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Week of September 28, 2008 - October 4, 2008

John McCain - Steady at the Helm in Turbulent Seas


John McCain on the state of the economy:

1/10 McCain: I don't believe we're headed into a recession. I believe the fundamentals of this economy are strong, and I believe they will remain strong.

Hurray, the fundamentals are strong!

9/ 15 McCain: Our economy, I think, is still -- the fundamentals of our economy are strong, but these are very, very difficult times.

Well, at least the fundamentals are still strong.

9/15 McCain: And my opponents may disagree, but those fundamentals -- the American worker and their innovation, their entrepreneurship, the small business, those are the fundamentals of America, and I think they're strong.

Um, what exactly do you mean by fundamentals?

9/15 McCain: The fundamentals of our economy are at risk.... And those fundamentals are threatened, they are threatened and at risk because some on Wall Street have treated Wall Street like a casino.

Sorry, I'm totally lost now.


John McCain on bailouts

9/15 McCain: I do not believe that the American taxpayer should be on the hook for AIG...We cannot have the taxpayers bail out AIG or anybody else.

No bailout!

9/16 McCain: I didn't want to do that. And I don't think anybody I know wanted to do that. But there are literally millions of people whose retirement, whose investment, whose insurance were at risk.

Sometimes you have to bail.

9/29 McCain: Now it's time for all members of Congress to go back to the drawing board. I call on Congress to get back obviously immediately to address this crisis. I speak to you in an hour of crisis for our nation's economy. I believe that the challenges facing our economy could have a grave impact on every American worker, small business owner and family if our leaders fail to act.

Bail! Bail! Bail!


John McCain on the blame game

9/29 McCain: Now is not the time to fix the blame. It's time to fix the problem.

No blaming, people!

9/29 Doug Holtz-Eakin, a senior policy adviser for McCain: Their partisan attacks were an effort to gain political advantage during a national economic crisis. By doing so, they put at risk the homes, livelihoods and savings of millions of American families...Just before the vote, when the outcome was still in doubt, Speaker Pelosi gave a strongly worded partisan speech and poisoned the outcome. This bill failed because Barack Obama and the Democrats put politics ahead of country.

It's Obama's fault!


John McCain on phoning it in

9/29 McCain: I will never, ever be a president who sits on the sidelines when this country faces a crisis. I'll never do that. I know that many of you have noticed it's not my style to simply phone it in.

Not his style.

9/29 McCain aide Mark Salter: He's calling members on both sides, talking to people in the administration, helping out as he can.... He can effectively do what he needs to do by phone.

Not phoning is so 3 hours ago.


John McCain on whether American are better off than they were:

1/30 Anderson Cooper: Senator McCain, are Americans better off than they were eight years ago?
McCain: I think we are better off overall if you look at the entire eight-year period, when you look at the millions of jobs that have been created, the improvement in the economy, et cetera.

Bushie, you're doing a heck of a job.

8/05: McCain Ad: Washington's broken. John McCain knows it. We're worse off than we were four years ago.

George Bush? Never heard of 'em.


I have also previously written about McCain's erratic shifts on the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy and supply-side economics. That article can be found here.

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Cross-posted at my new blog, DagBlog.com, a joint project with cohorts Articleman and Deadman.

Funny Math


From Friday's debate:

Jim Lehrer: Are there fundamental differences between your approach and Senator Obama's approach to what you would do as president to lead this country out of the financial crisis?

John McCain: Well, the first thing we have to do is get spending under control in Washington...You know, we spent $3 million to study the DNA of bears in Montana. I don't know if that was a criminal issue or a paternal issue, but the fact is that it was $3 million of our taxpayers' money.

I'm sure that the bear paternity routine had the audience rolling on the floor the first time John used it, but someone please explain to him that jokes go stale after several hundred repetitions. (And after you've explained it to John, please explain it to my dad, thanks.) But let's take his point seriously and consider the impact of the bear study on our economy.

Case 1: Bear Study
Cost: $3 million
Percentage of budget*: 0.0001%
Average cost to taxpayers**: 3 cents


3 cents? Thanks, John. I'll put it in the bank as soon as I get it. That should give Citigroup some capital to work with. But I'm not being fair. John McCain isn't suggesting that canceling the bear study will save the economy. He wants to cut all the earmarks:

Case 2: Earmarks
Cost: $18 billion
Percentage of budget: 0.6%
Average cost to taxpayers: $194


There's a campaign slogan for you: Elect John McCain, Save $194. Of course, that would be disingenuous because the tax burden isn't distributed evenly. Most taxpayers would save less than $100. How about this? Elect John, McCain, Cut the Budget by Half a Percent. Still doesn't really resonate. And how does that $18 billion compare to a $700 billion bailout? Talk to us, John.

John McCain: I hear this all the time. "It's only $18 billion." Do you know that it's tripled in the last five years?

Holy, moly! At that rate, in five years, it will be $54 billion. That's a lot of bear studies.*** But hold on a sec. That $18 billion in earmarks figure is from 2005, which was three years ago. In 2008, there have been $16.5 billion in earmarks. Huh. So over the past five years it tripled, but over the past three years, it declined. Can we get some clarity here? John?

John McCain: I suggest that people go up on the Web site of Citizens Against Government Waste, and they'll look at those projects.

Great idea. Let's go.

Case 3: Triple the Pork
2003: $22.5 billion
2008: $17.2 billion


Uh...John? That's not tripling we can believe in. Don't get me wrong. I'd be happy to get back whatever money the government manages to save from your reforms. Or it can keep the money and pay down the debt--I'm down. But what does any of this have to do with the economic crisis? We're facing a $700 billion bailout and a potential recession of historic proportions, and you're telling us jokes about a $3 million bear study. I think you're joking all right but not about the bear study. And I have to tell you, it's not funny.

P.S. I know that you don't have much patience for economic theory, but you might want to ask one of your economic geniuses about Keynes. Cutting infrastructure spending and pursuing a balanced budget during a recession is generally regarded as a really bad idea. Some food for thought:

The initial government response to the Great Depression was ineffective, as President Hoover insisted that the economy was sound and that prosperity would soon return...Convinced that a balanced federal budget was essential to restoring business confidence, Hoover sought to cut government spending and raise taxes. But in the face of a collapsing economy, this served only to reduce demand further. As conditions worsened, Hoover’s administration eventually provided emergency loans to banks and industry, expanded public works, and helped states offer relief. But it was too little, too late.

 

* The Federal budget in '08 was about 2.9 trillion dollars.

** About 140 million Americans filed income taxes last year, of which about one third paid nothing, leaving approximately 93 million taxpayers.

*** $54 million would pay for 18,000 bear DNA studies.

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Cross-posted at my new blog, DagBlog.com, a joint project with cohorts Articleman and Deadman.

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