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Week of May 4, 2008 - May 10, 2008

Super Delegate Update!!!!


It is official. We now have two examples of downstate races and the impacts of the two Dem Presidential Candidates.

In Kentucky we have a close race with the preferred candidate coming in second and in Louisiana the preferred candidate coming in first place in a hotly contested election.

First let us review the Hillary Clinton coattails:

The day began with hope and pomp. Bolstered by the sentimental support from 157,770 fans and endorsed by presidential contender Hillary Rodham Clinton and cheered by Clinton's daughter, Chelsea

That is a huge crowd by current Clinton standards... but what follows seems to be SOP for the Clinton Gang:

She crossed the wire 4 3/4 lengths behind favorite Big Brown. Then, with the second-largest crowd in Derby history whooping it up, Eight Belles collapsed with two broken front ankles.All that heart and her gallant fight, however, ended in the worst of all possible ways: a breakdown, an ambulance on the track. And, with no other choice, she was euthanized by injection.

Now lets go to the Obama Coattail Express where we have Cazayoux (D) vs. Woody Jenkins (R) in the special election down in Lousiana's 6th district:

The Republicans have been sharpening their message against Barack Obama with $500,000 in new ads in the ongoing special House elections in Mississippi and Louisiana -- a stark contrast to the old days when Hillary Clinton was the boogeyman of Republican advertising.

"I think he's the weaker candidate, and I've thought that for over a year now," said NRCC Chairman Tom Cole. "He's very inexperienced. He is by any definition liberal and to the left of Hillary Clinton, and he will give us plenty of ideological divisions to work with."

Another close race with totally different results:

10:46 PM ... Cazayoux sneaks ahead with 79% of precincts reporting. A 3 point margin.

10:48 PM ... Flips back to Jenkins.

10:49 PM ... with 99% reporting, Cazayoux back up. Looks like he took it.

So there we have it folks. Hillary backs a newcomer to the stage, and the poor candidate gets literally slaughtered and the Obama backed candidate who takes a 30 year republican seat despite the GOP Wright stuff.

The update for the super delegates is clear: Obama is the rising tide, Hillary is becoming past tense.

Obama/Paul '08


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I had to test out the new TPM rules you know.
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Elliottness

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I started out with a desire to be an architect fueled by the Briggs Meyer results of a test I was told I was too young for. INTP - The Architect. That drove me quite far even after I decided that the act of architecture creation was too simple or rather limited in the number of reasonable permutations which is further limited by economic power. What came next was this innate desire to build systems of people. Now here I am, building away.

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