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Week of June 8, 2008 - June 14, 2008

A Hispanic problem?


Much was made during the primary of Clinton's regular lead over Obama among Hispanic voters in large swing states.  Given that McCain is one of the few Republicans not to run on  a platform of explicit xenophobia, it was therefore put forward that McCain's appeal to Hispanics combined with Obama's (putative) lack of appeal among Hispanics could amount to a real problem for Obama in the GE.  So, today's NBC/WSJ poll offers the first real post-primary look at that question and what do they find?  Obama leads McCain among Hispanic voters 62% to 28%.  That is to say, Obama is winning this demographic by more than 2 to 1.

He is also winning women voters 52 to 33, Catholic voters 47 to 40 and blue collar voters 47 to 42.  In other words, all of those supposedly problematic demographics are coming together behind him.  For all of the hand-wringing ballyhoo, it seems that the fact that certain democrats would not vote for Obama in the primary did not imply that they likewise would not vote for him in the GE.  Just thought that you might like to know that...
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A Missouri voter

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  • Location St Louis MO
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