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Week of March 9, 2008 - March 15, 2008

The Purple Gorilla in the room


Mark Penn may have over-stated the case for Pennsylvania. Neither the nomination or election hinge on it. That said, the super-delegates would do well to consider the Power of Purple. It is obvious that HRC is stronger in the big purple states, and will, in all likelihood, win Pennsylvania. Does that reality equate to an automatic victory in these states in the general election? No, it does not. What it does point out is her greater strength in these swing states, and greater likelihood of carrying them. 

She has the key constituency....working whites, blue-collar hispanics and women. McCain would be difficult for HRC to beat in Ohio and Texas, but it's possible. In Pennsylvania, Michigan and Florida her chances greatly improve.
The problem for Obama is McCain in any of these states. I don't see Obama winning in Ohio, Pennsylvania or Texas against McCain. Florida would even be a dog-fight for him. If either Democrat could control these states, hold the traditional big blue states of California and New York, the election is half won. Setting aside the delegate and super-delegate issue momentarily... HRC looks like a much better bet. If Michigan and Florida are re-run, and Hillary wins them, that just strengthens her argument for the nomination. If not, the question remains more open. My feeling is she will win Florida, if an agreement for a re-do can be reached, and will squeak by in Michigan. For the moment, all eyes seem to be on Pennsylvania, at least for the Clinton Campaign. Obama's camp is fighting there, but they are looking beyond Pennsylvania to some extent, and for good reason.

Turning to Bill O'Reilly


It's a sad state of affairs when I feel I have to watch Fox News and Bill O'Reilly to get fair and unslanted coverage of the Democratic contest.    But that's the sad truth.  Am I have become very angry because of it.   So angry, that not only will I vote for Hillary, I will oppose Barack Obama.   Last fall I jumped up and down in my kitchen when Obama threw his hat in the ring, I had been hoping he would do it.   As the months went along my enthusiasm began to erode.   I watched the media, Chris Matthews, then Keith Obermann and Jack McCaffertyassassinating Clinton on a regular basis, while trumpeting Obama's virtues.   I read as the bloggers continued the assault on Hillary, not attacks on the issues, or her Senate record, but sneering personal attacks.   I watched as Black America exaggerated Bill Clinton's statements into a serious racist event, and then blamed Hillary for it.   I knew I wasn't imagining it when the Center for Fairness in the Media came out with a study proving that Hillary was being unfairly targeted and vilified.   I couldn't stomach being a part of a "rigged" contest, and with-drew from Obama's camp.   I couldn't celebrate a victory in a contest that was a farce.   I would be fine to see the contest play out, and get behind the Democrat that won, which is what I have always done...when the playing field was level.   But not now.   I will not support Obama because his minions have made me, and many other Democrats, very angry.  I will vote for McCain, and donate to his campaign as well.... as long as he conducts himself in a fair way, and the media doesn't try to "appoint" him.   I would simply refuse to vote at all in that instance.   I have too much integrity to watch the national media, cable news  and bloggers over-whelm the election process with money, propaganda and character assassination and go along with it.   Now, sadly, I watch Fox News to try to get impartial commentary on how Obama and Clinton are doing, and what they're prospects are.   I certainly can't rely on the majority of the liberal media to be fair or impartial, they have an agenda, and a dog in this fight, and it's sickenly obvious to me. 
« March 2, 2008 - March 8, 2008 | Home | March 23, 2008 - March 29, 2008 »

Hako

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