erica's Blog | The housing speech I wish George Bush would make. »

Too small to save?


Hello everyone,

I am finally starting a blog to talk about the foreclosure crisis, which I believe is the financial and psychological heart of our current financial crisis. I will also be blogging at

www.ForeclosureArk.com

Ark not as in Arkansas, but as in "get on the Ark before we're all swept away by the flood."

I'll be talking about the situation and outlining various plans that could help. I hope that many of you, especially those with financial experience, will help with participation, advice and critique.

Thank you,

erica


3 Comments

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The suggestion that mortgage defaults are responsible for the current state of the USA and world economies is just plain wrong. Though the defaults on all of the mortgages which should never have been written would have certainly caused economic distress, the distress would not be anywhere near the level we are now experiencing.

The cause of the current problems is the leveraging of the mortgage debt, by investment houses, to a degree unsustainable if real estate values didn't continue rising forever. Considering that real estate values had risen to levels 20% - 40% higher than historical levels, relative to rents and wages, the expectation that there would not be a correction in those values was unfounded.

Additionally, the rating agencies, such as Moodies, Standad & Poor, and Fitch phonied up their rating of those esoteric investment vehicles, because of inherent conflicts of interest and because of incompetence.

As it turns out, as Michael Lewis recounts here, the captains of Wall Street aren't all that smart, and many are just plain stupid.

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Good read, Chris. Thanks for the link.

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The Lewis article is great, and as the friend who sent it to me said, explains why the crisis is so much bigger than the amounts of the mortgages themselves.

I'm sticking to my idea, though, that the fix has to happen in housing. The environment of the last few years, in which our elected representatives not only legalized trick mortgages but also made it legal to bet against peoples' ability to make their payments, has stolen away the idea that there's safety and prosperity in home ownership.

That's a big wrong, and one that I think has to be redressed before anybody is going to be able to move forward. Elephant in the living room, blah blah blah. Ordinary people aren't economists, but they know when they're being damaged beyond repair and so do people further up the ladder. If the the relationship between lender and debtor is so messed up that the only ways to find stability in America are screwing other people and winning the lottery, you can understand why nobody's moving forward with business initiatives of any kind.

In the end, my argument is psychology, not economics. But if you want to know why nobody, not even the smarty-pants banks, wants to loan money to anybody, I think you only need to look at the foreclosure crisis for the answer.

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erica

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