The Votemaster's McCain v. Clinton/Obama maps
Numbers, numbers, who’s got the numbers? The Votemaster, that's who. I confess to finding the digested information at the widely-discredited DailyKos.com, but they jive with my rough addition of the Votemaster's maps. And the Votemaster doesn't lie. I think.
Electoral-vote.com
maintains daily maps showing general election matchups by state, rated by
strong, weak and slight support for the Democratic ticket. Apparently
Hillary's folks have been touting these numbers as proof that Obama loses to
McCain in the general.
Clinton's version of E-V’s April 23rd maps:
Clinton v McCain:
McCain: 239
Clinton: 289
Ties: 10
Obama v
McCain:
McCain: 254
Obama: 269
Ties: 15
E-V’s rated breakdown for the same map:
Obama Clinton
Strong Dem 67 74
Weak Dem 144 98
Barely Dem 58 117
Tied 15 10
Barely GOP 76 13
Weak GOP 44 89
Strong GOP 134 137
Basically, the Clinton camp provides us with unweighted totals. But Clinton doesn’t look nearly as great when you break the
numbers down. She does indeed have more
strong Democratic support. But if you
add strong and weak, it’s 172 Clinton vs. 211 Obama. Worse, 117 of Clinton's electors are in barely-Dem states, vs. 58 for
Obama.
Now, I know DailyKos has fallen hopelessly in love with Obama, but the
Votemaster's numbers seem to reflect the range of current polls reported on
TPM, and you can add up the electors yourself if you think Kos is lying.
Hit 'recommend' if you find this interesting, and then hack away at will. I know my avatar is ugly, but I'm not. Really.




