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What's the Matter with New York? What Doug Hoffman's Election Loss Means for America's Future


In his book, What's the Matter with Kansas, Thomas Frank documented the emergence of an angry populist movement in the prairielands. Christian fundamentalists and anti-abortion activists had exploited the anxiety of working class midwesterners by fabricating a persuasive myth of persecution. According to the myth, a tyrannical minority of liberal elites in control of the media and judiciary seek to repress the religious practices and traditions of "regular Americans" whom they despise and disdain.

Though liberals represent the bogeymen in the conservative horror fantasies Frank described in 2004, they were not participants in the pitched political battles that roiled Kansas. Kansas has always been a reliably Republican state; there are no liberals to battle. Instead, the war in Kansas pitted right-wing conservatives against moderate conservatives, "Cons" versus "Mods." According to Frank, the Cons emerged victorious and effectively wrested complete control of Kansas politics.

But elsewhere in the country, the Republican establishment courted the Cons, regarding them as a potent political force against Democrats -- just as the Roman Emperor Valens invited the Visigoths to settle in Roman territory, seeing in them "a splendid recruiting ground for his army." And so, like the Visigoths, the Cons are now sacking the Republican establishment.

The conflict bloodily presented itself during the special congressional election of NY-23. Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman, a devotee of paranoid conspiracist Glenn Beck, challenged the moderate Republican candidate, Dede Scozzafava. Con leaders like Sarah Palin  and Rush Limbaugh enthusiastically endorsed Hoffman and labeled Scozzafava a RINO -- Republican in name only. Limbaugh's taunts were even more vicious and puerile than his usual attacks on Democrats. He accused Scozzafava of "bestiality" for having "screwed every RINO in the country."

The result: Scozzafava dropped out of the race. Despite Hoffman's loss, Cons are trumpeting their success against the Mods and preparing 2010 campaigns against Mods like Florida Governor Charlie Christ. White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs stated, "If you look at what I think is likely to happen next year, you already have Republicans -- some Republicans who are more aligned with the very conservative element of what's happening in New York saying, this is a model for what you'll see throughout the country."

As Republican Mods drift toward extinction, the Cons have not given up their persecution myths. As one Con writes, "The Republican Party has been hijacked. Conservatives have been driven underground by the RINOs..." (If the current explosion of right-wing paranoia constitutes being driven "underground," imagine what above-ground Cons looks like.) Hoffman even applied the persecution myth to his election loss, accusing Democrats of election fraud in the final hours of voting: "There are reports that they're bringing in the troops and they're bringing in ACORN. I think the Democrats are doing anything they possibly can to steal this election away from the 23rd district." (Hoffman thought that the tires of one of his supporters had been slashed. The culprit turned out to be a broken bottle on the road.)

Democrats, meanwhile, have celebrated Hoffman's loss and the turmoil within the Republican party. But like another Roman Emperor, Democratic revelers are fiddling as Rome burns. While the Cons' political ideology may not be shared by independents and moderate Republican voters, the differences do not mean that they will vote Democrat. American politics is cyclical, and the nation will sooner or later vote the Democrats out of office. If paranoid extremists like Doug Hoffman control the Republican Party at that time, the Bush years will seem like an era of unfettered liberalism.

Discover everything that you never wanted to know about conservative paranoia at my Persecution Politics series at dagblog.com.


48 Comments

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Upper New York is so uniquely situated that it doesn't mean anything for the nation at large.

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You're spinning like a top.

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Well, now, Gengis; there was a letter to the editor in our local paper yesterday giving voice to this fact: Satan was the First Liberal.
For myself, I am mighty glad that I am more of a Progressive/Socialist-Democrat. Whew; dodged that bullet! Most of the letters section here is dominated by this writer's ilk, and it's a full-time job divining the arcane meanings of their letters. I am still trying, but they think differetnly than you and I.

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Differently. But they do spell better.

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The Republicans will take the seat next November, not a big deal.

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The "prair(i)elands"? Um, it's not the 1800s anymore, Genghis.

Anyway, can you apply your theory to New Jersey? Socially "moderate" Republicans like Christine Todd Whitman and Tom Kean (along with Rudy Giuliani and Tim Pawlenty) supported the Bush-era-appointee Chris Christie (who is not a moderate) and he won.

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There are no theories that apply to New Jersey.

On anything.

- Quinn from the Prairielands

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:-)

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:-)

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Heeeeeeeeyyyyyyy! Ouuuuuuuwwoooooo!

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Christie may not be particularly moderate, but he isn't a Con. You won't hear him praising Beck or advocating persecution narratives. He's a Republican establishment type.

PS Growing up in Iowa, we referred to the region as the prairielands. But maybe Kansas has rejected such language as 1800-speak.

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Interesting about prairielands. My family comes from the southwestern corner of Minnesota, and while the area is technically prairie, I've never heard my family use that term. Maybe because they are less educated? I don't know.

So in your view, Bush is not a Con? What is he?

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i think everyone is over reacting and making way to much of this.

the idea that anyone can use what happened in ny and present the fute is boring and insulting.

to many other pieces are neeeded.

while i dont doubt the crazies seek to expand themselves i dont see many areas where they will be able to beyond what the ycontrol now.

so relax everyone and know the obvious, its all about the economy and not about 'cons" or mods when people are hurting this much.

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fute= future..hehe

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New York is not an isolated incident, just the latest example of a trend that goes back over a decade. I have been documenting it in my persecution politics posts, and if you read Frank's book, you'll see exactly how it played out in Kansas. In short, the pieces aren't missing at all. Look around.

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Do you honestly see a Glenn Beck-touting, paranoid conspiracy theorist winning a national election?

I mean, I'll match my Mencken-level scorn for the intelligence of the average American against anyone's, but I don't see their message, even if modulated to appeal to disaffected independent types (aka "Finger in the Winders") gaining more than 35% of the popular vote in a national election.

And, as irresponsible as our political media is, I can't see them being irresponsible enough to help usher a Teabagger into the White House.

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FOX would. And did. One thing the Teabuggery 'movement' taught me is that PROPAGANDA WORKS.

We can't act like Clinton did with Whitewater, and assume the truth will out. We do have to waste some time spanking these jagoffs with reality.

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I agree with Elvis. That said, I can't see someone as paranoid as Glenn Beck winning the presidency, but that's not how the game works exactly. The Cons will try to control the primary and select a Palin or a Huckabee rather than a McCain-type. They got their VP candidate last time around, and they may well get their P the next time. The candidate wouldn't talk about secret fascist revolutionaries, but he or she would be even more conservative than G.W. and would work aggressively against gay marriage, abortion rights, and evolution, to name a few of the Cons' favorite issues. Yes, the Con platform is out of step with the mainstream, but a charming enough Con who capitalizes on potential dissatisfaction with Democrats could win an election.

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And, yes, the MSM will play along, as long as the crazy conservative in question is white and has a penis. Have you seen any of them take even the slightest note of the fact that Jim DeMint is crazier than Colonel Kurtz? And the more the batshit insanity becomes the rhetorical norm for the right, the less the MSM will notice it.

DeMint is the scariest person holding office today. He projects the kind of banal certitude that is appealing to the authoritarian mind and hypnotically soothing to the CW spinning MSM reporter.

If the GOP doesn't disintegrate first, it could totally happen. We become complacent about them and what's happening to them at our, and the world's, peril.

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Michelle Malkin is neither white nor has a penis (AFAIK), yet they still give her more attention than she deserves…

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Michelle Bachmann is no crazier than DeMint yet DeMint is treated serously while Bachmann is treated like a clown. (My point being that both of them should be treated like clowns.)

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My problem in arguing the point is that I don't watch TV any more, so I'm not really sure what the MSM is saying (there are pros and cons to that). I know what TPM is saying, I know what news.bbc.co.uk is saying, I know what cnn.com is saying, I know what dw-world.de is saying, and of course I know what Jon Stewart and Stephen Colbert are saying. They don't really give DeMint nor Malkin too much credit for sanity, but it seems (to me, at least) that Malkin gets more coverage.

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All that Upstate NY-23 did was reveal that those New Yorkers are not going to abandon their own interests in favor of the classic talking points. Hoffman was a carpetbagger gone North, nothing more. He had nothing to offer his adopted constituency. Essentially, he was going to be that foster parent who takes in kids for the subsidies while neglecting and abusing them.

Before anyone suggests Hillary did the same thing consider this. Hillary did her homework when she moved to NY to be Senator and you knew when she left for the Senate that she would bring something home for them when she returned. It was equally obvious Hoffman merely thought of the voters as so many rocks to step on while he crossed the Jordan, and he completely failed to even pay lip service to bringing anything back for them. The Democratic winner, he's already talkng about speaking out for dairy farmers, bring home clean energy and etc.

If the election is any sign of things to come it is that the GOP talking points are rapidly becoming insufficient to mesmerize and sway the masses to send idealogues to Congress.

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What the election revealed came not in the final vote, but in the days before. The Hoffman-Scozzafava battle was straight out of the pages of What's the Matter with Kansas, as is Glenn Beck's paranoia and the Sarah Palin phenomenon. Cons vs. Mods, paranoid conspiracies, persecution narratives--it's all there. NY-23 is just evidence that Kansas has gone national.

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I'm actually not disagreeing with that. What I am suggesting is that it will not fly everywhere, i.e. the Northeast, not even in the far reaches of the Adirondacks Mountains!

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adirondack_Mountains

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It is already working everywhere. FOX has fans (short for "fanatics") in every corner of the country. Maybe not enough fans to win elections everywhere, but you don't have to win all the elections to take control of the Republican Party.

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It is already working everywhere. ...except Upstate NY-23.

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Well, it halfway worked in NY-23. They got rid of the "RINO", after all. (Don't get me wrong, not matter how much they pretend to be pleased with the outcome, I do realize that in the end they have to consider this a loss.)

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I think that people are underestimating just how successful the NY-23 campaign was. An extremist no-name third party candidate beat out the Republican. That's almost unheard of. I don't expect the result to produce the emergence of a third party, but it will pressure other Republicans to tack even further to the right than they already were.

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I've heard this carpetbagger meme a lot, and maybe it worked against him, but didn't he live in NY-23 until he was gerrymandered out? That's not quite carpetbagging in my book, not that I'm going to defend him on anything else…

A quick Google search found this:
http://www.hoboes.com/Mimsy/Editorial/career-politicians-gerrymander-ny-23/
Granted, this person is definitely pro-Hoffman, but I think s/he's right on that one issue.

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The ONLY thing that matters is where was he living at the time he announced his candidacy? You are either in or out. This is one of those black and white cases.

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It's not black and white to me. If I live 100 meters outside of Charlottesville, that doesn't automatically make me out of touch or a "carpetbagger" if I decide to run for City Council. If I lived in NoVA (Northern Virginia), however, that'd be a different story.

Assuming it was perfectly legal (and surely it must have been or we would have heard!), I don't see the big deal with him living literally down the street from the district he was running for. His general craziness is an issue, sure, but not him just living down the street.

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We're going to disagree on that. I care. I don't think it is right that he can choose his district because he lives so close. Why can he chose to be here or there, but another only have one district? Lines are lines to me in this matter.

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Did it bother you that Hillary ran for Senator of New York? Not judging you either way, but if it didn't bother you (I'd wager that it actually did bother you, but I'm not certain), what's the difference?

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Generally, I'm right there with you on your Persecution Politics, ☠enghis. And I'm not saying that the Democrats can't screw something up royally, because we can. But right now the indies are leaning Democratic and for those that deserted the GOP but can't bring themselves to vote for a Democrat, my thinking is they will sit out voting, or else they would not have left the GOP.

On balance, last night we lost two state races, picked up two national seats, defeated TABOR in Maine and Washington and won 1 out of 2 in gay marriage. If Erick, the son of Erick, wants to call that a GOP victory, I will feel even better about my analysis.

Also. And. Also. It's not like the GOP's chances of improvments in the future are so great. Their white majority will soon be a minority. Or dead, as they're not attracting the younger crowd, either. Probably both. :-)

This is a case where it's best to leave our enemies uninterrupted in their work. Just pass the popcorn, please. And, also.

seashell, from the Wetlands

p.s. Did you see the Rev. Bill Donahue's latest screed, where we're going to the dogs, or at least walking them while the religious faithful are fornicating like crazy and making babies? Some great persecution before that last part, though.

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The Dems are not in any immediate trouble, and analysts are correct that Con dominance of the Republican party will probably make Republicans less electable in general. The problem is that the Republicans who do get elected will be more conservative, more partisan, and more angry. That's bad enough for the nation if they're in the legislative minority and far worse if they manage to gain a legislative majority or the presidency.

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PS Thanks for the Donahue link. In Kansas, Frank notes that Con dogma has created common ground for evangelicals and Catholics, once bitter enemies, and brought many traditionally Democratic Catholics over to the Republican side. There is no better example than Donahue, who is the Catholic equivalent of Robertson/Falwell/Dobson.

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Wow, just read the Donohue piece in full and added it to my archive. I can't believe that WaPo published that. It is the worst that I have seen from him and embraces every element of the classic persecution narrative, from ACLU plots against religion to Christ-hating gay pervs.

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Here's my experience with dealing with a conservative Christian I know who's otherwise fairly independent minded (he voted for Obama): any evidence I try to present about how the ACLU defends Christian religious rights as much as they defend other religious rights is always responded to as the "exception". Since everything is always the "exception", I have no chance in disproving the supposed "law".

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☠enghis - The Reverend outdid himself in that post, didn't he? Even by the dubious editorial standards from WaPo lately, it's hard to believe they approved its publication.

Here is one last persecution link for you (today), if interested. It's written by a real academic, ELIZABETH A. CASTELLI, the Professor of Religion at Barnard College at Columbia University!

A historian of early Christianity looks at contemporary evangelicalism's persecution complexes in light of the Christian martyrdom tradition and the dangerously bruised egos of a massive movement that sees itself as victimized minority. [Persecution Complexes].

You two are on the same track - definitely.

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Yeah, she's good. It really drives home the point that until Genghis can start including words like "opprobrium" in his essays, he's getting nowhere.

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Thanks. This one is already in the archive. But keep 'em coming. (For the record, I don't buy her association of Christan martyr mythology with persecution complexes. Martyrs seek suffering to demonstrate their piety. But those with persecution complexes only pretend to suffer. They seek the psychological trappings of suffering but not suffering itself.)

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One trend that I am concerned about is that the Uber-conservatives may end up making more noise, thus creating more leverage, about the Obama Administration's adherence to the Geithner/Summers/Goldman Sachs model of favoring Wall Street; that the recovery of the DOW means we are recovering economically, ergo: we don't need those 'excessive' regulatory reforms that Born, Stiglitz, Bair, etc. are supporting, nay, inveigling for!
It's time for soome truth-telling on the Left, or the Uber-right may capture the populist groundswell against the banks and corporations owning the government. I don't believe that they really understand the issues, but they do know that the bailouts of the banking sector screwed the taxpayers.
The intersection of your theory, Gengis, and my concern is Naomi Klein's Shock Doctrine. Voters can support some strange candidates when they feel seriously in jeopardy. For many Americans, on the prairie, or in the 'bitter, clinging to guns and prayers' areas of psycho-spiritual metaphor, too many more shocks might put them over the top. The America they knew and recognized (your prairie-land, or heartland, is moving right on by them; changing racial demographics, acceptance of gays, tech skills, etc. Someone must be responsible. And now they see their pensions disappearing, their houses woth shite, and so on. Dicey times.

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Eloquently put

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"It Can't Happen Here."

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Ghengis,

Excellent blog, excellent comments, agree with it all except that I think the comparison to the Cons is unfair to the Visigoths.

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Really, the for-the-election stealth candidate was McDonnell, which may end up being a bigger story. You might want to peek into Ruatabaga's blog; he has been a contentious far-right-Christian-woo-woo; then he ran while pulling his weirdness in, so much so that the MSM tagged him as Moderate!!
At least Hoffman didn't pull any punches about who he was: He never studies the issues, and just spoke 9/12er, teapartier junk. Wait until we start reading what's on Sarah Palin's facebook thingie; it will be quease-making.

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So what's new. Losses are victories, Victories are losses.....

NJ bothers me. But that is about it.

And in Congress, ONCE AGAIN THE DEMS ARE THE LUCKIEST SOB'S ON THE PLANET. HAHAHAH

THREE STRAIGHT YEARS. HURRAH

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