from some current interrogation and linguist relations guides done in the next few days.
Creating Right Music for the Time?
"We shall overcome" became immortal as the anthem of the Civil Rights Movement. With today's challenges, I wonder if someone with more musical talent than mine could build a memorable song around a majestic phrase. While the phrase I have in mind has always sent chills of pride and responsibility down my spine, I don't know how well it could be sung.
Preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States
Series of intelligence articles on Wikipedia
Some of you know that I have been writing, or heavily modifying, a series of articles, at Wikipedia, on various aspects of intelligence. I just put up several that are higher in the hierarchy than where I had started.
I'm not going to make hot links here from all of these, since they are linked from Wikipedia.
As I work on this, I'm reminded of the trial, under the Official Secrets Act, of a British intelligence officer. Asked by the judge if he had likened the Secret Service to a Marx Brothers movie, he responded, more or less, "No, my Lord. I said that compared to the Secret Service, a Marx Brothers movie was pellucid reality."
Right now, the articles I've written, or heavily modified, include:
Intelligence cycle management
..Intelligence collection management
...SIGINT
...MASINT
....Electro-optical MASINT
....Nuclear MASINT
....Geophysical MASINT
....Radar MASINT
....Radiofrequency MASINT
....Materials MASINT
..Intelligence analysis management
...Intelligence analysis
Related are National Technical Means of Verification, Arthur C. Lundahl, and Dino Brugioni
Falcon Codes
I have found these useful in dealing with the I-P discussions, considerably reducing typing. I have applied an Air Force method of efficiently expressing displeasure and comments, called the Falcon Code, at least to I-P threads. If you are a Naval Aviator, Falcon Codes are equivalent to Echo Charlie. Continual adjustment is typical.
1. the person named is an [anti-semite] [hater of Arabs]
2. you aren't complaining about Lower South Slobovia doing this; why are you picking on [Israel][Palestine]?
3. designated politician is defying [AIPAC] [CAIR] and will pay the US domestic penalty thereof.
4. There will never be peace with [Arabs][Israelis].
5. The weapons being used offer an immediate threat of [war crimes] [genocide].
6. What [person] said is garbage and irrelevant.
7. Country X presents an immediate threat to the existence of [Israel] [Palestine] and must be dealt with harshly
8. That was a silly comment.
9. Somewhere, a village is missing its idiot
10. [Person] diverted by asking a superfluous question, rather than addressing the substance of what was posted. If, for example, someone had a plan, would they not have posted it, or just waited shyly to be asked
11. Criticism of the nation-state of Israel represents bias against Jews of any citizenship. That there are Jews of other citizenship that have no special loyalty to Israel, as they find their religion and culture respected where they live, is irrelevant to the argument. Perhaps they are self-hating.
12. I don't care if you are making a relevant comment about the general topic of the thread; my purpose here is to attack the guest poster/member of the proletariat that I hate.
Response to WaPo Opinion piece on Darfur
Michael Gerson, in the August 10 WaPo, speaks of
"The United States has immediate responsibilities as well -- to provide airlift support through NATO, training for command staff, communications and computer equipment, and generators. America is obligated to pay 27 percent of the cost of the peacekeeping force, which will probably require a supplemental funding bill from Congress in 2008."
In my response (below), I suggest that anyone blithely suggesting this needs to look at transportation maps.
Im afraid that quite a few national and international leaders are ignoring realities of a Darfur intervention. Its a cliche that amateurs talk tactics, dilettantes talk strategy, and professionals talk logistics, but the point is very relevant here.
You wrote, "The United States has immediate responsibilities as well -- to provide airlift support through NATO, training for command staff, communications and computer equipment, and generators. America is obligated to pay 27 percent of the cost of the peacekeeping force, which will probably require a supplemental funding bill from Congress in 2008."
Please look at what would be required to provide that airlift support. Right now, the US is providing airlift to the African Union force in Darfur. These flights now go from Nigeria to El Fasher, which is the best airport in Darfur. There is, however, no regular supply of aircraft fuel to El Fasher, which means that the C-130 transport aircraft in use have to carry fuel for the return trip. This is a huge restriction on the amount of cargo they can carry. Darfur is not Berlin, where airlift can shuttle from nearby bases well supplied with fuel. There are alternatives, but none are trivial.
Ignoring political considerations and the possibility of sudden interruptions, one alternative would be to stage airlift out of Khartoum International Airport. There is a Sudanese oil refinery near Khartoum, and, even if it does not now make aircraft fuel, its plausible to have tankers unload at Port Sudan on the Red Sea, and then to ship it by rail to Khartoum International.
A creative approach to minimizing interference by the North Sudanese part of the coalition government might be to change the approach from overall economic sanctions on Sudan, to active investment in South Sudan. Remember, the Power-Sharing Agreement includes a 2011 referendum in which the South can vote for independence. South Sudan is already issuing its own currency and conducting foreign relations, which cannot help but be a major concern to the Northern factions under al-Bashir.
An example of creative investment could be encouraging the speculative railroad-building effort of the German consortium, led by Thormaehlen, from South Sudan into Kenya and/or Uganda. Connecting to Kenya would provide an alternative export route, not dependent on Khartoum, for the oil fields in South Sudan, linking to the Kenyan pipeline to oil facilities (in need of improvement) at Mombasa. Connecting to Uganda would provide access to the World Food Programme logistic center outside Kampala. The Kenyan branch could put extreme economic pressure on the North. The Ugandan branch would help get relief supplies into Darfur, although the railroad is out of service, and the roads to central Sudan and Darfur are mined.
To avoid dependence on the heart of the Khartoum government, a more desirable alternative would be to get an independent fuel supply to El Fasher, and probably improving other airports (very minimal ones) starting with Nyala. Nyala is on a currently insecure railroad that runs from Babanusa in central Sudan, and on into Chad.
While shipping from Babanusa has advantages in building infrastructure in Darfur, there are several major downsides. As with Khartoum International, the staging area is in the main part of Sudan, and could easily be interrupted by the government. A railroad line stretching for several hundred miles is very easy to sabotage, either by free-lancers or proxies for the North Sudanese factions of the national government.
Another alternative would be to try to secure the railroad from Nyala into Chad, which takes most of it out of Sudanese control. There is fighting in western Chad, presenting the same sort of railroad security problems. While Chad has oil, the present capabilities are limited to shipping crude oil, by pipeline, to Cameroon. Again ignoring political considerations, the most direct supplier of jet fuel to Chad would be Libyan refineries or seaport. There are, however, no heavy-duty roads, rail lines, or pipelines between Libya and Chad, and these are not going to be built overnight.
Im sorry, but I do not see any simple way of providing immediate logistical support, by air, for peace enforcers or humanitarian organizations in Darfur. Even if security of transportation routes can be maintained, construction of adequate links would take months to years.
Musing on an insight into "Damned if you do, damned if you don't"
Being informed you have a blind date with either Ann Coulter or Paris Hilton.
Edwards and the new view of breast cancer
Medpagetoday, a site targeting medical professionals, reports:
John Edwards, the former senator, announced today that his wife, Elizabeth Edwards, 57, has had a recurrence of breast cancer, a bony metastasis, but he is continuing his campaign to be the Democratic candidate for the presidency. Elizabeth Edwards had a lumpectomy in 2004 and adjuvant chemoradiation. He and his wife called the malignancy treatable. "The campaign goes on," he said.
There are a few comments on the website, but it is a relatively new development that even metastatic breast cancer, especially in postmenopausal women, is moving to become a manageable chronic disease. I do not suggest it is trivial or can be managed without excellent care and drugs. In the context here, this personal tragedy may be able both to draw attention to research, participation in clinical trials, and the need for access to the appropriate level of care for all patients.
Several consecutive clinical trials managed the "hole in one" status of being stopped by the safety monitoring board, and the experimental treatment made available to all participants. This is done when the experimental treatment demonstrates statistically significant improvement over the best standard treatment, and it is considered unethical to withhold it.
The first such stop was with tamoxifen. Several years later, trials with aromatase inhibitors, with tamoxifen as the control arm, also were stopped.
At present, one of the research frontiers is to find out which aromatase inhibitor is best, or, as is suspected, different variants work better in different women. There's a possibility that drug selection should be based on body fat percentage.
Other research is exploring whether there are good reasons to use tamoxifen and aromatase inhibitors together.
Rebellion at NIH?
According to Reuters Medical News, with reference to using embryonic stem cells,
NIH Director Elias Zerhouni told the Senate subcommittee that oversees NIH research funding."I think it is important for us not to fight with one hand tied behind our back,"
This is not exactly Bush Administration policy, which is interesting to see argued by an appointee who, to a reasonable extent, represents a good deal of thinking in medical research. Zerhouni has more of a constituency than most political appointees.
Much of this was Senate testimony.
"So from my standpoint as the NIH director, it is in the best interest of our scientists, our science, our country that we find ways -- that the nation finds a way -- to allow the science to go full speed on both adult and embryonic stem cell research,"
Remember Bush's first veto affected this area of research.
The Merry Marginalizers vs. Getting Results: MSM, Code Pink, and the Center
Over a century ago, Sen. Carl Schurz said (my emphasis):
I confidently trust that the American people will prove themselves too wise not to detect the false pride or the dangerous ambitions or the selfish schemes which so often hide themselves under that deceptive cry of mock patriotism: Our country, right or wrong! They will not fail to recognize that our dignity, our free institutions and the peace and welfare of this and coming generations of Americans will be secure only as we cling to the watchword of true patriotism: Our countrywhen right to be kept right; when wrong to be put right.
In the current situation, the wrong to be put right is the Constitutional contempt of the Bush Administration. Thinking back to the Nixon resignation, as I listened to Ford being sworn in, I mused on the irony that I was driving past the Watergate.
Just after swearing in the new President, some microphones caught Chief Justice Burger muttering, "It worked. The system worked." Regardless of the views of activists on both extremes, it is my belief that a great number of Americans do trust the system to put things right.
On Friday, the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform took testimony related to the violations, centered around White House and OVP activity, of national security in the matter of the CIA employment of Valerie Plame Wilson. As Chairman Waxman put it, the job of the committee is not to determine criminality, but to identify what went wrong and how to correct it. A first step in determining criminality already took place with Scooter Libby. It may well be that the eventual findings of these hearings may well recognize that, especially, the Vice President committed impeachable activities.
Impeachment is the thermonuclear weapon of American politics. It is far more drastic than a Vote of Confidence in a parliamentary democracy. IMHO, it should be reserved for offenses uniquely made possible by the nature of the office, which was not the case with the Clinton impeachment -- which failed to convict. That Articles of Impeachment were about to be voted out of the Judiciary Committee was enough to have Richard Nixon resign.
In the Watergate affair, it took multiple hearings, as well as criminal proceedings, to build the ironclad case for impeachment. Those hearings, those investigations, were unquestionably within the system. They built a consensus in the Congress and with the electorate, brick by brick. It was never possible, in any of the impeachment hearings going back to 1789, to "impeach now". The process, sometimes more and sometimes less, involved procedural safeguards.
In the hearing and afterwards, I have seen at least three examples of how the process was trivialized. While the Washington Post did report the facts, I am disgusted with Mary Ann Akers' blog:
Forget about her testimony. Let's talk about the fashion statement Valerie Plame made today when she went before Congress.
Most responders to the blog, appropriately, blasted the inappropriate sexism and general trivialization of the CIA operations officer. Yes, she is an attractive, well-dressed woman. What does that have to do with the substance of the matter?
Next, I am disgusted with Midge Potts of Code Pink, who constantly moved, at the back of the hearing room, so that her pink T-shirt emblazoned "Impeach Bush Now", was in virtually every frame of other than tightly focused video of Valerie Plame Wilson. The hearing was about the national security implications of actions taking place in the White House, that may well be key bricks of a foundation of impeachment, or Nixonian resignation.
Did Potts and her cohorts believe that Waxman would suddenly order the committee, regardless of its authority, to report out Articles of Impeachment? Did Potts and her cohorts think that a T-shirted slogan would better help build consensus than a serious inquiry?
Yet another aspect of trivialization came with the kiss of death of being taken seriously by CNN: Jeannie Moss did a feature on Code Pink activists' intruding into hearings to get coverage of their impeachment message. Jeannie Moss' reporting tends to label its subject as material for humor and the appeal of geek shows, not serious reporting and discussion.
It's been hard enough to get the Republican majority voted out, and a Democratic effort to, to try, as Schurz put it, to put our country right. Administration political operatives will take every opportunity to trivialize those attempts, when those attempts reveal Constitutional and ethical failings of Bush, Cheney, and those they appointed and supervised.
The nation does not need trivialization in healing a wound. It does not need trivialization whether from Karl Rove, Code Pink, Dick Cheney, Glenn Beck, Jeannie Moss, Ann Coulter, or Mary Ann Akers. Code Pink may reinforce the view of activists that want what they want now, rather than the large number of Americans that will want due process and full disclosure.




