Defeated Republicans Lick Their Wounds and Debate Comeback Strategy
Still reeling from the punishing defeat handed to them by victorious Democrats on Election Day, Republicans are licking their wounds and debating their strategy for a comeback. As Democrats and progressives celebrate our hard-won victory, we should also be keeping an eye on our vanquished opponents and preparing to remain on the offensive against them, whatever comeback road they attempt to pursue. For the sake of the future, we cannot allow a repeat of 1980, 1994, or 2000.
Most observers see two major possibilities for the GOP. One is that the party could stick with its rural, white, ultra-conservative base and become the party of the far right, thus alienating moderates, independents, and swing voters, many of whom would likely migrate to the Democratic Party and join the ranks of conservative-leaning "Blue Dogs" like Virginia senator Jim Webb. The other possibility is that the GOP could move toward a more moderate and less ideological, center-right position that could make it more attractive to independents and swing voters but at the same time would tend to alienate the conservative base. Neither is an exceedingly attractive option for the GOP, since either would likely result in the loss of one or another key Republican voting block. The electoral success of Reagan, Bush I, and Bush II depended upon a united Republican coalition of social conservatives, fiscal conservatives, defense hawks, and "Reagan Democrats." That coalition has now fallen apart.
I personally hope the Republicans will take the former choice, stick with their demented base, and become a far-right fringe party doomed to increasing irrelevance as old bigots die off and their children discard the prejudices, fears, and hatreds of the past. This is what may well happen if far-right blowhards like Rush Limbaugh have their way, warning their shell-shocked followers now against a moderate takeover of the GOP led by once-and-future-maverick John McCain and other hands-across-the-aisle types, whose ranks will seek to purge the party of "real conservatives" like Sarah Palin and those who identify with her. Never exceedingly popular among those on the far right, McCain is already being branded a defeatist and a traitor by the Limbaugh-Palin crowd, who are incensed by the attacks on Palin now coming from within the McCain camp itself, and who increasingly regret that McCain was ever nominated even as they are in his debt for giving them "their Sarah." Meanwhile, angry dittoheads at RedState.com have launched a bitter assault on Palin's Republican critics called "Operation Leper," and appear poised to advocate for Palin as a presidential candidate for 2012 and/or 2016. Perhaps we will see a full-fledged Palin faction form within the Republican Party in opposition to the forces of Republican moderation, leading to an all-out faction fight and perhaps even a split in the party. I sincerely hope so.
If, on the other hand, the Republicans choose the path of moderation, returning perhaps to the GOP of Eisenhower and Goldwater, our work could be a little more difficult. This possibility highlights the importance of maintaining the center-to-left coalition that enabled us to win in 2006 and 2008 just as their center-to-right coalition enabled Republicans to win in 1980, 1994, and 2000, as it raises the risk of swing voters swinging back to the Republican side if they are not happy with the job Democrats are doing in Washington. Those of us such as myself who are on the Left of the Democratic Party will have to balance our expectation of having a place at the table with the realization that the rest of the country isn't with us just yet. At least in the near term, the Obama administration and the Democratic Congress will have to govern more-or-less from the center, and at the same time will have to prove that they are more capable of governing the country effectively than their opponents. Given the dominance of the far-right in today's GOP and its dependence on the conservative base, however, owing in part to the fact that so many moderate Republicans have either left the party or been voted out of office, I wonder how realistic or likely a route this second option actually is. I could be wrong, but I suspect hopefully that our opponents will remain in the funk they are currently in for quite some time to come.
Whatever course they may ulimately choose to take, our task as Democrats is to stop any GOP comeback dead in its tracks before it even starts. Democrats must remain on the offensive and must remain focused on solidifying and building our congressional majority in 2010, re-electing President Obama in 2012, and putting another Democrat in the White House in 2016. We must aggressively go after not only Republican congressional seats but also state and local offices nationwide. Grassroots Democratic organizing, voter registration, fundraising, and media activism are key to this, as is maintaining a strong center-to-left coalition through effective, balanced governance. We must demonstrate to the Republicans that they are dealing with a new, much tougher, much more aggressive and effective Democratic Party: a Democratic Party that won't be so easy to kick around as in the past, a Democratic Party whose days of whining about mean old swiftboating Republicans are over.
If we are to avoid a repeat of the last eight years or something even worse, no Republican comeback can ever be allowed to happen.
Mark C. Eades
http://www.mceades.com






As has been said in the past, "Keep your friends close and your enemies closer."
C
November 7, 2008 9:42 PM | Reply | Permalink
They can first stop being bitter and partisan. We are all Americans. The bitterness and attacks are all counter-productive and achieves nothing. How are we as a nation going to move in the right direction if we are not willing to set differences aside and find common ground. Close-mindedness is the path of self-destruction as we see in the current Republican party. We shouldn't be forcing others to "be with us or against us." If we listen to each other, we can actually learn something. Republicans got to stop the "my way or the highway" mentality. It's very destructive. Why can't we be friends even if we disagree.
November 7, 2008 9:55 PM | Reply | Permalink
It's a brain stem thing. The preachers tell them to be afraid, very afraid, and so they are. The right-wing politicians representing them tell them to be afraid, very afraid, and so they are. In short, we're dealing with secular religion. The rest of us are all over the place in our beliefs; sometimes we are even logical.
November 8, 2008 6:49 AM | Reply | Permalink
It will come after how many ever years of demonizing the "right" and pushing ever harder to the left that happens for fear of the coming rightward explosion. It will certainly come because democrats are every bit as incapable of governing from the true center as modern republicans have been, though I hope Obama can change that despite blogs such as this one.
If we continue to make this an US versus THEM paradigm then nothing will happen. What happened to that famed democratic sympathy and empathy and ability to walk a mile in someone else's shoes in an effort to find nuance and truth? Was that all a marketing ploy?
What the republican party becomes in the wake of this defeat is entirely up to democrats.
I would say you might look to the Obamicans to handle all communications between the parties because most democrats I read on these pages really don't seem to understand the conservative mindset at all. Based on what I have read in blogs and comments like this one, the democratic party is really in the process of turning the 48% of the country who didn't vote for Obama into their enemies for real, instead of simply disagreeing with them and seeking to reach agreement.
That is a sure-fire recipe for disaster given our huge challenges as a nation and the ambitious solutions Obama has mapped out. Do you honestly believe that 52% of the country is enough to fix problems of our magnitude? I don't. Barack certainly doesn't.
Don't let a five-point victory go to your head. A five-point victory delivered by 10 or 15% of the republican vote.
November 8, 2008 8:22 AM | Reply | Permalink
http://crooksandliars.com/david-neiwert/no-red-america-no-blue-america-just-
November 8, 2008 10:39 AM | Reply | Permalink
hoping for one party rule is misguided.
the country would be better off with a reasonable opposition party.
a better (preference based) voting system would help a lot, so that parties can split without becoming totally irrelevant.
November 8, 2008 1:05 PM | Reply | Permalink